2:00PM Water Cooler 2/22/2023 | bare capitalism

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chicken Tune of the Day

I considered jackdaws due to Konrad Lorenz’s great King Solomon’s Ring, which I learn after I was fairly younger (and unaware of Lorenz’s views on “social decline”).

EUrasian Jackdaw, Nord-Pas-de-Calais (retired), France. “Name, flight name.” And breaking waves?

Politics

“However what’s authorities itself, however the best of all reflections on human nature?” –James Madison, Federalist 51

“Right here’s meals for thought, had Ahab time to suppose; however Ahab by no means thinks; he solely feels, feels, feels.” –Herman Melville, Moby Dick

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Biden Administration

“Jill Biden says the US and Namibia ‘face most of the similar challenges’” [The Hill]. “After the go to, the primary girl and granddaughter Naomi Biden handed out bins of White Home M&Ms to a gaggle of about 40 youngsters standing exterior in Katutura. ‘Whats up, how are you? Sweet from the White Home!’ the primary girl mentioned. When she ran out of sweet and just a little boy got here as much as her, she gave him the tote bag the sweet got here in.”

“The Yalies take the wheel” [Politico]. “When President JOE BIDEN took workplace, he vowed to do away with the buttoned-up, elitist tradition that always defines Washington and, extra particularly, White Home hiring — the ‘pale, male and Yale’ taste, because the previous saying goes. Biden has made progress on the ‘pale’ and ‘male’ fronts, naming an all-female communications workforce when he first took workplace and elevating Black and Latino staffers to key decision-making roles. However he can’t appear to shake the Yale half. Or, extra particularly, Yale Regulation Faculty.” Goodness, it virtually makes you suppose class > id, the place outcomes are involved. Extra; “Out of roughly 140 attorneys within the White Home, roughly 36 maintain levels from Yale Regulation Faculty, greater than some other legislation faculty, in response to a West Wing Playbook evaluation. That determine doesn’t embody the handfuls of Yale Regulation graduates who’ve been appointed to company positions all through the Biden administration. The density of Yale attorneys on the White Home campus has grow to be a little bit of a joke amongst some staffers who say it’s arduous to enter a room with out bumping into a minimum of one alumni.” • George W. Bush, DeSantis, the Biden Administration…. I don’t suppose it’s honest, although, to comment on the “density” of Yale attorneys. A few of them are fairly vivid, a minimum of of their narrowly specialised fields.

2024

“Watch: Trump stops at McDonald’s throughout East Palestine go to” [Fox8]. “Whereas visiting the location of the horrific prepare derailment in East Palestine Wednesday, former President Donald Trump stopped in at an area restaurant — McDonald’s. ‘Is everybody prepared to simply accept free meals from Trump?’ he requested as he walked into the quick meals spot, saying he deliberate to additionally buy meals for the native hearth and police departments. He informed the staff he knew the menu higher than them and requested for a ‘good array of issues,’ whereas refraining to make an order for himself. Fielding questions from reporters, whereas getting his photograph taken by close by prospects and staff alike, the President mentioned he didn’t imagine deregulation had something to do with the prepare incident and that he had traveled to the realm to verify residents have been taken care of.” • On “regulation,” see beneath Class Warfare; be aware that not one of the reporters requested him about Precision Scheduled Railroading (and Trump, not being a element particular person to say the least, in all probability doesn’t even know). Two Democrats react:

Mixed IQ roughly 50 in your complete city. Trump trashed prepare security guidelines. Now their water and land, to not point out themselves, are poisoned. I stay 50 miles away from East Palestine, OH. I am sorry for the folks, however they made their very own beds. https://t.co/KJE0L761AS

— Lincoln Belongs To The Ages (@Mr_Lincoln) February 22, 2023

At all times good to see liberal Democrats calling for the deaths of their political opponents; it’s an ever-green trope! Be aware additionally the deal with being good (vs. IQ of fifty), the deregulation speaking level (it’s Trump’s fault the brake techniques are unhealthy, not Precision Scheduled Railroading and the “sizzling field”). Then there’s the same old refusal to simply accept reponsibility (Trump and Biden killed one million folks between them, Biden killed extra, and in my opinion has the higher culpabiliity, as a result of he ought to have identified higher than to undertake a coverage of mass an infection with out mitigation).

Personally, I believe it is a good search for Trump, and never simply because Biden was off swanning about in Kiev; Trump seems to be good striding round on the February grass within the black coat and purple hat, no tie; it’s a a lot better look than the pomp of Air Pressure One. Nonetheless ready for quondam Presidential hopeful and Democrat, Sherrod Brown, to indicate up. Then once more, why can be? They’re solely residents.

“DeSantis wades into overseas coverage, Ukraine” [The Hill]. “Throughout an look on ‘Fox & Associates’ on Monday, the Florida governor and potential White Home contender blasted the Biden administration’s help to Ukraine as a ‘blank-check coverage’ and performed down the menace that Moscow poses to NATO member international locations in Europe. ‘They’ve successfully a blank-check coverage with no clear strategic goal recognized,’ DeSantis mentioned. ‘These items can escalate. And I don’t suppose it’s in our curiosity to be getting right into a proxy warfare with China getting concerned over issues just like the borderlands or over Crimea.’” • Not essentially the most coherent sentence. And never right, both. There’s a clear strategic goal in Ukraine: Regime change and the breakup of Russia. Not that we’re wherever close to attaining both of these issues.

“The Forgotten Ron DeSantis E-book” [The Atlantic]. Desires From Our Founding Fathers (2011), a transparent reference and distinction to Obama’s Desires From My Father (the dude wrote two autobiographies; that ought to have informed us one thing, looking back). It’s paywalled, however there’s this nugget: “Two of his youngsters are named Madison and Mason presumably after James Madison and George Mason, essentially the most intellectually fascinating of the Virginians who helped style the Structure.” I suppose I can’t make jokes about how the PMC fights the battle towards intergenerational precarity by sending “little Madison” to violin classes. Oh properly.

Republican Funhouse

“Why Are Republicans Going After ‘Wokeness’ As a substitute of Going After Biden?” [Amy Walter, Cook Political Report]. “For the final couple of years, however particularly so this yr, Republicans have used a warfare on ‘woke’ to rally their voters. It feels as if there’s extra vitality on the appropriate for defeating the ideology of ‘wokeness’ than in defeating President Biden. Speak to a bunch of GOP voters and lots of, if not most, describe the president as mentally compromised. Many suppose the 80-year-old president is solely a puppet who’s being manipulated by liberal leaders to do their bidding. This isn’t to say that Republicans don’t need to see Biden defeated. They do. However, Biden himself doesn’t garner the identical kind of intense seething and gnashing of tooth from Republicans that the prospect of one other Trump time period brings out in Democrats. One of many greatest targets for ‘anti-woke’ laws is transgender points and youngsters. In response to the web site Monitor Trans Laws, 38 states have seen anti-trans payments proposed in 2023, together with 107 payments that concentrate on well being care restriction for youth and 75 payments that deal with faculty/curriculum points. On its face, this is a matter that not solely will get help from conservatives, but in addition finds acceptance throughout a extra broad cross-section of the general public. Washington Submit columnist David Byler wrote that the general public ‘has not too long ago grow to be much less open to transgender rights’ quoting surveys exhibiting that “sixty % of American adults reported final summer season that they oppose together with choices aside from ‘male’ and ‘feminine’ on authorities paperwork. Fifty-eight % favor requiring transgender athletes to compete on groups that match their intercourse at beginning. Forty-one % say transgender people needs to be required to make use of the toilet akin to their intercourse at beginning (31 % disagree and 28 % don’t have a place). And People are roughly evenly break up on whether or not public elementary colleges ought to train about gender id.’ One of many causes to speak this up, after all, isn’t merely to encourage the bottom, however to lure Democrats right into a struggle on terrain that is more difficult for them. Democrats would slightly struggle Republicans on points the place they’ve a famous benefit, like defending Social Safety and Medicare, than on issues like gender id the place their coalition is split.” • It has been my view for a while that intercourse and gender can be a difficulty in 2024; and that it might be ugly. Republican governors — Youngkin, DeSantis — are well-positioned to use this concern, because it’s largely being fought out on the faculty board stage. I additionally don’t know if the Democrats are that divided. The NGOs will not be; the elected management isn’t.

Democrats en Déshabillé

Affected person readers, it appears that evidently persons are truly studying the back-dated submit! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are lots of updates. So I should try this. –lambert

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Occasion (“the Democrat Occasion is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated submit, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “stay” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Occasion is, in actual fact, a tough downside. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Occasion is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Occasion didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working elements of the Occasion reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Occasion (ka-ching, however not fully) these components comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.

Be aware, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

* * *

What a fantastic quote from SBF:

SBF’s straw donations concerned
“woke shit for transactional functions” (per one political guide) and “darkish” Republican spending, per new indictment pic.twitter.com/hZhuIHCcLs

— Andrew Prokop (@awprokop) February 23, 2023

“[W]oke shit for transactional functions.” Absolutely not? Atrios is 100% right:

each bizarre heel flip, each seemingly respectable one that all of the sudden was a giant asshole, SBF BUCKS!

— Atrios (@Atrios) February 23, 2023

Nonetheless ready for the blockbuster tales!

“‘Average PAC’ is newest big-money push to maintain Democrats in line on Israel” [MondoWeiss]. “A brand new Democratic political motion committee (PAC) has arisen, devoted to cultivating what it refers to as ‘reasonable insurance policies.’ It stands towards Republicans, because it helps solely Democrats, however primarily, it goals to maneuver the Democratic get together to the appropriate. It’s the most recent iteration of conservative efforts to revive the classical conservatism that has been drowned by right-wing fanaticism, creating the so-called “By no means-Trump Republicans” who don’t have a political residence for the second…. The brand new PAC, which intends to boost a minimum of $20 million to focus on progressive candidates within the 2024 election, at the moment has just one main donor: billionaire Jeffrey Yass. That title will not be acquainted to most People, but it surely’s one we have to get to know higher. Yass, sometimes called the richest particular person in Pennsylvania, is the driving power behind funding for the Kohelet Discussion board, a company that bears quite a lot of accountability for pushing Israeli coverage to the far proper, and whose community expands not solely all through Israel but in addition deep into the US…. Within the U.S., Yass is a serious determine within the background of Republican donations. He’s a number one funder of Membership for Progress, which helps the Trump base of the Republican get together, together with many who sought to overturn the 2020 election.” • Oh good. Extra on Yass from (sigh) WikiPedia: “He’s the co-founder and managing director of the Philadelphia-based Susquehanna Worldwide Group (SIG) and an early investor in TikTok. In 2001, he joined the manager advisory council of the Cato Institute.”

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Will the Left Stand As much as the Deep State?” [Compact]. “In 2020, Mickey Windecker confirmed up in Denver smoking cigars, driving a hearse loaded with weapons, and speaking ultra-radical claptrap about having served with Marxist Kurdish guerrillas in Syria. Regardless of his preposterous persona, Windecker managed to entrap one BLM activist into pleading responsible on weapons fees. He additionally labored to inflame peaceable demonstrations by ‘encouraging folks to interrupt home windows and main marches straight into police traps.’ Windecker and his FBI handlers even tried to recruit BLM activists into an assassination plot towards Colorado Lawyer Basic Phil Weiser. Finally unsuccessful, this scheme exhibits the outrageous lengths to which the bureau will go to fabricate threats. It’s cheap to imagine this was not the one current FBI infiltration of a left political motion.” • So, the Democrats have a really clear selection right here: Supporting BLM, or the organs of state safety. I’m wondering why their selection might be?

#COVID19

Seems to be like “leveling off to a excessive plateau” throughout the board. (I nonetheless suppose “One thing Terrible” is coming, nevertheless. I imply, moreover what we already find out about.) Keep secure on the market!

• Readers, for the reason that nationwide information techniques in the US are being vandalized, let’s begin accumulating hyperlinks to state information, too. If readers would ship me hyperlinks (see Plant beneath) to their favourite State and native dashboards/wastewater websites, that will be nice. Canadians, too! Or depart a hyperlink in Feedback.

Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information).

Sources, United States (Native): CA (dashboard), Marin; CO (wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NM (dashboard); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater). Not purposeful: UT (dashboard).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Festoonic, Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JF, Joe, John, JM (2), JW, Michael King, LaRuse, mrsyk, otisyves, Petal (5), RK, nRL, RM, Rod, tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White. (Readers, I’m not placing your deal with subsequent to your contribution as a result of I hope and count on the checklist might be lengthy, and I need it to be simple to scan. (In case you depart your hyperlink in feedback, I exploit your deal with. In case you ship it to me by way of electronic mail, I exploit your initials (within the absence of a deal with.)

• Extra like this, please! Whole: 1 6 11 18 20 22 26/50 (52% of US states). We should always checklist states that don’t have Covid sources, or have stopped updating their websites, so others don’t look fruitlessly. Thanks!

Search for the Helpers

“Inside these dad and mom’ lengthy, nerdy battle over tips on how to enhance air high quality in Calgary colleges” [CBC]. “[T]his stuff issues, particularly for Canadians, who spend a lot time indoors throughout the winter months. These techniques ship nearly all of the air we breathe…. Faculty directors say they’ve upgraded the filters in these techniques “wherever potential” to a better customary, generally known as MERV-13. These filters are a lot better at trapping tiny particles, comparable to viruses, within the air…. Each the Calgary Board of Training (CBE) and the Calgary Catholic Faculty District (CCSD) say they’ve put air flow upgrades on the core of their technique to enhance air high quality in colleges. Along with MERV-13 filters, they are saying they’ve taken extra protecting steps, comparable to setting the techniques to maximise fresh-air consumption and working them in ‘occupied mode’ earlier than and after faculty every day to additional flush out stale air and exchange it with clear air. In Edmonton, nevertheless, the general public faculty board has gone a step additional. It made comparable upgrades to its air flow techniques, but it surely didn’t cease there. It additionally bought almost 6,000 moveable HEPA filter models — sufficient for each classroom and workplace — as a further layer of safety from viruses, allergens and different airborne particles that may make folks sick. ‘We invested in these measures in an effort to supply the most secure potential studying and dealing environments for our employees and college students,’ mentioned Veronica Jubinville, a spokesperson with Edmonton Public Faculties. These moveable HEPA filters have been put in in Edmonton final spring. Ever since, the group of involved dad and mom right here in Calgary have been questioning why the identical can’t occur of their children’ lecture rooms. ‘I can’t perceive why anybody would block these measures,’ mentioned Lacey Elliot, who has one baby in kindergarten and one other in Grade 2. ‘All of us breathe air. We all know how viruses are transmitted. We now have the sources to maintain our children wholesome and additional assist alleviate this public well being concern. Why would we not do that?’” • Value studying in full. The dad and mom smuggled in CO2 meters!

Maskstravaganza

“Greater than $200 Million in Metropolis-Bought COVID Gear Auctioned Off For Simply $500,000” [The City]. “An investigation by THE CITY has decided that since final summer season, the Division of Citywide Administrative Companies (DCAS) has systematically tried to public sale off thousands and thousands of {dollars} price of COVID-related private protecting gear (PPE) and medical provides — robes, face shields, hand sanitizer, KN95 masks, N95 masks — that the division determined are not wanted. Many of those provides stay of their authentic packaging and are brand-new. The Metropolis was capable of join particular auctions to twenty COVID-related medical provide contracts and confirmed the gross sales with a supply conversant in the company’s public sale efforts who spoke to THE CITY on the situation of anonymity. About 9.5 million gadgets bought by town authorities from $224 million in COVID-related contracts on the pandemic’s 2020 peak have been auctioned to this point, garnering about $500,000.” • Why on earth didn’t the Metropolis simply give all of it away, to guard its personal residents?

One other flawless victory for scientific communication from the general public well being institution:

This fall we had just a few days of very poor air high quality from smoke. I went to a parent-teacher council assembly the place ppl waited exterior masked, then ripped their masks off as soon as let in, though it was nonetheless visibly smoky inside and group COVID ranges have been excessive. 🤦‍♀️

— Dr. Rachel Rochester (@RaRaRhapsody) February 23, 2023

Elite Malfeasance

“The COVID-19 Pandemic Will Be Over When People Assume It Is” [Steven Phillips, Time]. “[T]he nation is not going to absolutely emerge from the COVID-19 pandemic till most individuals in our various nation settle for the danger and penalties of publicity to a ubiquitous SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19.” • Rule #2. Hilarity ensues: As soon as once more, “private threat evaluation” is a gigantic tax on time. Additional, the powers-that-be are systematically eradicating all the information sources most people would use to carry out threat assessments; Johns Hopkins shutting down its laudable efforts being solely the newest. Lastly, elites don’t have any inclination no matter to simply accept the “dangers and penalties of publicity”; therefore Davos Man ventilating and filtering his air; Biden ventilating and filtering his gymnasium look; and Jha and Walensky’s rich group spending thousands and thousands to ventilate its faculty system. Extra: “A current nationwide ballot demonstrates a strikingly divided public, not able to make peace with the virus: whereas almost half say that they’ve returned to their pre-COVID life, one-third nonetheless imagine that is greater than a yr away or by no means.” “Make peace” with the virus? Did this dude actually write that? “Make peace” with the vascular and neurological harm? “Make peace” with Lengthy Covid? Additionally, one-third is a remarkably excessive quantity, given the large wave of eugenicist propaganda that day by day engulfs us. Lastly: “As a substitute a sharper understanding may be gained by an agnostic analysis of the proof and science. In the present day, this strongly helps a brand new paradigm of ‘dwelling with the virus’ by accepting publicity for many People.” • What a vile screed. Phillips is a member of the American School of Epidemiology. I’m wondering in the event that they help his view? Or have they joined what can solely be characterised as a dying cult? (Not for elites, after all; only for the remainder of us.) Phillips is kind of a personality:

The creator of this piece, Steven Phillips, has written quite a few different items selling unmitigated an infection is an operative for Chatham Home,a British led org., which dictates orders by the CFR to the US. He is additionally linked to ExxonMobil.https://t.co/5z53lrusRq pic.twitter.com/VkoreWpKeM

— Brewster (@Brewsterlala) February 23, 2023

I don’t settle for “dictates”; that’s not how Flex Nets work. Nonetheless, it’s good to know that Phillips is Blob-adjacent.

“The Flu-ification of COVID Coverage Is Virtually Full” [The Atlantic]. The deck: “The federal government is pushing tougher than ever to make ‘yearly COVID photographs’ a factor.” Thankfully, the Covid variant prepare solely leaves every year. “A seasonal technique works greatest for a seasonal virus—and SARS-CoV-2 simply isn’t there but, says Hana El Sahly, an infectious-disease doctor at Baylor School of Medication. Although flu viruses are inclined to hop between the globe’s hemispheres, alternately troubling the north and the south throughout their respective chilly months, this new coronavirus has but to restrict its unfold to at least one a part of the calendar. (Marks, of the FDA, tried to deal with this concern at in the present day’s assembly, asserting that “we’re beginning to see some seasonality” and that fall was certainly very smart for an annual rollout.) SARS-CoV-2 has additionally been spitting out regarding variants and subvariants at a sooner price than the flu (and flu photographs have already got a tough time maintaining with evolution). The FDA’s new proposal suggests choosing SARS-CoV-2 variants in June to have a vaccine prepared by September, a shorter timeline than is used for flu. That also won’t be quick sufficient: “By the point we detect a variant, it should have ripped by the worldwide inhabitants and, in just a few extra weeks, died down,” El Sahly informed me. The world bought a preview of this downside with final yr’s bivalent shot, which overlapped with the dominance of its goal subvariants for under a few months. A flu mannequin for COVID would make extra sense “if we had steady, predictable dynamics,” says Avnika Amin, a vaccine epidemiologist at Emory College. “I don’t suppose we’re at that time.”

The Jackpot

Case Information

NOT UPDATED BioBot wastewater information from February 21:

For now, I’m going to make use of this nationwide wastewater information as the most effective proxy for case information (ignoring the medical case information portion of this chart, which in my opinion “goes unhealthy” after March 2022, for causes as but unexplained). At the least we will spot developments, and evaluate present ranges to equal previous ranges.

Lambert right here: As soon as once more, what occurred on or earlier than March 16? I’ve marked the date on the chart, as a result of a minimum of one different particular person has a solution:

I don’t suppose there’s only one issue, although. Walensky’s scarlet letter comment was February 24, 2022 (which speaks to holding the case price excessive, regardless of that the case depend is low).

Positivity

From the Walgreen’s take a look at positivity tracker, revealed February 23:

-1.8%. Nonetheless excessive, however eventually a definite downturn

Deaths

Dying price (Our World in Information):

Whole: 1,143,760 – 1,142,981 – 1,142,704 = 779 (779 * 365 = 284,335 deaths per yr, in the present day’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would really like, although they will speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may should resolve that is what the powers-that-be contemplate “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of dying and illness). Effectively, the full wasn’t 192 once more. Not that I really feel higher about it.

It’s good that for deaths I’ve a easy, day by day chart that simply retains chugging alongside, in contrast to the whole lot else CDC and the White Home are screwing up or letting go darkish, good job. (Although CDC could also be jiggering the numbers quickly. Decrease, naturally.)

• “Why the Covid-19 Dying Toll within the U.S. Is Nonetheless Rising” [Wall Street Journal]. “The U.S. averaged about 400 deaths a day in a three-month span protecting November by January, based mostly on weekly Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention counts of dying certificates itemizing Covid-19 because the underlying or contributing trigger. Information from the newest weeks are incomplete. There was important enchancment: The nation averaged roughly 1,700 deaths a day in the identical interval a yr earlier than. The identical wintertime interval two years in the past was even worse: about 2,800 day by day deaths. The present tempo, nevertheless, remains to be sufficient to maintain Covid-19 among the many main causes of dying within the U.S. The illness ranked at No. 3 in 2020 and 2021, behind coronary heart illness and most cancers, and may rank there once more in 2022 Deaths attributable to Covid are closely concentrated among the many aged, an evaluation of CDC information exhibits. In current weeks folks 75 years and older have represented about seven of each 10 Covid-19 deaths. This age group peaked at 64% of the full throughout the extreme winter surge two years in the past and tumbled as little as a one-third of deaths when the Delta variant struck in 2021.” • Effectively, a minimum of we’re serving to to maintain the Social Safety belief fund solvent. Everybody should do their half!

Stats Watch

There are not any official statistics of curiosity in the present day.

The Bezzle: “Science Fiction Magazines Battle a Flood of Chatbot-Generated Tales” [New York Times]. “The editors of three science fiction magazines — Clarkesworld, The Journal of Fantasy & Science Fiction, and Asimov’s Science Fiction — mentioned this week that that they had been flooded by submissions of works of fiction generated by A.I. chatbots…. [Neil Clarke, the editor of Clarkesworld] declined to be extra particular, saying he didn’t need to give these submitting the tales any benefits. The writing can be ‘unhealthy in spectacular methods,’ Mr. Clarke mentioned. ‘They’re simply prompting, dumping, pasting and submitting to {a magazine}.’ He wrote on Twitter that the submissions have been largely ‘pushed by ‘facet hustle’ consultants making claims of simple cash with ChatGPT.’ ‘It’s not simply going to go away by itself, and I don’t have an answer,’ Mr. Clarke wrote on his weblog. ‘I’m tinkering with some, however this isn’t a sport of whack-a-mole that anybody can ‘win.’ The very best we will hope for is to bail sufficient water to remain afloat. (Like we wanted yet another factor to bail.)’” • So OpenAI has enabled bottom-feeder tech hustlers to cream off the margin of small literary magazines. Swell. Good job. Progress.

In the present day’s Worry & Greed Index: 64 Greed (earlier shut: 63 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 72 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Feb 22 at 1:58 PM ET.

Photograph E-book

Healthcare

“Defending the Legitimacy of Medical Experience” [New England Journal of Medicine]. “Medical licensing provides medical doctors one thing unusual in the US: monopoly safety precluding unlicensed folks from competing to supply providers. In upholding the legality of state licensing of medical doctors in 1889, the Supreme Court docket noticed that as a result of ‘comparatively few can choose of the {qualifications} of [a physician’s] studying and talent,’ the general public should depend on ‘the reassurance given by his license, issued by an authority competent to evaluate in that respect, that he possesses the requisite {qualifications}.’ Licensing boards — composed largely of physicians, with some illustration from the lay public — due to this fact have an obligation to make sure that the practitioners they license meet sure minimal requirements. Extra privileges are conferred by certifying boards, which give assurance that the specialised physicians they certify have met professionally decided requirements on the finish of coaching and over the course of their profession; board certification is usually relied on as a part of hiring and privileging choices in well being care settings…. [E]xpertise and authority are more and more seen as means for elites to ascertain and help present hierarchies…. Maybe essentially the most substantial menace to experience is that members of the general public are coming to imagine that details don’t exist — that each one details are political and due to this fact a matter of opinion.” • The rapid stimulus for this text is state laws prohibiting medical doctors from perscribing Ivermectin. That controversy apart, a outstanding variety of M.D.s are swerving out of their lanes (see right here) and leveraging their credentials to take eugenicist views on masking, epidemiology, public well being, and so forth. If ever there may be an instance of “establishing” and “supporting” “present hierarchies,” that is it. Ditto “details don’t exist,” of which anti-masker medical doctors present many effective examples. And talking of IVM:

Be aware as soon as once more the hospital-centric viewpoint: Prophylaxis isn’t thought-about in Swaminathan’s little joke. And I like Greenhalgh; she’s carried out some nice work!

Groves of Academe

Our Famously Free Press

Class Warfare

East Palestine:

“Railroaded Half 4 – NTSB report day in East Palestine and my interview about it with The Lever” (interview) [The Holler]. John Russell of The Holler is interviewed by Frank Capallo of The Stage: “[CAPALLO]: “You’ve additionally been talking to the rail staff about this particular derailment, which they’re saying was attributable to a wheel bearing concern slightly than the brake system. So are you able to go into just a little little bit of element about that? As a result of I don’t suppose that is one thing that our viewers has actually heard about but. [RUSSELL:] However there’s video of this wheel bearing glowing white sizzling for as a lot as 20 miles earlier than the derailment. And this was caught by ring doorbell cameras, safety footage, and so forth…. As a result of had these braking system has been up to date and the chemical compounds labeled precisely this catastrophe and the response possible would have been a lot much less horrible. Rail staff have been telling me about this wheel bearing since I arrived right here. And so they’ve additionally informed me that PSR, precision scheduled railroad, has put strain on each side of how the railroads are run, together with inspection and upkeep on issues like wheel bearings.” • Effectively, I’m glad that lastly anyone at The Stage is aware of concerning the bearing (“the recent field“). (It has occurred to me that the rapid deal with regulating braking techniques + regulation vs. bearings + Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR) has attraction for liberal Democrats, (a) as a result of they might deal with blaming Trump (appropriately) for deregulation, whereas (b) not speaking to precise rail staff, who they only screwed over with their anti-strike laws, and (c) positively averted speaking about employee empowerment, not to mention nationalization, which speaking about PSR would have entailed. I used to be stunned to see Lever Information erasing the views of rail staff, however these are unusual instances). Nevertheless, I don’t see a purpose to separate the distinction on braking techniques. Once more, for those who examine what rail staff should say, you will see that that the East Palestine prepare was improperly “blocked,” with the heavy vehicles on the entrance. I would wish to know that new braking techniques would deliver an improperly blocked prepare to a secure cease. That is naturally not addressed

Extra on Norfolk Southern:

The thread additionally particulars one other Norfolk Southern “sizzling field” incident, this time on an engine, which led to a derailment by which “dumped hundreds of gallons of molten paraffin wax within the metropolis of Sandusky, additionally in Ohio.”

“Norfolk Southern CEO to East Palestine residents: ‘I perceive the anger’” [The Hill]. No, you don’t. You actually don’t. “Jim Stewart, who mentioned he has lived in East Palestine for 65 years, mentioned that he not feels secure within the city, and is anxious concerning the worth of his residence. He mentioned he has had a lingering cough for the reason that derailment and has developed a rash on his cheek. ‘Did you shorten my life, now? I need to retire and luxuriate in it. How are we gonna get pleasure from it? You burned me,’ he mentioned. ‘We have been going to promote our home. Our price went poof. Do I mow the grass? Do I — can I plant tomatoes subsequent summer season? What can I do? I’m afraid to.’” •

“Ohio prepare derailment: Residents confront officers as Norfolk Southern pronounces new cleanup plan” [ABC]. [Norfolk Southern Railway President and CEO Alan Shaw.] informed East Palestine residents that Norfolk Southern is ‘completely centered on security’ and the corporate invests greater than $1 billion every year towards upkeep and gear. However he admitted that ‘clearly it is a scenario the place our security tradition and our investments didn’t forestall this accident.’” • Nor did your bonuses, inventory buybacks, or Precision Scheduled Railroading. “Security tradition” my Candy Aunt Fanny. So guys like Shaw, meaning having one man drive a two-mile lengthy prepare. That’s what they’re aiming for, and it’s ridiculous.

“Norfolk Southern, in wake of poisonous derailment, provides in on sick days for certainly one of its unions” [CNN]. “Norfolk Southern has agreed to offer certainly one of its unions the paid sick days it demanded for members in negotiations final yr, and is in talks to grant sick days to its different unions as properly. The announcement comes hours after the corporate’s chief monetary officer, Mark George, informed buyers that it’s nonetheless struggling to fill the open positions it has at virtually all 95 places the place employees relies. George additionally mentioned the corporate could have reduce employees too deep throughout the early days of the pandemic, and that it has had hassle bringing again laid-off employees members. ‘Norfolk Southern’s success is constructed upon , and we’re dedicated to bettering their high quality of life in partnership with our union leaders,’ mentioned Norfolk Southern CEO Alan Shaw in an announcement saying the deal.” • Feels like Shaw doesn’t need the railroads to be nationalized. We should always try this whether or not he needs it or not.

Information of the Wired

“‘He created one thing magical’: Calvin and Hobbes followers rejoice as creator plans first work in a long time” [Guardian]. ” Final week’s announcement of Watterson’s first main work in almost 30 years – The Mysteries, a vibrantly illustrated “fable for grown-ups” – shocked followers and known as for celebration. ‘That is fairly thrilling and monumental that he’s releasing a complete ebook,’ says Nevin Martell of Washington DC, a lifelong reader and the creator of On the lookout for Calvin and Hobbes, a narrative of the strip and Watterson that’s additionally half memoir. ‘I’m stunned and but not stunned – stunned within the sense that he’s placing one thing out, not stunned that since he’s placing one thing out, it’s so wildly totally different from what he did on Calvin and Hobbes.’… The ebook is a collaboration between Watterson and the celebrated caricaturist John Kascht, and it seems far bleaker than both illustrator’s earlier work. The few revealed panels are sombre and foreboding, introduced in shades of grey. ‘The model of the writing, the model of the artwork is extremely totally different from Calvin and Hobbes. And I believe that’s a really aware determination on [Watterson’s] half. He wouldn’t ever need to be pigeonholed as simply the Calvin and Hobbes man,’ Martell says.”

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