2:00PM Water Cooler 2/23/2024 | bare capitalism

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chook Track of the Day

Ruby-crowned Kinglet, 1.5 km WSW of Johnsontown, Berkeley, West Virginia, United States. “Conduct and different notes: Grownup male Ruby-crowned Kinglet giving calls and subsong whereas foraging within the decrease branches of a Virginia Pine.”

Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

2024

Lower than a yr to go!

* * *

This week’s polling:

* * *

Trump (R): “Might Tulsi Gabbard Develop into Trump’s Very Bizarre VP Alternative?” [Ed Kilgore, New York Magazine]. “you don’t actually see many individuals or politicians go from far left to far proper or again once more. An exception is clearly former Democratic congresswoman and presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard. An enormous-time backer of Bernie Sanders in 2016, and a favourite of the anti-war left, Gabbard’s most well-known second on the 2020 Democratic nomination path was her sharp assault on Kamala Harris in a debate for placing ‘over 1,500 individuals in jail for marijuana violations’ as a prosecutor. As we speak, although, Gabbard is scheduled be the keynote speaker at a Mar-a-Lago fundraising dinner for the 917 Society — a nonprofit finest recognized for distributing pocket-size copies of the Structure… Gabbard hasn’t endorsed Trump for president simply but, however she’s positively been on a sojourn towards MAGA-land for some time now. Her strongly anti-interventionist views (together with hostility to any help to Ukraine) has been a relentless. However in October 2022, she formally left the Democratic Occasion… Quickly thereafter, Gabbard’s trajectory was made clear by her endorsement of the Senate candidacy of MAGA favourite J.D. Vance. …. At an occasion in South Carolina earlier this week, Fox Information’ Laura Ingraham requested [Trump] a few record of vice-presidential prospects that included Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Kristi Noem … and Gabbard. Trump replied: All ‘of these individuals are good. They’re all stable.” (His marketing campaign later clarified that DeSantis was not into consideration, and that Elise Stefanik was a chance, too.) It’s well-known that Staff Trump is all for broadening his coalition by selecting a veep who’s a lady, an individual of colour, or somebody nicely outdoors the political Institution. Gabbard suits all three standards.” • Hmm. Trump might do worse.

Trump (R): “The Swiftboater Coming for Biden” [David Freedlander, New York Magazine]. “A longtime brawler and veteran of Republican politics, together with the notorious Swift Boat Veterans for Fact marketing campaign towards John Kerry in 2004, as we speak LaCivita is formally senior adviser to Donald Trump’s presidential marketing campaign — however he’s actually the de facto co–marketing campaign supervisor together with Susie Wiles. Collectively, they’ve introduced an unprecedented stage of self-discipline to the marketing campaign’s third iteration.” And: “In accordance with a dozen individuals engaged on and near the marketing campaign, Wiles and LaCivita have discovered that a part of Trump’s attraction is the efficiency and that he can’t actually be managed anyway — look no additional than Trump randomly urging Russia to assault NATO members. As a substitute, Wiles manages inner issues (“She controls the checkbook,” as one individual put it) whereas LaCivita plots the general technique. He ran the bottom sport in Iowa that crushed Ron DeSantis within the caucuses and pushed the Republican events of Nevada and California to alter their delegate-allocation guidelines to favor Trump.” Importantly: “‘2016 was a completely shambolic operation, only a man on a aircraft surrounded by a rotating solid of jokers,’ says Liam Donovan, a Republican strategist. ‘By 2020, you had a extra professionalized operation, however the marketing campaign was led by his internet designer till the house stretch. He got here shut with the B-team, and now we get to see what occurs if you usher in a number of the most shrewd, calculating, and ruthless operators within the get together.’” • After all, there is the funds….

* * *

Haley (R): “She’s not quitting. Takeaways from Nikki Haley’s push to remain within the GOP contest towards Trump” [Associated Press]. “Forward of a significant speech on Tuesday, Haley instructed The Related Press that she’s staying within the race it doesn’t matter what at the very least till after one other 20 states vote by means of Tremendous Tuesday on March 5.” Not a very long time. Extra: “However someway, even because the losses start to pile up, Haley is elevating cash on the strongest price of her political profession. Haley’s marketing campaign raised $5 million in a fundraising swing after her second-place end in New Hampshire that included stops in Texas, Florida, New York, and California, in keeping with marketing campaign spokesperson Olivia Perez-Cubas. Her marketing campaign raised $16.5 million in January alone — her finest fundraising month ever. She raised one other $1 million final week within the 24 hours after Trump attacked her husband, a navy serviceman at the moment serving abroad.” And: “‘Individuals are not wanting six months down the street when these courtroom circumstances have taken place,’ Haley mentioned. ‘He’s going to be in a courtroom all of March, April, Could and June. How on the earth do you win a normal election when these circumstances hold going and the judgments hold coming?’” • query, that the Trump marketing campaign group has little question thought-about fastidiously.

Haley (R): “The Democrats Paying for Nikki Haley to Keep within the Race” [The American Conservative]. “A POLITICO evaluation of FEC filings by Haley’s marketing campaign discovered that, in January alone, roughly 1,600 donors to President Joe Biden’s marketing campaign in 2020 additionally donated to Haley’s marketing campaign. These weren’t simply small-dollar donors; they have been liable for greater than $500,000 of donations final month. In whole, greater than 5,200 donors to Biden’s 2020 marketing campaign have donated to Haley’s main marketing campaign.” • So Haley’s attraction is bipartisan!

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Biden (D): “Biden’s cheat sheets at fundraisers fear donors” [Axios]. “President Biden has been utilizing notecards in closed-door fundraisers, calling on prescreened donors after which consulting his notes to offer detailed solutions, in keeping with individuals acquainted with the routine. Biden’s reliance on notecards to assist clarify his personal coverage positions — on questions he is aware of are coming — is elevating considerations amongst some donors about Biden’s age. The staged Q&A classes have left some donors questioning whether or not Biden can stand up to the trials of a presidential marketing campaign, not to mention potential debates with former President Trump, 77. Biden advisers say the president is given notecards just for very detailed and technical questions, and say he steadily does spontaneous Q&As. Most up-to-date presidents — together with Trump, George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush and Barack Obama — have carried crib notes, or used teleprompters, to assist information them by means of numerous public occasions and conferences. In Biden’s case, donors have seen he’s additionally utilizing notecards in personal occasions. Biden’s notecards are partly the results of a detail-oriented workers that wishes to make sure his fundraisers are profitable.” • Which certainly they’ve been.

Biden (D): “Outdated Yeller” [Axios]. “In personal, [Biden’s] susceptible to yelling… Biden has such a quick-trigger mood that some aides attempt to keep away from assembly alone with him. Some take a colleague, virtually as a defend towards a solo blast. The president’s admonitions embody: “God dammit, how the f**ok don’t this?!,” “Don’t f**king bullsh*t me!” and “Get the f**ok out of right here!” — in keeping with present and former Biden aides who’ve witnessed and been on the receiving finish of such outbursts. The personal eruptions paint a extra difficult image of Biden as a supervisor and president than his fastidiously cultivated picture as a kindly uncle who loves Aviator sun shades and ice cream. Senior and lower-level aides alike will be in Biden’s line of fireside. ‘Nobody is secure,’ mentioned one administration official.” • In order that explains Grasp and Commander (“Outdated Yeller” is, after all, the identify of a canine, so Axios was giving a reasonably broad trace, right here).

Biden (D): “What occurs if Biden drops out? The chaotic 1968 Democratic conference may very well be a clue” [Business Insider]. “That state of affairs hasn’t occurred since 1968. In late March, because the US involvement within the struggle in Vietnam raged on, Democratic President Lyndon B. Johnson introduced he would finish his reelection bid following a slim win in New Hampshire’s state main. Lower than every week later, a shooter killed civil rights chief Martin Luther King Jr. in Memphis, stoking much more nationwide drama. With out Johnson, the plain Democratic nominee, his vp, Hubert Humphrey, joined the first fray towards Sen. Eugene McCarthy and Sen. Robert F. Kennedy. Having joined the election cycle late within the sport, Humphrey was unable to make it onto a number of main ballots. Undeterred, his marketing campaign amassed delegates by way of an unconventional technique: having allies stand in for him in sure primaries to disrupt the competitors and permit state get together leaders to ship the delegates his method. After months of strategic campaigning, in early June, Humphrey had a large delegate lead over Kennedy and a a number of hundred delegate lead forward of McCarthy. His marketing campaign’s technique gave the impression to be working, however an sudden nationwide tragedy rapidly difficult its plans: Kennedy was assassinated, upending the first race. With no candidate having amassed a majority of the nation’s delegates, the Democratic presidential nominee was determined on the 1968 Democratic Nationwide Conference in Chicago, the place anti-war protesters angrily demonstrated outdoors.” I keep in mind watching the conference reside on a black-and-white TV; the white tear gasoline was vivid because the Chicago cops attacked the protesters; I particularly keep in mind a bunch of them clubbing a black-robed priest. Then there was Mayor Daley yelling “Kike!” at Abraham Ribicoff, who was antiwar. A spectacle certainly. Extra: “Because it stands, it doesn’t seem that the DNC has any need to recreate 1968’s contested conference in any capability. Chairman Jaime Harrison mentioned Monday that the thought of taking the nomination away from Biden after which successful in November — possible towards former President Donald Trump — is ‘certifiably loopy really.’ Except Biden stuns the get together and instantly drops out, the present 81-year-old president is on a quick monitor to acquiring the Democratic presidential nomination.” • Occasions, pricey boy, occasions; that’s what it could take. Volatility, pricey boy, volatility.

Biden (D): “A Vote for Trump Is a Vote for Putin—and a World in Hazard” [David Rothkopf, The Daily Beast]. “It’s time to transfer past the political spin supplied by GOP propagandists and Web trolls and acknowledge that Trump and the MAGA motion are as we speak lively belongings of Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin, as important to Russia’s future international ambitions as that nation’s personal armed forces…. After greater than eight years of compiling proof that demonstrates Russia’s efforts to co-opt the American proper is probably essentially the most profitable intelligence operation of our time, now we have to reject the clear vocabulary of keyboard warriors [reporters] that also cry ‘hoax’ each time new and irrefutable proof of GOP-Russia ties is introduced.” • (Rothkopf is a totally paid-up pseudopodium of The Blob.) Rattling. What’s that warbling sound?

Biden (D): “The ‘Russia Collusion’ Reboot Is Going To Be Horrible” [The Federalist]. “‘I don’t know what [Putin] has on [Trump], however I believe it’s most likely monetary,’ Pelosi theorized. ‘Both one thing monetary he has him on or one thing on the come — one thing that he expects to get.’… If Democrats had widespread decency, they’d cook dinner up a recent conspiracy idea for us in 2024, as a result of, actually, the prospect of reliving the identical hysterics over Russia for an additional yr—or 4—is simply miserable…. Now, I don’t care how a lot you detest Trump. Accusing him of being a overseas asset or a spy, or contending that he’s being blackmailed, are silly smears. Solely a sap or a liar might probably consider them at this level. Pelosi, cynically taking part in on the credulous nature of her constituents, absolutely doesn’t. She is aware of a virtually two-year particular counsel investigation — largely prompted by a political oppo file paid for by Democrats — did not uncover a single act of ‘collusion’ in 2016, a lot much less kompromat on Trump. There have been congressional investigations. There have been leaked tax returns. Each main media group within the nation spent an inordinate period of time and treasure attempting to show Trump’s alleged sedition. This is the reason Pelosi is compelled to border Trump’s alleged treachery as future quid professional quo. It’s actually troublesome to disprove future occasions.” • If Pelosi is projecting, that will indicate blackmail is widespread within the Democrat “interior get together.”

Biden (D): “FBI informant who lied in regards to the Bidens’ ties to Ukrainian vitality firm had high-level Russian contacts: DOJ” [FOX]. • I’ve been remiss in protecting this story for 2 causes: First, I don’t prefer it when spooks come out of nowhere and disturb the narrative circulation. Second, Smirnov? Just like the vodka? Actually?

* * *

“They surveyed 10,000 rural voters. Right here’s what they realized.” (interview) [Politico]. “The sharp swing of rural voters towards the Republican Occasion for the reason that Eighties can’t be defined by merely taking a look at demographic indicators like race, age and schooling, say Colby Faculty professors Nicholas Jacobs and Daniel Shea, who printed [The Rural Voter: The Politics of Place and the Disuniting of America] in November.”

After crunching the survey knowledge, you determine place-based grievance and anxiousness because the strongest indicators of being a rural voter. What’s place-based anxiousness or grievance, and why is it so essential?

JACOBS: Demographic indicators don’t try this good of a job [of identifying rural voters] in comparison with values. … While you ask questions in regards to the neighborhood: Is your neighborhood higher off? Will your youngsters have to depart your neighborhood as a way to reside a productive life? Are politicians listening to the wants of your neighborhood? That may be a distinguishing function of ruralness. Rural individuals are serious about their rural communities otherwise. Suburbanites and urbanites are usually not serious about that.

(“Strive that in a small city.”) And:

What are a number of the implications of your analysis for the 2024 presidential election?

SHEA: I hope Democrats recognize the dimensions of the agricultural voting bloc. This can be a group of voters that’s extra essential for the Republican Occasion than both Black voters or younger voters are for the Democratic coalition. This can be a large essential group, and if the Democrats can’t chip away and make some inroads, it’s not good on a nationwide stage and it’s going to be very dangerous on the state-level. … One of many causes it might be arduous for Democrats to enter rural areas is that they’ve come to consider these are bastions of loopy Trumpers. … However what we present on this ebook is that there are real considerations that pre-date Donald Trump by many years. Take the anxiousness that every one People really feel in regards to the future, double it, and prolong it again further many years. That’s the story of rural America.

I might certain like a helpful map of rural votes in Swing States, however a cursory search doesn’t yield one. Readers?

* * *

“The presidential cash machine is stalling out, and there are warning indicators for each Biden and Trump” [Politico]. “Joe Biden and Donald Trump are elevating much less cash than previous presidential candidates, and each are spending large to shore up their weaknesses. Biden has spent hundreds of thousands on adverts which might be thus far failing to arrest his decline within the polls, and Trump, in even worse monetary form, is blowing by means of tens of hundreds of thousands of {dollars} on authorized prices to remain on the marketing campaign path and forestall a doable jail sentence. Collectively, Biden’s $56 million in money available heading into this month and Trump’s $30.5 million are much less mixed than Trump alone had this time 4 years in the past, $92.6 million. The candidates are nonetheless elevating hundreds of thousands — Biden raised $15.7 million in January — however gone are the eye-popping sums from earlier cycles, which boomed as on-line giving grew to become commonplace. Donor fatigue, particularly amongst these on-line small-dollar givers who powered Biden and Trump in 2020, means campaigns need to hold a good funds. Mix that with the way in which the candidates’ greatest deficiencies are consuming into their stockpiles, and there’s a rising prospect of a doable money crunch in the summertime and fall as soon as the final election begins in earnest. That would power the campaigns to focus on a smaller-than-typical record of battleground states, relatively than experimenting with expanded, extra formidable electoral targets and innovative-but-unproven methods of reaching new voters.” • Establishing a pure experiment in battleground states.

“Teamsters report first main GOP donation in years, stunning Republicans” [Axios]. “The Teamsters’ $45,000 donation to the Republican Nationwide Committee’s conference fund, per Federal Election Fee studies, comes as Trump and President Biden vie for blue collar assist in key swing states forward of this yr’s election. The reported contribution shouldn’t be an endorsement. But it surely’s a robust assertion from a union that’s supported each Democratic presidential nominee since Al Gore. It represents the Teamsters’ first large donation to the RNC since 2004, the Washington Submit studies.” However: “The get together has neither obtained a verify from the union nor heard something in regards to the contribution coming, a supply acquainted with the RNC instructed Axios…. Requested why the Teamsters reported the donation to the FEC earlier than sending the cash, spokesperson Kara Deniz mentioned the union has ‘a strict inner auditing and reporting course of that’s adopted earlier than any contributions are despatched.’”

* * *

“Phillips says he’s open to being Haley VP on ‘unity ticket’” [The Hill (CI)]. Phillips: “I believe America may very well be very nicely served by some kind of a bipartisan ticket that restores religion in authorities and most significantly, demonstrates to the world — to the world — that America can work collectively and restore its extraordinary model across the whole world.” • A branding train, then? Come on.

* * *

Our Famously Free Press

“CBS faces uproar after seizing investigative journalist’s information” [Jonathan Turley, The Hill]. Turley broke this story, apparently. “CBS officers took the bizarre step of seizing her information, computer systems and data, together with data on privileged sources…. I’ve spoken confidentially with present and former CBS workers who’ve acknowledged that they might not recall the corporate ever taking such a step earlier than. One former CBS journalist mentioned that many workers ‘are confused why [Herridge] was laid off, as one of many correspondents who broke information repeatedly and did a number of unique reporting.’…. A former CBS supervisor, who additionally spoke on situation of anonymity, mentioned that he had ‘by no means heard of something like this.’ He attested to the truth that, in previous departures, journalists took all of their information and workplace contents. Certainly, the corporate would field up every little thing from cups to post-its for departing reporters. He mentioned the holding of the fabric was ‘outrageous’ and clearly endangered confidential sources…. The timing of Herridge’s termination instantly raised suspicions in Washington. , together with CBS Information President Ingrid Ciprian-Matthews…. The community grabbed Herridge’s notes and information and knowledgeable her that it could determine what, if something, could be turned over to her. The information possible include confidential materials from each her stints at Fox and CBS. These data, it suggests, are presumptively the property of CBS Information. For many people who’ve labored within the media for many years, this motion is nothing in need of stunning. Journalists are usually allowed to depart with their information. Below the usual contract, together with the one at CBS, journalists agree that they may make information accessible to the community if wanted in future litigation. That presupposes that they may retain management of their information. Such information are essential for reporters, who use previous contacts and work in pursuing new tales with different shops or who cap their careers with private memoirs.” • One can solely marvel what story Herridge was about to interrupt. Maybe “endanger[ing] confidential sources” was the purpose?

Republican Funhouse

“Unique: Senate Republican calls for Biden block bank card firm merger” [Axios]. “Hawley’s stance aligns him with different critics of the deal, most of whom are Democrats, equivalent to Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) who additionally has referred to as for regulators to dam the deal…. Hawley was the primary Republican to name for the deal to be blocked, and it might sign extra scrutiny from the populist wing of the GOP.” • Hmm.

Democrats en Déshabillé

No person fear about Nancy, she’s doing high-quality:

That is getting ridiculous.

Nancy Pelosi’s $NVDA calls have made her $1,700,00 in 92 days, greater than eight instances her annual wage of ~$223,500.

With NVDA’s all time excessive, her $NVDA ITM calls are actually up 82%.

An American making $60k/yr requires ~30 years to make that quantity. pic.twitter.com/PeCwbZyf9o

— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) February 22, 2024

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Appeals courtroom guidelines NYC regulation permitting noncitizens to vote in native elections violates state structure” [The Hill]. “The Appellate Division for the Second Judicial Division dominated towards the invoice permitting noncitizens to vote in native New York Metropolis elections, together with for mayor, in a 3-1 determination launched Wednesday. The New York Metropolis Council accredited the invoice in 2021 and rapidly confronted a lawsuit difficult the regulation after Mayor Eric Adams (D) enacted it in 2022.”

#COVID19

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep secure on the market!

Covid is Airborne

“The Hurt of Air Adjustments” [Joey Fox, Medium]. Crucial. “[A]ir [C]hanges [per Hour (ACH)] is the improper approach to measure publicity to viruses and threat of airborne illness transmission…. Briefly, the hurt from any pollutant is expounded to the speed a pollutant is generated and the speed it’s eliminated. Infectious aerosols are generated by infectious individuals and pose a threat to vulnerable individuals. As extra individuals enter the house, the chance of the house will increase, so the quantity of unpolluted air delivered wants to extend. This is the reason the perfect metric for publicity to airborne infectious ailments is airflow per individual. That is utilized in ASHRAE 241.” And: “Rooms with increased occupant density are increased threat, however ACH fully ignores occupancy. ACH is the improper metric with no foundation in physics. This isn’t only a philosophical disagreement – it will probably have vital implications. Assessing threat is crucial for addressing the hurt for pollution. Failure to evaluate threat results in a failure to mitigate hurt.” Naturally, CDC has butchered this: “The CDC’s latest suggestions for public areas is to have 5 air adjustments per hour. Nonetheless, they admit themselves that the metric is commonly improper: ‘Massive quantity areas with only a few occupants (e.g., a warehouse) might not require 5 ACH and areas with excessive occupancy or higher-risk occupants might have increased than 5 ACH.’ If a ‘scientific; foundation to design areas solely works a number of the time, then it isn’t scientific.” • Facilities for Illness strikes once more.

Transmission

Readers in each the US and the UK: Can this probably be true? Is it true the place you’re?

So I discover it darkly amusing that coughing and sneezing is now so normalised and inspired in England that standard first rate individuals make completely no effort to cowl their cough or sneeze.
And nobody notices.
It was the logical subsequent step within the development.

— tern (@1goodtern) February 23, 2024

I imply, I suppose it may very well be:

Why ought to I cowl my mouth once I sneeze? If others are afraid, they will cowl THEIR mouths once I sneeze.

— Maxwell Smith, PhD (@maxwellsmith) September 5, 2022

“You do you! [cough] [spew].” If that is true, possibly I ought to file it underneath Zeitgeist Watch….

An infection

The size is compressed in comparison with the Biobot chart that I take advantage of, however the tendency is right:

Reminder that COVID wastewater ranges have by no means gone again right down to “low” – the baseline retains rising up and up, particularly with these previous few waves.

“So what, everybody has COVID on a regular basis, large deal” – take into consideration what that really means, please.

(graph by way of @JPWeiland ) pic.twitter.com/QZV1WfiND3

— Covid Warning JN.1 Variant (@CovidCaution) February 21, 2024

Do not forget that though peaks matter, the case counts underneath the curve matter simply as a lot.

Sequelae

“Researchers determine mechanism behind mind fog in lengthy COVID” [Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy]. “Disruptions within the blood-brain barrier together with a hyperactive immune system are the possible mechanisms behind “mind fog” in sufferers who’re experiencing lengthy COVID, an Irish analysis group reported as we speak in Nature Neuroscience. Mind fog has been reported throughout acute COVID an infection and has additionally been reported in practically 50% of sufferers who expertise lengthy COVID, or signs nicely previous the acute part of COVID-19. The blood-brain barrier disruption mechanism was suspected earlier than, however to check the connection, the group first analyzed blood samples to search for any biomarker variations between those that did and didn’t report mind fog. They examined blood samples from 76 sufferers who have been hospitalized with acute COVID in early 2020, evaluating findings with pre-pandemic samples from 25 different sufferers to search for any variations in coagulation patterns and immune response. Those that reported mind fog had increased ranges of a protein (S100β) produced by mind cells not usually discovered within the blood, which hinted at a ‘leaky’ blood-brain barrier. For the second a part of the research, the researchers carried out mind scans utilizing dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI to look at mind circulation in 11 individuals who had recovered from COVID and 22 who had lengthy COVID, which included 11 individuals who reported mind fog. They discovered that long-COVID sufferers with mind fog had a leaky blood-brain barrier when in comparison with different lengthy COVID sufferers and to others who had recovered. The group’s experiments additionally discovered that long-COVID sufferers with mind fog had elevated ranges of clotting markers of their blood.” • Extra Lengthy Covid biomarkers not even searched for by these ineffective gits at NIH. Right here’s the unique. One enticing function of this method is that it provides an account for lack of scent (anosmia): ”

Morbidity and Mortality

“Covid loss of life toll in US possible 16% increased than official tally, research says” [Guardian]. Cites to this PLOS One research, already linked. I’m placing this right here to remind myself to place a line displaying the revised estimate on the New York Instances loss of life charts.

Elite Maleficence

TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts

LEGEND

1) ★ for charts new as we speak; all others are usually not up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (Biobot) Once more, no backward revisions. The uptick is actual (at the very least to Biobot). Notice this anomaly:

Appears like Covid may not be seasonal? Who knew? Hoerger feedback:

[2] (Biobot) Right here, FWIW, is Verily regional knowledge as of February 20. CDC Area 1:

And Area 2:

Verily knowledge, then, reveals no anomaly. Presumably, Biobot sewersheds and Verily sewersheds don’t overlap.

[3] (CDC Variants) “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge will probably be reported biweekly, based mostly on the supply of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

[4] (ER) Doesn’t assist Biobot knowledge. “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.”

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Not flattening.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.

[7] (Walgreens) It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer strain, went and acquired examined anyhow.

[8] (Cleveland) Flattening, according to Biobot knowledge.

[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Down, albeit within the rear view mirror.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 completely dominant.

Stats Watch

Manufacturing: “United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Federal Reserve Financial institution of Dallas’s normal enterprise exercise index for manufacturing in Texas slipped 17 factors to -27.4 in January 2024, the bottom in eight months, suggesting a deeper contraction through the month.”

Antitrust: “Potential Legal Exercise Revealed within the Kroger-Albertsons Merger” [Matt Stoller, BIG]. “[E]nforcers discovered what seems like prison habits by Albertsons and Kroger to suppress employee wages, and are literally doing one thing about it past simply difficult the merger…. The Colorado Legal professional Common Phil Weiser printed proof in his criticism that the 2 corporations routinely colluded to not rent one another’s staff as a way to suppress wages and break their unions. This dynamic was notably dangerous in early 2022, when unionized staff at a Kroger grocery store chain, King Soopers, went on strike after their contract expired. And let’s be clear, these corporations hate unions. Kroger executives, for example, had beforehand thought-about ‘closing’ unionized shops in Washington state ‘for a time frame to make them nonunion.’ Why didn’t Kroger shut down union shops quickly? The reply is competitors. If they’d performed so, rivals would have taken their clients A special path, relatively than shutting shops, was to work with a rival to collude towards staff, which is what Albertsons and Kroger did. And there are emails.” • Ugh. Talking of supermarkets:

The Bezzle: “Non-public Fairness Payouts at Main Companies Plummet 49% in Two Years” [Bloomberg]. Through Stoller. “For years, restricted companions have relied on a metric often called inner price of return — a measure of beneficial properties on future money flows — to find out whether or not to again an funding. That commonplace labored when money was low-cost. Now, buyers are zeroing in on a special yardstick. So-called distributed to paid-in capital — the ratio of money generated to what’s invested — has overtaken IRR as essentially the most crucial metric for buyers. It’s gaining traction within the aftermath of upper borrowing prices and a dearth of offers, which hindered the flexibility of buyout retailers to exit investments and return cash to buyers. The concentrate on money returns is ratcheting up strain on personal fairness corporations to ship in a troublesome dealmaking surroundings.” • Hmm.

Tech: “What Occurs to Your Delicate Knowledge When a Knowledge Dealer Goes Bankrupt?” [The Markup]. “In 2021, an organization specializing in gathering and promoting location knowledge referred to as Close to bragged that it was ‘The World’s Largest Dataset of Individuals’s Conduct within the Actual-World,’ with knowledge representing ‘1.6B individuals throughout 44 international locations.’ Final yr the corporate went public with a valuation of $1 billion (by way of a SPAC). Seven months later it filed for chapter and has agreed to promote the corporate. However for the ‘1.6B individuals’ that Close to mentioned its knowledge represents, the essential query is: What occurs to Close to’s mountain of location knowledge? Any firm might achieve entry to it by means of buying the corporate’s belongings.” However: “Final week, Sen. Ron Wyden wrote the Federal Commerce Fee (FTC) urging the company to “shield shoppers and buyers from the outrageous conduct” of Close to, citing his workplace’s investigation into the India-based firm.” And: “This week, a brand new chapter courtroom submitting confirmed that Wyden’s requests have been granted. The order positioned restrictions on the use, sale, licensing or switch of location knowledge collected from delicate areas within the U.S. and requires any firm that purchases the info to ascertain a ‘delicate location knowledge program’ with detailed insurance policies for such knowledge and guarantee ongoing monitoring and compliance, together with the creation of a listing of delicate areas equivalent to reproductive well being care amenities, physician’s places of work, homes of worship, psychological well being care suppliers, corrections amenities and shelters amongst others. The order calls for that until shoppers have explicitly offered consent, the corporate should stop any assortment, use or switch of location knowledge.” • Good for Wyden, good for the FTC. Now do biometric knowledge….

Tech: “Immediate engineering is a process finest left to AI fashions”[The Register]. “The absence of a coherent methodology to enhance mannequin efficiency by way of immediate optimization has led machine studying practitioners to include so-called ‘optimistic pondering’ into system prompts.” In different phrases, “immediate” “engineering” [sic] is analytically equal to a cargo cult (though, fortunately for the buyers, cargo typically arrives).

As we speak’s Concern & Greed Index: 78 Excessive Greed (earlier shut: 78 Excessive Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 70 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Feb 23 at 1:25:33 PM ET.

All people’s a Critic

“A Davidsonian model of Dissemination and Abandonment” [nonsite.org]. Since nonsite.org publishes Adolph Reed, I’ve to take them critically. That mentioned, I discover this text (it mentions Derrida within the second sentence) completely incomprehensible; maybe now we have an expert thinker within the readership who can suggest an interpretation. That mentioned, on the very highest stage, it does appear to me that philosophers of language should have helpful views on our present Bernays Sauce*-drenched discourse — if solely I might perceive them. NOTE * I neglect who to hat tip for this sensible phrase; Wukchumni?

Healthcare

“The 9 scariest phrases within the English language, per FTC’s chairwoman” [Becker’s Hospital Review]. Khan: “‘For a lot of People, and maybe a lot of you, the 9 most terrifying phrases within the English language could also be ‘I’m out of your insurer, and I want prior authorization.’” Ms. Khan mentioned healthcare is a key a part of the FTC’s efforts to spice up competitors throughout the financial system. She mentioned there are 5 key pillars to that work: Scrutinizing ‘opaque middlemen throughout the healthcare provide chain’; tackling illegal consolidation and rollups; making certain antitrust enforcement protects all People, together with staff, tackling illegal practices by pharmaceutical firms; safeguarding delicate well being data.” • One of many few vivid spots within the Biden Administration; I can’t think about what he was pondering when he employed her.

Information of the Wired

“Darwin On-line has just about reassembled the naturalist’s private library” [Ars Technica]:

For the final 18 years, the Darwin On-line undertaking has painstakingly scoured all method of archival data to reassemble a whole catalog of Darwin’s private library just about. The undertaking launched its full 300-page on-line catalog—consisting of seven,400 titles throughout 13,000 volumes, with hyperlinks to digital copies of the works—to mark Darwin’s 215th birthday on February 12.

“This unprecedentedly detailed view of Darwin’s full library permits one to understand greater than ever that he was not an remoted determine working alone however an knowledgeable of his time constructing on the delicate science and research and different data of 1000’s of individuals,” undertaking chief John van Wyhe of the Nationwide College of Singapore mentioned. “Certainly, the dimensions and vary of works within the library makes manifest the extraordinary extent of Darwin’s analysis into the work of others.”

Darwin was a notoriously voracious reader, and Down Home was full of books, scientific journals pamphlets, and journal clippings that caught his curiosity. He primarily saved his private library in his research: an “Outdated Research” and, after an 1877 addition to the west finish of the home, a “New Research.” A former governess named Louise Buob described how Darwin’s books and papers inevitably spilled “into the corridor and corridors, whose partitions are coated with books.”

The French literary critic Francisque Sarcey remarked in 1880 that the partitions of the New Research have been hid “prime to backside” with books, in addition to two bookcases in the course of the research—one crammed with books, the opposite with scientific devices. This was very a lot a working library, with well-worn and sometimes tattered books, versus high-quality leather-bound volumes designed for show. After Darwin died, an appraiser valued the scientific library at simply 30 kilos (about 2,000 kilos as we speak) and your complete assortment of books at a mere 66 kilos (about 4,400 kilos as we speak). Collectors now pay deal extra for a single ebook that when belonged to Darwin.

What an exquisite undertaking!

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Angie Neer writes: “Pale and dessicated Hydrangea blossoms in winter.” Beautiful!

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