2:00PM Water Cooler 9/15/2023 | bare capitalism

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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Fowl Track of the Day

American Robin, Burton Drive Hideaway
King, Washington, United States. “American Robins upset by 2 Barred Owls in a tree, known as for not less than quarter-hour. Owl calls at 0:33 and 1:38. Occasional different birds embrace Pacific-slope Flycatcher.”

Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in truth a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Biden Administration

“‘You’re screwed’: Romney’s exit threatens a collapse of Senate’s center” [Politico]. “And as maligned as Romney, Manchin and Sinema are by one get together or the opposite’s devoted, the doable 2024 departures of two or three of them would change the Senate, which handed a number of notable bipartisan offers within the final Congress….  For 2 years underneath a 50-50 Senate, President Joe Biden discovered some legislative success by letting the chamber work its will. A roving bipartisan group began on Covid support in late 2020 and got here collectively on large points that had bedeviled earlier Congresses: gun security, same-sex marriage safety, microchip manufacturing and infrastructure funding. Democrats made their justifiable share of partisan strikes, jamming by a whole bunch of billions in party-line {dollars} and an enormous pandemic support plan, however the Senate’s enjoying area was additionally open for centrist maneuvering…. Nonetheless, the legislative filibuster and its 60-vote threshold stay intact — and that might imply new members step into the bipartisan breach. The query is whether or not meaning collaboration solely on important authorities features like conserving the lights on and elevating the debt ceiling or whether or not there’s a bipartisan want to do extra.” • So the actual situation is [genuflects] the filibuster…. 

2024

Time for the Countdown Clock!

* * *

“‘They did it to me’: Trump says Biden impeachment inquiry is likely to be motivated by revenge” [Politico]. “Former President Donald Trump has ‘no concept’ whether or not Republicans will vote to question President Joe Biden. However he does have a principle on what motivated Home Republicans to launch a Biden impeachment inquiry: revenge. ‘They did it to me,’ Trump instructed former Fox and NBC host Megyn Kelly throughout an hourlong interview on SiriusXM radio that aired Thursday. ‘And had they not achieved it to me, I feel, and no person formally mentioned this, however I feel had they not achieved it to me … maybe you wouldn’t have it being achieved to them.’”

“Courtroom orders Trump fraud trial be quickly halted after he sues the choose” [Independent]. “They’re searching for the involvement of an appellate choose to provoke an “Article 78 continuing”, which goals to compel [Justice Arthur Engoro] to considerably weaken the case introduced ahead by the lawyer common.” • New York courtroom experts: What the heck is an “Article 78 continuing”?

* * *

“What’s behind the nonsensical marketing campaign to switch Biden-Harris in 2024” [MSNBC]. “Let’s get this out of the way in which on the outset: Irrespective of what number of pundits speculate and pen scorching scorching takes floating the concept, Joe Biden shouldn’t be dropping out of the 2024 presidential race. He’s not dumping the vp, Kamala Harris, from his ticket. And above all, he stays the best-positioned Democrat to defeat Donald Trump subsequent yr…. Biden introduced his candidacy for re-election earlier this yr. He’s already raised $77 million as of July, and has no severe major problem. He stays broadly fashionable amongst Democratic voters, even when he clearly has work to do in an effort to reassure wayward get together members. … He has given each possible sign that he’s working and that his coronary heart is in it. Barring some unexpected well being occasion, he’s not dropping out… Nor will Biden jettison Harris from the presidential ticket. Whereas it’s true that Harris shouldn’t be terribly fashionable, dropping her from the ticket can be a slap within the face to essentially the most persistently loyal constituency within the Democratic Get together — Black ladies…. Lastly, and that is the essential level: Biden is best positioned than some other Democrat to beat Trump subsequent yr. Not solely has he already achieved it, however he’s the incumbent president, and incumbent presidents normally get re-elected.  Another Democratic candidate, whether or not it’s California Gov. Gavin Newsom or Whitmer, can be untested on the nationwide stage and, maybe much more necessary, unvetted. Why anybody thinks it will be a good suggestion to forged apart an incumbent president with a report of accomplishments and all the benefits of incumbency, for a candidate who most People don’t know, is tough to fathom at any time. … If Biden and Harris each dropped out, as The Washington Submit’s David Ignatius known as for this week, potential Democratic candidates would wish to feverishly increase cash, rent employees and put a marketing campaign construction in place simply months earlier than voters go to the polls. The Democratic nomination race can be an unsightly protracted meals battle with no front-runner and an inexpensive probability that no candidate would win sufficient delegates to seize the nomination earlier than the Democratic Nationwide Conference.” • Appears like Democrats must study to follow politics! What an idea! But when Biden gained’t drop out, he’ll need to be pushed out. Jill higher hold a detailed eye on his tablets. Or, if Biden had been Castro, his cigars.

“Biden marketing campaign plots long-game technique as Democrats’ fears of a Trump win spike” [CNN]. “It’s not simply that voters proceed to say Biden is just too previous or possibly lower than the job, although that retains developing in Democrats’ focus teams. It’s a malaise in regards to the president that operatives hold noting that goes past a slew of nationwide polls – together with one from CNN final week – that present a unfavorable view of the president’s efficiency. ‘I really feel detached, truthfully,’ mentioned a voter in a single late summer time focus group performed in a robust blue district, certainly one of a number of described to CNN by operatives concerned. ‘I don’t have a really sturdy opinion, besides I’m glad that it’s not the earlier individual.’ ‘I really feel like he’s achieved no hurt versus the earlier president,’ mentioned one other. ‘It’s not unhealthy, it’s not nice. ‘It’s mainly simply making an attempt to deliver our nation again as much as the place it was earlier than,’ mentioned a 3rd. ‘So as an alternative of doing nice issues, simply sort of conserving us extra center floor.’” Importantly: “Inside Biden’s marketing campaign headquarters… aides haven’t shifted from their plan to remain largely underneath the radar and off the path till subsequent spring. Within the meantime, they’re ramping up an in depth knowledge and outreach experiment that they are saying is the one solution to account for a way a lot has modified in politics, expertise and psychology within the eight years for the reason that final presidential election not outlined by social distancing, automotive rallies, Zoom fundraisers and the remaining that got here with the Covid-19 pandemic. The mission: see which Republicans and swing voters they will pull again from drifting to Trump, and whether or not there may be any hope of getting the broader voters truly enthusiastic about something from Biden.”

“‘I don’t know what he’s achieved’: Within the UAW president’s hometown, autoworkers lash out at Biden” [Politico]. “”Traditionally, man, if you happen to didn’t vote Democrat years in the past, and also you had been within the union, typically you bought your ass kicked,” he mentioned. “Democrats had been for the working individuals. That sh*t has modified. I’m telling you what, the Democratic Get together was not what it was 20, 30 years in the past.’” • Extra like 40 or 50.

* * *

“The Democratic Get together Rigs the Primaries” [Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Wall Street Journal]. No debates, rigged major calendar. And: “If different candidates overcome all that, they’ve one other hurdle: a category of superdelegates known as “get together leaders and elected officers,” or Pleos. In 2018 the DNC voted to take away different superdelegates from the primary spherical of voting on the conference to restrict the ability of get together elites to override the individuals’s selection. As a result of no official will seemingly dare provoke the wrath of the DNC by pledging to me, solely DNC-approved candidates will get any Pleos. Their web impact might be to impose the get together insiders’ will on Democratic voters. Assuming no Pleo backs me, I must win greater than 70% of standard delegates to beat Mr. Biden. The DNC appears to have forgotten the aim of the fashionable major system, which is to switch backroom crony politics with a clear democratic course of. Our marketing campaign has contacted the DNC upfront of its subsequent assembly in Washington, asking for a transparent course of wherein the candidate chosen by a majority of major voters would be the get together’s nominee. In two letters despatched this week to DNC Chairman Jaime Harrison, my marketing campaign requested a gathering to debate voter rights. We famous that the DNC consults carefully with Julie Chávez-Rodríguez, Mr. Biden’s marketing campaign supervisor, and we assume that Mr. Harrison will agree to fulfill with us. Nonetheless, we have now had no response of any sort from the get together since June.” • Get together’s response: “LOL no.”

* * *

AZ: “Biden admin mass releasing migrants instantly onto Arizona streets as border disaster rages” [FOX]. “Fox Information Digital reported this week how Border Patrol management has set ‘bookout’ targets for sectors amid growing numbers that’s straining capability…. The Aug 8 e-mail, obtained by Florida Lawyer Normal Ashley Moody’s workplace as a part of litigation, says day by day encounters ‘[continue] to surpass the day by day everlasting bookouts and the in-custody numbers proceed to rise creating important dangers to brokers and detainees.” Consequently, the company proposes ‘day by day bookout targets’ per sector ‘to deliver in-custody numbers to manageable ranges’ based mostly on 7-day averages. It then says that, if ‘consequence pathways’ corresponding to expedited removing will not be out there, then releasing migrants with Notices to Seem (NTA/OR) at a future courtroom date needs to be used.”

MI: “Michigan Faux Elector Tells Courtroom She Acted ‘At The Path’ Of Trump and His Legal professionals” [Mediaite]. “One of many sixteen pretend electors indicted this summer time in Michigan instructed the courtroom in a submitting Monday that she acted ‘on the route’ of former President Donald Trump and his attorneys. The courtroom submitting was submitted by lawyer Paul Stablein on behalf of his consumer Amy Facchinell and on Tuesday native media known as it ‘one of many strongest connections but between the efforts of the 16 Republicans in Michigan who are actually going through felony costs and Trump.’ In July, Michigan Lawyer Normal Dana Nessel (D) indicted the sixteen pretend electors on a number of counts over their function in making an attempt to overturn the 2020 presidential election in that state — all of them face severe jail sentences if convicted…. Stablein’s submitting strikes to ascertain that the conspiracy, fraud, and forgery costs Facchinell faces are a results of an lawyer for Trump on Dec. 14, 2020 telling the Republican electors ‘that efficiency of their duties was vital on behalf of the president and the Structure.’ ‘Attorneys for the president particularly instructed Ms. Facchinello that the Republican electors’ assembly and casting their ballots on Dec. 14, 2020, was in keeping with counsels’ recommendation and was essential to protect the presidential election contest,’ Stablein wrote.”

NC: “A 25-year-old from a small city leads North Carolina’s Democratic Get together towards 2024” [NPR]. “Now, it’s been greater than six months since Clayton was elected chair of the North Carolina Democratic Get together, a promotion after main her county’s get together. And at 25 years previous, she’s the youngest state get together chief within the nation. It’s a title she wears proudly, proper alongside one other: being from a small city. Each identities make lots of her political battles private, as she wrestles with the previous faults of her get together and what she needs the long run to appear to be. ‘I used to be offended,’ she mentioned of the Democratic Get together. ‘I used to be offended that it was ignoring locations like the place I’d grown up.’ 

‘Rural areas proper now are dying, and folks for years have simply sat there and mentioned, ‘y’all deserve that,” she instructed NPR, sitting on the sofa in her father or mother’s lounge throughout a summer time afternoon in Roxboro, N.C. In the event you’re going to decide on to reside in an space like that, you deserve simply to die out.’” • Rule #2. See yesterday’s dialogue of small (Republican) vs. giant (Democrat) counties.

NV: “Decide Guidelines Clark County Academics Union Coordinated A Sickout Strike” [Nevada Globe]. “In the present day, Decide Crystal Eller dominated in favor of the Clark County College District (CCSD) who sought an injunction in opposition to the Clark County Schooling Affiliation’s (CCEA) function in coordinating a sickout strike which disrupted college and district operations affecting almost a dozen colleges all through the Las Vegas valley this previous week…. The present injunction filed by CCSD on Monday contended that it ‘defies logic to recommend that mass absences represent something aside from a strike.’ In the present day, Decide Eller agreed, noting, ‘the concept that sickouts will not be a strike is preposterous.’ The CCEA contended that the absences had been resulting from staffing shortages, a vacation weekend, Covid and the seasonal back-to-school flu, and that the union didn’t coordinate the rolling sickouts. Nonetheless, CCSD included displays from a whistleblower and a instructor who claimed that the one of many college closures was led by a unionized instructor who mobilized colleagues to take the time off Tuesday and this upcoming Friday to disrupt instruction. Below Nevada legislation, it unlawful for state public workers to strike.”

Obama Legacy

Meta-chutzpah:

The arsonist asking individuals to donate to extinguish the fireplace. https://t.co/aFPhz5t4vY

— Arnaud Bertrand (@RnaudBertrand) September 15, 2023

Not many homicide their dad and mom and throw themselves on the mercy of the choose as a result of they

Democrats en Déshabillé

Affected person readers, it appears that evidently persons are truly studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are a lot of updates. So I must do this. –lambert

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Get together (“the Democrat Get together is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Get together is, in truth, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Get together is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Get together didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Get together reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Get together (ka-ching, however not completely) these components comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.

Word, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

* * *

“New Hampshire dangers dropping delegates over presidential major date battle with DNC” [CBS]. “The DNC is upending the 2024 presidential nominating course of by making South Carolina the primary major state, knocking New Hampshire out of its coveted place. However New Hampshire has to date refused to concede the spot, breezing by a Sept. 1 deadline the DNC had set for New Hampshire to surrender its place. On Thursday, the DNC Guidelines and Bylaws Committee prolonged the deadline for New Hampshire to return into compliance to Oct. 14, reserving its menace of sanctions that might take away among the state’s delegates on the Democratic Nationwide Conference subsequent yr if it doesn’t adjust to the nationwide get together’s major calendar modifications. At this level, the committee says it has solely obtained a plan from New Hampshire that doesn’t embrace a major date. If the New Hampshire major is held forward of South Carolina, Mr. Biden and his marketing campaign might omit his title from the poll in New Hampshire, in protest of its failure to adjust to get together guidelines. Mr. Biden, whose profitable pursuit of the 2020 nomination was launched by South Carolina’s assist, initially proposed that the state go first within the Democrats’ major course of. New Hampshire Democrats argue they lack the authority to maneuver the first as a result of New Hampshire legislation requires the state’s major to be set not less than every week earlier than some other nominating contest. To conform, a reversal of the 1975 legislation must move a Republican-led majority within the Legislature. Whereas simply 43% of Democrats assist the “first within the nation” legislation, a majority of Republicans and independents within the state assist the legislation, in response to a College of New Hampshire ballot. A DNC calendar change has lengthy been floated, and New Hampshire hasn’t taken steps to alter its legislation.” • And talking of the DNC—

“NC Guidelines & Bylaws Committee Meets To Think about 2024 Presidential Main & Caucus Calendar” [C-SPAN]. “The Democratic Nationwide Committee’s Guidelines & Bylaws Committee met in Washington, DC to contemplate states’ plans for 2024 primaries, caucuses, and delegate choice. The 2 states with essentially the most controversy — Iowa and New Hampshire, the normal first-in-the-nation caucus and first states — had the destiny of their 2024 plans delayed till a later assembly of the Guidelines & Bylaws Committee, slated to coincide with the complete DNC’s 2024 fall assembly in St. Louis. The committee additionally accepted delegate choice plans from different states together with Georgia and California, and mentioned Maine’s expertise with ranked-choice voting, which was being proposed by some states for his or her 2024 presidential major contests.” 

* * *

“The Democrats’ Oliver Anthony Downside” [Ruy Teixiera, The Liberal Patriot]. “The truth that Democrats responded with visceral dislike to a tune that expressed the sophisticated populist views of an precise working-class individual exhibits how unwelcoming the get together has change into to precise working-class individuals, versus mythological proletarians who mix hatred of (Republican) companies with reverence for ‘Bidenomics’ and cautious utilization of all of the accepted intersectional language… In a brand new CNN ballot, Biden loses the working class by 14 factors to Trump, whereas carrying college-educated voters by 18 factors. That compares to Biden’s 2020 loss to Trump of ‘solely’ 4 factors amongst working-class voters…. We’ll seemingly see extra of the identical in 2024. As Brownstein noticed within the article referenced above, it’s seemingly that Biden, regardless of his “center class Joe” persona, will wind up relying extra, not much less, on upscale voters than he did in 2020…..It simply may work. Actually it’s mathematically possible to compensate for working-class losses by good points among the many college-educated (although these good points need to be bigger as a result of the college-educated are a smaller group). However apart from being dangerous, one has to marvel what sort of get together the Democrats have gotten. Is that this actually the get together they wish to be, the place the views, priorities, and values of the educated take priority? We’re getting very far certainly from FDR’s get together of the widespread man and girl. Each political prudence and the core historic commitments of the Democratic Get together ought to lead them away from their present path and again towards the working class.” • The irony of Ruy Teixiera, the Democratic strategist who greater than some other moved created the permission construction for the Democrat PMC base to maneuver the get together towards idpol, morphing into Thomas Frank, simply seven years too late, is difficult to bear.

Realignment and Legitimacy

#COVID19

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3). 

Keep secure on the market!

Censorship and Propaganda

“If You Undergo from Pressing Regular Syndrome, Ask for Assist” [Jessica Wildfire, OK Doomer]. Effectively price a learn:

>

Pressing regular syndrome is outlined by:

• Unhealthy attraction to crowded indoor areas.
• Anxiousness on the sight of masks or air purifiers.
• An urge to downplay threats.
• Avoidance of ‘unhealthy information.’

Reachers have recognized a lot of unhealthy dynamics in group psychology that may make somebody extra weak to pressing regular syndrome. First, teams can exhibit normalcy bias that inhibits their regular battle or flight response. As Amanda Ripley has argued in Unthinkable, ‘giant teams of individuals going through loss of life act in shocking methods. Most of us change into extremely docile… Often, we type teams and transfer slowly, as if sleepwalking in a nightmare.’

Researchers have proven how normalcy bias has hampered our response to the pandemic. As one article within the Journal of Neighborhood & Public Well being notes, ‘social shaming reinforces our normalcy bias. It’s not cool to overreact.’

Collective amnesia additionally performs a job in pressing regular syndrome. As sociologist Alessandra Tanesini writes, ‘Communities typically reply to traumatic occasions of their histories by destroying objects that might cue reminiscences of a previous they want to overlook.’ Communities truly unfold what she calls ‘reminiscence ignorance’ in an effort to suppress previous errors, disagreeable reminiscences, and divergent thought. In line with Tanesini, this reminiscence ignorance serves as ‘a type of self-deception or wishful considering within the service of self-flattery.’

A 3rd flaw performs a closing function in pressing regular syndrome, and it’s known as reactance. Initially proposed by Jack Brehm, reactance describes an intense want amongst individualists to downplay threats and dangers, particularly in the event that they understand a lack of their private freedom because of this.

We’ve witnessed an unsettling surge in all of those behaviors over the previous few years, as increasingly individuals encourage and even reward one another for disregarding the well being and security of these round them.

Elite Maleficence

Covid minimizer and Sociopath of the Day Leana Wen * has Lengthy Covid:

It’s official — Leana Wen has #LongCovid

“In July, I wrote in regards to the unsettling expertise of being.. very in poor health & hospitalized. Many readers have kindly written to ask whether or not I’ve absolutely recovered.”

“I want I might say sure — The reality is way from that.” https://t.co/hiBUk2MSsK

— charlos (@loscharlos) September 14, 2023

NOTE * I let my schadenfreude get the most effective of me (hat tip, alert reader thump). However she actually loads of objects on the guidelines, particularly the recurring fatigue.

“PROFILE: Leana Wen” [Covid Accountability Index]. From January, nonetheless germane. Huge takedown and description of Wen’s profession, concluding: “For a short while, I used to think about ‘Judas’ as a enjoyable entrance jingle for skilled wrestler and dad-rock musician Chris Jericho. Now I consider somebody who strains her personal pockets while betraying her colleagues and neglecting not solely her kids, however the tens of tens of millions of youngsters throughout America. In the event you’re going to be a sit-at-home MD all day Leana, why don’t you decide up a passion as an alternative – like solo-boardgaming or papercraft or one thing comparatively innocent. It’s by no means too late to make a optimistic change.” • Ouch.

Case Information

NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater knowledge, September 14:

Lambert right here: Different alerts — scattered and partial although they be — additionally converge on a drop: ER visits, positivity. We will see. (I would come with CDC’s wastewater map for comparability, however it’s eleven days previous.)

Regional knowledge:

Curiously, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.

Variants                 

From CDC, September 16:

Lambert right here: Prime of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). Nonetheless BA.2.86 right here, not even within the word, however see beneath at Positivity.

From CDC, September 2:

Lambert right here: Unsure what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the beforehand dominant variant. Right here it appears to be like like we have now a “tag workforce,” all working collectively to chop XBB.1.5 all the way down to dimension. I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services reduce by directors of in poor health intent).

CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge might be reported biweekly, based mostly on the provision of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

Covid Emergency Room Visits

NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, September 9:

NOTE “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for each_{MR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot}. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, not less than for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, though CDC is making an attempt to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections.

Hospitalization

Bellwether New York Metropolis, knowledge as of September 14:

Nonetheless climbing. I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading.

Right here’s a distinct CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, not less than. September 9:

Word the slight drop, in keeping with Walgreens. At the very least now we now that hospitalization tracks positivity, which is good. Even when we don’t know what number of instances there are.

Positivity

NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, September 11:

0.4% Nonetheless considering the dip is Labor Day knowledge. Or maybe individuals had been truly testing for Labor Day, and stopped. Absolutely the numbers are nonetheless very small relative to June 2022, say. Curiously, these don’t correlate with the regional figures for wastewater. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and large peer stress, went and acquired examined anyhow.)

NOT UPDATED Cleveland Clinic, September 9:

Lambert right here: I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is sweet*, and we’re starved for knowledge, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is making an attempt to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.

From CDC, traveler’s knowledge, August 26:

A drop! And listed here are the variants:

No BA.2.86 for 2 of the long-delayed assortment weeks. I’ve highlighted the 2 leaders: EG.5 and FL.1.5.1. Curiously, these are the 2 leaders inside the US additionally, suggesting the nationwide and worldwide bouillabaisse is comparable. Or we’re infecting the world.

Deaths

NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, September 13:

Lambert right here: The WHO knowledge is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Information Tracker. Their methodology: “These knowledge have been sourced, through the API from the CDC: https://knowledge.cdc.gov/NCHS/Circumstances-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Information are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that exhibits a complete of the three causes (high proper). Readers?

Complete: 1,175,152 – 1,174,691 = 461 (461 * 365 = 168,265 deaths per yr, at this time’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “residing with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would really like, although they will discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may need to determine that is what the powers-that-be contemplate “mission achieved” for this specific tranche of loss of life and illness). 

Extra Deaths

NOT UPDATED The Economist, September 13:

Lambert right here: That is now being up to date day by day once more. Odd. Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran ceaselessly with an enormous typo within the Legend, I figured no person was actually taking a look at it, so I acquired rid it. )

Stats Watch

Manufacturing: “United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index surprisingly jumped to 1.9 in September 2023 from -19 in August, beating forecasts of -10. The studying confirmed enterprise exercise within the NY state was little modified after shrinking sharply final month.”

Manufacturing: “United States Manufacturing Manufacturing” [Trading Economics]. “Manufacturing manufacturing within the US went up 0.1% from a month earlier in August 2023, following a downwardly revised 0.4% rise in July, according to expectations. The index for sturdy manufacturing edged up 0.1%, and the index for nondurable manufacturing elevated 0.2%.”

Industrial Manufacturing: “United States Industrial Manufacturing: [Trading Economics]. “Industrial manufacturing in the US went up 0.4 % from a month earlier in August 2023, above market expectations of a 0.1 % improve and in contrast with a downwardly revised 0.7 % rise in July.”

Finance:

Mix that with inflation, and also you’ve acquired individuals scrimping on life’s requirements to pay down debt, which ends up in a dour environment in “the economic system,” I’d think about.

Tech: “Google says it will possibly’t repair Pixel Watches, please simply purchase a brand new one” [Ars Technica]. “Google makes an enormous deal out of its partnership with iFixit and the provision of substitute elements for its merchandise, however one Google product that doesn’t appear fixable is the Pixel Watch. After recognizing some posts from Pixel Watch customers searching for a treatment after cracking the glass and developing with no clear solutions, The Verge acquired Google to substantiate that, even 11 months after launch, there isn’t a restore plan proper now. Google can’t repair your watch. There aren’t any elements. A Google spokesperson instructed The Verge ‘At this second, we don’t have any restore choice for the Google Pixel Watch. In case your watch is broken, you’ll be able to contact the Google Pixel Watch Buyer Help Staff to test your substitute choices.’ Injury like a cracked show isn’t lined underneath any sort of guarantee, so shopping for a brand new system is the one official choice.”

In the present day’s Worry & Greed Index: 55 Impartial (earlier shut: 50 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 51 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 14 at 12:32:38 PM ET.

Photograph E-book

“Discover what you discover” [Notice What You Notice]. Re Instagram, and so on.: “That’s the humorous factor about these social nets: they trick you into considering you want them to your artistic work, however they find yourself sapping you of a lot of your power that you just don’t have the juice to do your factor. And they’re an infinite distraction, to not point out addictive. That has been my expertise, anyway. I’d be curious to listen to if you happen to agree and the way you might have responded to those nefarious challenges in your individual work.”

The 420

“Hundreds signal as much as expertise magic mushrooms as Oregon’s novel psilocybin experiment takes off” [Associated Press]. 

Epic Therapeutic Eugene [Oregon] — America’s first licensed psilocybin service middle — opened in June, marking Oregon’s unprecedented step in providing the mind-bending drug to the general public. The middle now has a waitlist of greater than 3,000 names… No prescription or referral is required, however proponents hope Oregon’s legalization will spark a revolution in psychological well being care…. Colorado voters final yr handed a measure permitting regulated use of magic mushrooms beginning in 2024, and California’s Legislature this month accepted a measure that might enable possession and use of sure plant- and mushroom-based psychedelics, together with psilocybin and mescaline, with plans for well being officers to develop tips for therapeutic use.” • Hmm!

Information of the Wired

Contact info for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of crops. Greens are nice! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you’d like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From lcm:

lcm write: “Black-eyed Susan and echinacea, largely self-sown, in central VA.” Lots of shade, precisely to my style.