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By Lambert Strether of Corrente
Fowl Track of the Day
Warbler Week Two at Bare Capitalism. From Dupage, IL. I’m having enjoyable with the warblers, so I assumed I might proceed. However readers, you probably have different recommendations, please depart them in feedback.
Politics
“However what’s authorities itself, however the biggest of all reflections on human nature?” –James Madison, Federalist 51
“That they had discovered nothing, and forgotten nothing.” –Charles Maurice de Talleyrand-Périgord
“When the going will get bizarre, the bizarre flip professional.” –Hunter Thompson
Capitol Seizure
Biden Adminstration
Appears to be like like I used to be approach too light on Biden’s “Take a look at to Deal with” debacle (hat tip, alert reader Allan):
That is what it’s wish to get Paxlovid (in the event you’re fortunate)
* as a privileged white lawyer who runs the most important Covid motion on the earth
A thread… 🧵
— Diana Zicklin Berrent (@dianaberrent) May 2, 2022
There’s a complete style of “getting Covid handled” horror tales, simply as there’s a complete style of medical billing horror tales. Why is that, one wonders.
“Kinzinger introduces AUMF to defend Ukraine if Russia makes use of chemical, organic, nuclear weapons” [The Hill]. • I don’t know why The Hill didn’t put the complete identify of the act within the headline: “The Ukonazi False Flag Act of 2022.”
“Biden heads to Alabama facility the place Lockheed is making key Javelin weapon for Ukraine” [CNBC]. “Within the 50 or so buildings that make up Lockheed Martin’s Pike County Operations in Troy, Alabama, the crown jewels of U.S. missile protection techniques are constructed and bred for battle.” Block that metaphor! Extra: “President Joe Biden is slated to tour the ability liable for assembling the Javelin, a transportable anti-armor weapon, on Tuesday afternoon. … Whereas in Troy, Biden will ship remarks on U.S. safety help to Ukraine up to now and can reiterate his request to Congress for extra funding. Biden is searching for $33 billion in further help.”
“Home Lawmakers Demand Extra Labor Board Funds As Office Organizing Spreads” [HuffPo]. “Greater than 140 members of Congress are calling on Home leaders to finish eight years of flat funding for the Nationwide Labor Relations Board, saying the company isn’t outfitted to deal with a surge in office organizing at firms like Starbucks and Amazon. In a letter to Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.), chair of the Home Committee on Appropriations, the 149 lawmakers warned {that a} “dramatic enhance in labor exercise” may swamp the underfunded board, which has misplaced roughly 30% of its employees since 2010 attributable to attrition and a scarcity of cash. All however 4 of the members who signed are Democrats. They referred to as for a labor board price range of $368 million subsequent fiscal yr, an enormous enhance from the present degree of $274 million, which hasn’t budged since 2014. The stagnant funding in recent times means the company’s price range has gone down in actual {dollars}. An identical letter with the identical $368 million proposal has been circulating within the Senate, led by Sens. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) and John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.).” A little bit late. Extra: “The NLRB oversees private-sector union elections and referees disputes between labor teams and employers. The company’s common counsel says election petitions have elevated 57% to date in fiscal yr 2022 in comparison with the earlier yr. It has additionally seen a 17% soar in “unfair labor observe” prices, or allegations of lawbreaking. A large chunk of the swell in election petitions comes straight from Starbucks, the place employees are waging one of the notable organizing campaigns in a long time. To this point, 30 of the espresso chain’s shops have voted to unionize, and greater than 200 general have filed petitions to carry elections.” And: “A push for extra board funding may arrange a combat with GOP members in each chambers, who appear to have drawn a pink line on giving the company any more cash. The labor board has a statutory mission to advertise collective bargaining, and plenty of Republican members appear comfortable to let it wither.” • As have been Democrats, till employees took motion.
* * * “Biden says ‘radical’ draft abortion opinion throws ‘complete vary of rights’ into query” [Los Angeles Times]. “Within the brief time period, Biden and Democrats intend to grab on the obvious overturning of Roe to provoke voters forward of the November midterm elections. They’re determined to inspire a base that’s been disillusioned by the president’s incapacity to get a lot of his agenda by means of a narrowly divided Congress, and to attraction to swing voters given {that a} strong majority of People assist sustaining abortion rights…. However Biden’s skill to rally his celebration on the difficulty forward of the midterms isn’t any certain factor. His restrained response to the attainable overturning of Roe didn’t match the emotion of many ladies and reproductive rights activists. And his historical past on the difficulty of abortion is difficult. Although a religious Catholic, Biden has lengthy supported abortion rights. However his reticence to weigh in over the past yr as a number of states have restricted abortion rights — to say nothing of his reluctance to make use of the phrase “abortion” — has pissed off activists. Democrats, who’ve been much more keen than Republicans to weigh in on the draft opinion to date, are sure to emphasise the significance of retaining their Senate majority to have the power to substantiate future Biden Supreme Courtroom nominees ought to a second emptiness come up earlier than the top of his time period. They’ll additionally underscore the significance of governorships, provided that defending abortion would fall to the states.” • Annoyed activists. Because the NGOs have — primarily based on outcomes — been fully ineffective on this difficulty for a few years, with the only exception of funding themselves off it, who cares what they assume?
“Susan Collins isn’t saying a lot in particular person concerning the Supreme Courtroom’s draft opinion overturning Roe. However her assertion immediately calls out Kavanaugh and Gorsuch.” [Politico]. “The Maine Republican voted for Justices Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh in 2017 and 2018, confirmations that cemented the conservative majority on the excessive court docket. In a Tuesday assertion following POLITICO’s report on the draft opinion, she recalled interviews with the 2 now-justices wherein she mentioned she pressed them on their view of Roe. ‘If this leaked draft opinion is the ultimate determination and this reporting is correct, it could be fully inconsistent with what Justice Gorsuch and Justice Kavanaugh mentioned of their hearings and in our conferences in my workplace,’ Collins mentioned. ‘Clearly, we gained’t know every Justice’s determination and reasoning till the Supreme Courtroom formally publicizes its opinion on this case.’”
“Manchin backs filibuster amid calls to codify abortion rights” [The Hill]. • At all times test with President Manchin! Will we by no means study?
And in the meantime:
On Wednesday, Home Democratic chief @WhipClyburn will probably be working to prove the vote for the final anti-abortion Democrat within the Home. https://t.co/5fFmt8oJc6
— Ian Thompson 🔜 #SWCA (@iantDC) May 3, 2022
As a result of naturally:
Speaker Nancy Pelosi agrees; Professional-Life Democrats must be welcomed within the massive tent!
“Nancy Pelosi says that it’s completely attainable for somebody to be a member of the Democratic Celebration and in addition be towards abortion. ‘In fact,’ she advised Chuck Todd.”https://t.co/XEyPZgh92g pic.twitter.com/qipktVLTpa
— Democrats for Life (@demsforlife) August 14, 2020
Deploy the blame cannons!
We warned you for years. However a few of you with lofty lefty platforms advised folks to not vote for Democrats to ship a message in 2010. You didn’t heed our warnings in 2016. Now you might be “shocked” that the Republican Supreme Courtroom will overturn Roe – however try to be ashamed.
— Christine Pelosi (@sfpelosi) May 3, 2022
Easy query: Why was Roe by no means codified as laws? The Democrats had over 40 years to get it executed.
“This Was At all times The Plan” [Lyz Lenz, Men Yell at Me]. “My complete life, I knew the plan. Vote for politicians who’d nominate justices who would overturn Roe v. Wade. Abortion was homicide. I heard this preached in church buildings; at Sunday dinners over brisket. I heard the plan at rallies for homeschoolers in D.C., the place we’d foyer our senators for extra rights for households — or so I used to be advised. I heard concerning the plan when, as a teen, I learn fundraising fliers for Christian faculties that may prove a complete new technology of legal professionals, legal professionals with a Godly worldview, who’d overturn Roe v. Wade. I heard about it once more in 2016, when a pleasant woman from church smiled at me at college drop-off the day after Trump was elected. ‘I didn’t need to vote for him,’ she whispered to me. I used to be hung over, and sick. ‘However he’ll put good judges in place to overturn Roe v. Wade.’ Later, after I wrote a e-book about Christianity and the Midwest, after which one other about mythology and motherhood, folks at e-book occasions, journalists in interviews and editors in search of a scorching take would all ask me why folks would vote for a candidate like Trump. ‘To overturn Roe,’ I’d say. And so they’d scoff. No, no. That may’t be it. However it’s. It’s at all times been the plan. And it’s by no means been a secret. The plan has been shouted at rallies. Held up on indicators. It’s been plotted and spoken of and written about again and again.” • Republicans have been critical about their politics on abortion. Democrats weren’t.
2022
* * * “7 methods Tuesday’s primaries may shake the 2022 election” [Politico]. “Rep. Shontel Brown’s victory over Nina Turner in a 2021 particular election for Congress was extensively seen as a victory for the Biden wing of the Democratic Celebration over the progressive left. However 9 months later, the rematch in Ohio’s eleventh District is happening in a unique political world. On Brown’s aspect of the ledger: She’s been an incumbent for about six months since profitable the particular election final November. She’s outraised Turner by about $150,000 because the first of the yr, and she or he has the assist of quite a few outdoors teams, together with a cryptocurrency-linked tremendous PAC roiling Democratic politics these days. Turner, then again, hasn’t seen the type of outdoors assist that rallied to help the previous Sanders marketing campaign co-chair had final summer time, when she misplaced to Brown by 6 share factors. However Brown’s enthusiastic embrace of Biden may not be the overwhelming asset it was in early August, when the final major was held — and earlier than Biden’s tumble within the polls later that month…. [A] Turner upset on Tuesday would recommend that Democratic dissatisfaction with Biden — and his incapacity (or unwillingness) to ship on a few of the left’s greatest priorities — is deeper than beforehand thought.
2024
Democrats en Déshabillé
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, in actual fact, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Celebration reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not solely) these components comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.
Observe, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is restricted by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
* * * So we reside in a world the place @pmarca quotes Barbara Ehrenreich on the PMC. Extensively!
“We outline the Skilled-Managerial Class as consisting of salaried psychological employees who don’t personal the technique of manufacturing.” [But nevertheless control them through their managerial roles, per Burnham.]
— Marc Andreessen (@pmarca) May 1, 2022
And:
“All traits of the PMC professions are geared toward making certain that the connection between the person PMC skilled and his or her ‘consumer’ (pupil, affected person) is one in every of benign domination.”
— Marc Andreessen (@pmarca) May 1, 2022
And:
“The inside lifetime of the PMC should be repeatedly formed, up to date, and revised by–in fact–ever mounting numbers of specialists in childraising, household dwelling, sexual success, self-realization, and so on. and so on.”
— Marc Andreessen (@pmarca) May 1, 2022
Therefore variety coaching, and so forth.
The hazard right here, and I do battle with it (as I don’t see Andreesen doing) is pondering of the PMC as an entity with a hard and fast essence, versus being contradictory and dynamic like the whole lot else. Totally different types of social capital, I assume, accumulate at totally different charges. Some PMC — nurses, academics, airline pilots, college adjunct professors — are being proletarianized, regardless of their credentials and coaching. Some PMC (many medical doctors, a few of them recognized to us) retain the skilled ethics that justify their class place. Different PMC, for instance within the FIRE sector, have interaction within the grossest attainable types of fraud (as do the skilled programmers and information coders who allow the frauds). A few of them, by advantage of wealth amassed, transfer out of their class solely. Synedoche — I used to be at present years outdated after I discovered this phrase was pronounced si-nek-duh-kee — or “half for complete” — is a prevalent and dangerous psychological behavior when coping with courses. That psycho Leanna Wen, for instance, is PMC by means of and thru. And she or he is a member of the dominant faction in her area, and so we (certainly I) then to take her as representing that area. She doesn’t (except we select to permit her to); that’s synecdoche. The aerosol scientists who’ve been preventing the nice combat on airborne transmission are additionally PMC by means of and thru (though they do not dominate their area). PMC is, I feel, a sound approach to analyze a category of individuals in accordance with their relation to the technique of manufacturing. However I do assume we (certainly I) have to make our moralizing just a little bit extra nuanced. Not each member of the PMC is eligible for a “Sociopath of the Day” award, in spite of everything. At a hazard, the nearer the PMC will get to “actual” (not social) capital, the extra sociopathy comes into play, even out of the most effective motives (“Of all of the works of Sauron, the one truthful”).
Discouraging that the Democrat left is nowhere on Ukraine. From Sanders’ overseas coverage advisor:
In March, Matt Duss mentioned “a accountable progressive place on Ukraine is principally what Biden is doing proper now.” Apparently the present coverage of abandoning any trace of diplomacy in favor of fixed army escalation nonetheless stays the “accountable progressive place” https://t.co/9ZS85oDHUm
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) May 3, 2022
So who’s making the working on Ukraine, er, resistance? Tucker Carlson, ffs.
Clinton Legacy
No:
Hillary Clinton honors well-known ladies from historical past with Met Gala gown https://t.co/JmFkmXB5t0 pic.twitter.com/FU8pCpUobB
— The Hill (@thehill) May 3, 2022
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Depoliticizing Social Homicide within the COVID-19 Pandemic” [Bill of Health]. “The current pandemic nightmare is the latest and an particularly acute manifestation of capitalist society’s tendency to kill many, commonly, a bent that Friedrich Engels referred to as “social homicide.” Capitalism kills as a result of damaging behaviors are, to an essential extent, obligatory in this type of society. Sufficient companies should make sufficient cash or critical social penalties observe — for them, their workers, and for presidency. To ensure that that to occur, the remainder of us should proceed the financial actions which can be compulsory to take care of such a society…. Depoliticization is an try by authorities ‘to position at one take away the politically contested character of governing,’ within the phrases of the political scientist Peter Burnham. This could be referred to as rule in denial: making selections with out seeming to make selections, treating penalties as inevitable, and making an attempt to displace authority elsewhere in order to keep away from accountability for what happens. Burnham’s evaluation is useful for understanding the Biden administration’s pandemic response, in a number of methods. First, he locations depoliticization in a bigger theoretical and social context by stressing that governments should handle the potential political penalties of issues which can be pretty predictably generated by capitalism. Depoliticization helps face up to calls for for presidency motion by presenting some occasions as inevitable (as when President Biden mentioned two days after taking workplace that ‘there’s nothing we will do to alter the trajectory of the pandemic within the subsequent a number of months’) and others as not possible (as when Press Secretary Jen Psaki scoffed in a December press briefing, ‘ought to we simply ship one [covid test] to each American?’). Different depoliticization methods deployed by the Biden administration commerce on the abdication of decision-making energy, resembling delegating selections to state and native authorities; and rhetorically scapegoating others (the record contains the Supreme Courtroom, the unvaccinated, Republicans, coronavirus variants, and the supposed recalcitrance of the inhabitants within the face of largely non-existent mitigation measures). In keeping with Burnham’s evaluation, these tactical decisions must be understood in a context of social battle. Social conflicts are websites of the potential eruption of politics from under. Governments depoliticize partially to retain management over who units the phrases for what’s and isn’t political, and, above all, to forestall the politicization of what are ostensibly routine elements of life in capitalist society. That type of politicization at all times challenges the state, and depoliticization as a tactic is an try to defuse that problem.” • Attention-grabbing.
“The Ties that Blind: Misperceptions of the Opponent Fringe and the Miscalibration of Political Contempt” (PDF) (accepted manuscript) [PsyRxiv]. The Summary: “People’ hostility towards political opponents has intensified to a level not totally defined by precise ideological polarization. We suggest that political animosity could also be primarily based significantly on partisans’ overestimation of the prevalence of utmost, egregious views held by solely a minority of opponents however imagined to be widespread. Throughout 5 research (N= 4993; three preregistered), we look at difficulty extremity as an antecedent of false polarization. Each liberals and conservatives report excessive settlement with their celebration’s average points however low settlement with the acute points related to their aspect. As anticipated, false polarization didn’t happen for all points. Partisans have been pretty correct in estimating opponents’ average points (even underestimating settlement considerably). In distinction, partisans constantly overestimated the prevalence of their opponents’ excessive, egregious political attitudes. (Over)estimation of political opponents’ settlement with excessive points predicted cross-partisan dislike, which in flip predicted unwillingness to interact with opponents, foreclosing alternatives to appropriate misperceptions (Research 2-4b). Contributors explicitly attributed their dislike of political opponents to opponents’ views on excessive points greater than average points (Research 3). Partisans additionally reported larger unwillingness to publicly voice their views on their aspect’s excessive (relative to average) points, a self-silencing which can perpetuate misconceptions (Research 1, 2, 4a&b). Time spent watching partisan media (controlling political orientation) predicted larger overestimations of the prevalence of utmost views (Research 2, 4a&b). Salience of opponents’ malevolence mattered: first reflecting on opponents’ (presumed nefarious) election ways made partisans on either side subsequently extra accepting of unfair ways from their very own aspect (Research 4a&b).” • Synecdoche as soon as extra.
True:
In case your inner organs are open to laws you might be, manifestly, not free.
— Emily L. Hauser אלה אסתר 🟣 (@emilylhauser) May 3, 2022
And generalizable.
Why ought to members of Congress be allowed to commerce in any respect?
🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨
I simply analyzed how lobbying influences Congressional buying and selling.
Congress is extra more likely to commerce if firms lobbied to them.
And Congress made many uncommon timed trades off lobbying information, leading to enormous good points/higher returns
Learn: https://t.co/GQXHRunIhe pic.twitter.com/lLCVxfZBwN
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) May 2, 2022
“Mexico Shifts Commerce Railway from Texas to New Mexico over Abbott’s Enhanced Border Checks” [National Review]. • Mexico likes New Mexico’s overseas coverage higher, I suppose.
#COVID19
WHO boards the failboat for an additional cruise around the continent of Fail:
Handwashing is not going to finish, and even considerably gradual, this pandemic. @WHO is aware of that now. They’ve acknowledged it. So why this theatre and nonetheless no significant try to coach the world about AIRBORNE transmission and defend your self? https://t.co/yq50vU7l8g
— Dr David Berger, aBsuRdiSTe cROnickLeR (@YouAreLobbyLud) May 2, 2022
I grant that handwashing is an efficient factor, for hepatitis and common. However no related program for airborne transmission? Why is that, WHO?
Lambert right here: If some trusting, non-realist soul tells you that “Covid is over,” you’ll be able to inform them that circumstances are up, transmission is up, check positivity is up, hospitalization is up, fast riser counties are up, and wastewater is up, too. And that is all from information designed to assist the narrative, and gamed inside an inch of its life. So, if alerts like which can be flashing pink, contemplate what the true sign should be like. (Observe additionally that is all with BA.2 solely, and with what the institution considers an “immune wall” constructed from vaccination and prior an infection. Since semper aliquid novi Africam adferre, and we’ve let ‘er rip on the airports…. Effectively, I simply hope we get fortunate with BA.4 and BA.5. “God has a particular windfall for fools, drunkards, and the USA of America.” –Otto von Bismarck.
In the event you missed it, right here’s a publish on my queasiness with CDC numbers, particularly case rely, which I (nonetheless) contemplate most essential, regardless of what Walensky’s psychos at CDC who invented “group ranges” assume. However these are the numbers we’ve got.
Case rely by United States areas:
First decisive upward flip. Keep in mind, it’s 100% sure the circumstances numbers are considerably understated. They’ve at all times been gamed, however it’s worse than earlier than. One supply mentioned they although circumstances could be undercounted by an element of six. Gottlieb thinks we solely choose up one in seven or eight. The “Fauci Line” is a counter to triumphalism, because it compares present ranges to previous crises. The “Biden Line” exhibits what the case rely can be if it have been 55,000 * 6 = 330,000, i.e. not gamed. (I modified the Biden Line from dotted to strong as a result of the dotted line was too arduous to attract correctly in my crude device.)
Listed below are the circumstances for the final 4 weeks:
These numbers don’t appear to be a runaway practice, however it’s price noting that circumstances have almost doubled in 4 weeks.
From the Walgreen’s test positivity tracker:
I’m leaving the corporate logo on as a slap to the goons at CDC.
NOT UPDATED MWRA (Boston-area) wastewater detection:
Both North and South services have turned up. Let’s see if it persists.
The Massachusetts Water Resources Authority (MWRA) service area includes 43 municipalities in and around Boston, including not only multiple school systems but several large universities. Since Boston is so very education-heavy, then, I think it could be a good leading indicator for Covid spread in schools generally.
From Biobot Analytics:
Northeast unflattened, and — hat tip to readers for pointing to this — it looks like past aggregation in the Northeast was adjusted up, too.
Cases lag wastewater data.
From CDC Community Profile Reports (PDFs), “Rapid Riser” counties:
California slightly better. (Remember that these are rapid riser counties. A county that moves from red to green is not covid-free; the case count just isnt, well, rising rapidly.)
Well spotted by alert reader Lou Anton:
Rapid Riser Counties:
As the “COVID weather pattern” moves NE to Midwest (and maybe West to SW in the future?), I can see the big metropolitan areas and college towns are getting hit:
Illinois: NE Cluster is Chicagoland, central Illinois is college towns (University of Illinois, Illinois State, Illinois Wesleyan), SW is the Metro East of St. Louis.
Wisco: Milwaukee, Madison, Green Bay
Indiana: Gary, South Bend, West Lafayette, Indianapolis
Michigan: Detroit, Ann Arbor, Grand Rapids, Battle Creek
Ohio: Youngstown and Akron, Cincinnati meeting soon, meet you in the middle Columbus.
Let. ‘er. rip.
Confirming: The one red county in Kansas is Sedgwick, home of Wichita State. But don’t worry. All those kids will soon by traveling home for the summer! Oh, wait…
The previous release:
Here is CDC’s interactive map by county set to community transmission. This is the map CDC wants only hospitals to look at, not you.
The Northeast stays stubbornly and solidly pink. Now California is pink as nicely. The Higher Midwest is transferring that approach, too. (It seems like parts of Maine went from Excessive (pink) to Substantial (orange), however that a part of Maine is the Unorganized Territories, the place just about no one lives.
Hospitalization (CDC Group Profile):
Hospitalization is most positively up in lots of locations. (Observe development, whether or not up or down, is marked by the arrow, at high. Admissions are offered within the graph, on the backside. So it’s attainable to have an upward development, however from a really low baseline.)
Dying fee (Our World in Information):
Complete: 1,021,089 1,020,854. I’ve added an anti-triumphalist Fauci Line. Numbers nonetheless happening, nonetheless democidally excessive.
Covid circumstances in high us journey locations (Statista):
Nonetheless a bumpy journey…. (Observe the standard of those numbers varies wildly. For instance, the UK is chopping again on testing information.
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Job Openings” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of job openings within the US rose by 205,000 from a month earlier to a sequence excessive of 11.549 million in March of 2022, above market expectations of 11 million, as work shortages endured. Job openings elevated in retail commerce (+155,000) and in sturdy items manufacturing (+50,000). Job openings decreased in transportation, warehousing, and utilities (-69,000); state and native authorities schooling (-43,000); and federal authorities (-20,000). Job openings elevated within the South area. In the meantime, a file degree of 4.5 million People give up their jobs with the so-called quits fee rising to three%.”
Manufacturing: “United States Manufacturing facility Orders” [Trading Economics]. “Manufacturing facility orders within the US jumped 2.2% mother to $557.3 billion in March of 2022, the most important rise since Might final yr and twice the market forecast of a 1.1% rise, signalling robust demand for items regardless of hovering costs and provide constraints. Greatest will increase have been seen in orders for ships and boats (18.1%), metalworking equipment (13.4%) and protection search and navigation tools (10.8%).”
Provide Chain: “United States LMI Logistics Managers Index Present” [Trading Economics]. “The Logistics Supervisor’s Index within the US fell to 69.7 in April of 2022, the bottom since January of 2021, from a file excessive of 76.2 in March as primary metrics shifted. Transportation Capability elevated for the primary time in almost two years (+11.2 to 56.9) whereas Transportation Costs declined (-15.8 to 73.9). Regardless of the slowdown in transportation, respondents nonetheless point out progress within the sector. ”
Commodities: “BP plunges deep into pink on pullout from Russia” [Channel News Asia]. “British power big BP mentioned Tuesday (Might 3) that its determination to drag out of Russia on account of the battle in Ukraine pushed it deep into the pink within the first three months of this yr. BP mentioned in a press release it booked internet lack of US$20.4 billion (€19.4 billion) within the interval from January to March in contrast with a bottom-line revenue of $4.7 billion a yr earlier. The large loss was attributable to the group’s determination in February to drag its 19.75 per cent stake in power group Rosneft, ending greater than three a long time of funding in Russia, BP mentioned.”
Commodities: “Sufficient nickel, lithium for 14 mln EVs in 2023 – European local weather group” [Reuters]. “In a research primarily based on BloombergNEF information on international most volumes of EV battery-grade nickel and lithium, [Transport and Environment] mentioned that in 2025 there can be sufficient to make 21 million EVs globally. Excluding Russian nickel, T&E mentioned there must be enough uncooked supplies for 19 million EVs in 2025. World EV gross sales greater than doubled to 4.2 million autos in 2021 from simply over 2 million in 2020.”
Commodities: “This Russian Metals Large Would possibly Be Too Large to Sanction” [Wall Street Journal]. “From its base at a former Arctic gulag, Russia’s MMC Norilsk Nickel PJSC digs up a big portion of two metals which can be important to greener transport and pc chips. To this point the U.S. and its allies haven’t sanctioned the corporate, or its oligarch chief govt, underscoring the dilemma some analysts say governments face in searching for to punish Russia with out hurting their very own entry to key commodities. The mining firm is liable for about 5% of the world’s annual manufacturing of nickel, a key element of electric-vehicle batteries, and a few 40% of its palladium, which works into catalytic converters and semiconductors. Nornickel, as the corporate is thought, additionally provides power transition metals resembling cobalt and copper.”
Commodities: “We Don’t Want Nickel From Russia” [CleanTechnica]. “There’s one other potential supply of nickel, not as well-known but plentiful, mendacity on the backside of the Pacific Ocean. See my earlier interviews with The Metals Firm CEO, Gerard Barron, in the event you missed our items on this feature. Previously generally known as DeepGreen, the corporate is targeted on actually scooping up nodules from the seafloor — in a fashion that’s far much less environmentally impactful than different nickel mining strategies. The corporate isn’t Russian. It’s Canadian, eh, and it has the most important undeveloped nickel undertaking on the planet. The corporate provides a real different to each Russian and Chinese language-controlled nickel provides.” • The ocean is already salted, heh heh.
At the moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 25 Worry (earlier shut: 27 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 40 (Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Might 2 at 1:58 PM EDT.
The Gallery
Oh come on:
Jenny Nyström, Konvalescenten, 19?? https://t.co/JPhyinw2x9 #nationalmuseum #natmuseumswe pic.twitter.com/4e8FNaOUil
— Nationalmuseum Bot (@NatMus_SWE_bot) April 24, 2022
I want this:
Hendrickje sleeping, 1654 #rembrandt #baroque pic.twitter.com/0fXwkBJAhr
— Rembrandt (@artistrembrandt) April 29, 2022
Class Warfare
This should be placing some Stanford profs noses out of joint:
In an absolute LANDSLIDE, 1442 medical doctors in coaching (interns, residents, and fellows) at Stanford vote to affix @cirseiu 835-214. Housestaff all over the place are executed being exploited, and we’re on an absolute organizing tear proper now. pic.twitter.com/v7wDfSu0rc
— Andy Hyatt (@andy_hyatt_) May 2, 2022
Information of the Wired
“Large research of pet canines exhibits breed doesn’t predict behaviour” [Nature]. “Canine fanatics have lengthy assumed {that a} canine’s breed shapes its temperament. However a sweeping research evaluating the behaviour and ancestry of greater than 18,000 canines finds that though ancestry does have an effect on behaviour, breed has a lot much less to do with a canine’s persona than is usually supposed. ‘If you undertake a canine primarily based on its breed, you’re getting a canine that appears a sure approach,’ says co-author Elinor Karlsson, a computational biologist on the College of Massachusetts in Worcester. ‘However so far as behaviour goes, it’s type of luck of the draw.’ That’s partly as a result of breeds are one thing of a contemporary invention. People have been shaping how canines look and behave since home canines first developed from wolves greater than 10,000 years in the past. However for many of that point, these efforts have been targeted on canines’ working skill — how nicely they herded livestock, guarded towards hazard or pulled sledges, for instance. Breeds as we consider them at present — distinctive canines resembling beagles, pugs and Labradors — are a by-product of newer evolutionary meddling. Beginning round 200 years in the past, canine fanatics in Victorian England started inventing breeds by actively choosing for canine traits that they discovered aesthetically pleasing.” • The Victorians have rather a lot to reply for.
“How you can Stroll (12 miles a day)” [Chris Arnade, Walking the World]. “Strolling twelve miles takes about three and a half hours. Most individuals don’t have that point, not folks with youngsters, commutes, and full time jobs. A extra practical objective is round seven miles, which takes about two hours….. My three mantras on clothes are: Consolation consolation consolation. Consistency consistency consistency. Easy easy easy…. For lengthy walks in new locations, particularly cities, I attempt to not be too flashy. So no watches, rings, necklaces, flags, horns, sparkles, or garments with fancy logos. Nothing distinctive…. Now that I’m near sixty, this can be a actually massive deal, and partly why I stroll. It’s the least injury-prone train. Actually lower than working. I haven’t been injured from all this strolling but, which is fairly superb. My rule of thumb is to try to purpose for consistency, and by no means attempt to change my whole miles walked in every week greater than roughly 30% every week. Not up, or down. ” • Many fascinating suggestions. Effectively price a learn. However two hours a day? Hmm.
Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are tremendous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! In order for you your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it firstly of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Marku52:
Marku52 writes: “The adequately named Redbud, pursued by Sasquatch.”
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Right here is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
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