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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Track of the Day
Jap Meadowlark (Jap)
Sturnella magna [magna Group], Area south of Cattail Pond, Larimer, Colorado, United States, “Track, together with counter-singing by two birds. Good rattle name and temporary flight music at 4:43.” ~14 minutes of Meadowlark goodness; very summery. Readers actually appear to be taking to the meadowlarks. That makes me joyful!
Search for the Helpers
Terrific long form Tweet by Leonardi, concluding:
SARS-CoV-2 represents an unprecedented problem and I imagine we are going to solely rise to satisfy it by working collectively. This implies placing apart personalities and never getting swept together with the group as a result of it’s the straightforward factor to do. It means standing up for what is true and inspiring folks to guard themselves, and most significantly their youngsters.
My pinned tweet is a letter a despatched to a faculty board as a result of I feel one among our basic duties as human beings is to safeguard those that can not take care of themselves. Youngsters rely on adults to guard them, and proper now the adults are playing that repeat infections by SARS-CoV-2 is not going to violate that belief. The stakes couldn’t be greater: we danger failing in our profound responsibility to make the world a secure place for the following technology. Historical past will choose.
Don’t observe the group. Even when it’s troublesome and there’s a value to be paid, do what is true.
The primary a part of the tweet exhibits The Semmelweis Reflex™ in motion, one thing we’ve seen reasonably a variety of lately. Properly value a learn.
Final Friday, I wrote:
I don’t need Water Cooler to be an train in doomscrolling. That’s why there are birds on the high, within the sky, and crops on the backside, for the earth. That stated, the world isn’t in one of the best form, and we do need to report that clearly, particularly within the face of denial, minimization, layers of impacted PMC bullshit. That stated, “”””if it bleeds, it leads,”””” that means that our famously free press has little incentive to report excellent news past clickbait-y heartwarming anecdotes. That’s one purpose I invented, quoting Mr. Rogers, “”””Search for the helpers”””” within the Covid part; to alleviate the bleakness. Let’s increase the precept
!
Hyperlinks to tales about helpers are additionally good:
If readers want to ship me extra hyperlinks or pictures of helpers in motion, you possibly can mail me with “”””Helpers”””” within the topic line. May very well be Covid, may very well be any state of affairs. Even useful animals!
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Capitol Seizure
“Former Capitol Police Chief Steven Sund: “It Doesn’t Appear Like Folks Need To Get To The Backside” Of January 6″ [RealClearPolitics]. The Interview:
Ep. 15 Former Capitol Police Chief Steven Sund reveals what actually occurred on January sixth. Our Fox Information interview with him by no means aired, so we invited him again. pic.twitter.com/opDlu4QGlp
— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) August 10, 2023
Sund is flogging his e-book. Nevertheless it appears like an attention-grabbing e-book:
“Solely the chief of Capitol Police, not the DoD, can revoke permits on Capitol grounds, but neither man reached out to me to debate these issues. Was this as a result of they knew that in the event that they knowledgeable me, I might instantly notify the 2 sergeants at arms and demand navy help to guard my officers and perimeter on January 6? Milley has acknowledged he feared that Trump was searching for a “”Reichstag second”” wherein he might invoke the Rebellion Act. However as an alternative of notifying the chief on the Hill concerning the threats of violence, SECDEF Miller and SECARMY McCarthy carried out unprecedented restrictions on navy help to legislation enforcement.”
I’ve not mastered the January 6 timeline. However the LIHOP v. MIHOP framing does appear to crop up reasonably rather a lot, and never only for this story.
2024
Time for the Countdown Clock!
* * * “Decide warns of restraints to what proof Trump can speak about, agrees to restricted protecting order” [Associated Press]. “Presiding over her first listening to for the case, U.S. District Decide Tanya Chutkan in Washington heard arguments on learn how to construction a protecting order that will stop a public airing of all of the proof turned over by prosecutors…. The choose stated that the extra anybody makes ‘inflammatory’ statements in regards to the case, the higher her urgency might be to maneuver the case extra rapidly to trial to forestall the contamination of the jury pool. She famous that ‘arguably ambiguous statements’ may very well be construed as intimidation or harassment of potential witnesses….. The prosecutors proposed a protecting order barring Trump and his attorneys from disclosing supplies supplied by the federal government to anybody aside from folks on his authorized crew, doable witnesses, the witnesses’ attorneys or others accredited by the court docket. Trump’s crew, in the meantime, requested for a extra slender order that will bar the general public launch solely of the supplies deemed ‘delicate,’ similar to grand jury paperwork. Protection attorneys wrote in court docket papers that the necessity to defend delicate info ‘doesn’t require a blanket gag order over all paperwork produced by the federal government.’…. [Chutkan] rejected prosecutors’ broader protecting order proposal that sought to forestall the general public launch of all proof they hand over to Trump’s protection as they put together for trial. She as an alternative appeared poised to impose a extra restricted protecting order that will bar the general public launch solely of supplies deemed ‘delicate,’ similar to grand jury supplies. The federal government considers the overwhelming majority of proof within the case to be delicate. The choose sided with the prosecution on what supplies are thought of delicate and subsequently protected beneath the order.”
“Decide delivers combined ruling on Trump protecting order in 2020 election case” [FOX]. The deck: “Decide in former President Trump election instances says solely ‘delicate’ materials lined beneath protecting order, then agrees with prosecution’s definition of delicate.” Extra: “Trump’s legal professional John Lauro then argued that the federal government’s request was ‘extraordinary.’ ‘We’re in uncharted waters, we’ve got a defendant working for president and his opponent has the DOJ bringing prices towards him,’ Lauro stated. ‘The truth that he’s tuning a political marketing campaign has to yield to the orderly administration of justice,’ Chutkan replied. She steered that Trump may launch proof about former Vice President Mike Pence’s testimony, for instance, to denigrate him as a witness. ‘The defendant’s need to answer political opponents has to yield,’ Chutkan stated. ‘There are limits. This can be a prison case. The necessity for this case to proceed in a standard order means there are going to be limits on the defendant’s speech.’ She informed Lauro that how a protecting order may have an effect on the presidential marketing campaign was not her concern. ‘I can not and won’t issue into my selections the impact it should have on a marketing campaign for both aspect,’ she stated.” • Besides the case, by definition, does every thing Chutkan stated she didn’t need to do. For instance: Can Trump, as a candidate, say, in accordance with Chutkan, that the case is an instance of “orderly administration of justice”? Can Trump, because it had been, go meta?
“Decide Chutkan says Trump’s proper to free speech in January 6 case is ‘not absolute’” [CNN]. “The previous president has a proper to free speech, however that proper is ‘not absolute,’ Chutkan stated. “”Mr. Trump, like each American, has a First Modification proper to free speech, however that proper just isn’t absolute. In a prison case similar to this one, the defendant’s free speech is topic to the foundations.’…. Whether or not or not Trump’s public statements are lined by the protecti]ve order that’s issued, she stated, in the event that they consequence within the intimidation of a witness or the obstruction of justice, ‘I might be scrutinizing them very fastidiously.” • The problem for Trump’s attorneys — who do look younger (see the photograph), so the query is whether or not they’re sensible and hungry sufficient — is whether or not Trump can, for as soon as, use his free speech rights strategically as an alternative of opening his huge yap impulsively. (Trump wants a surrogate on the path. As typical, he can’t discover good assist.)
“DOJ Desires Trump’s Trial on Election Costs to Be Jan. 2, 2024” [Bloomberg]. “The US Justice Division needs a Jan. 2 jury trial for former president Donald Trump on prices he criminally conspired to hinder the 2020 election. Trump opposes the schedule proposed by Particular Counsel John ‘Jack’ Smith’s workplace in a court docket submitting on Thursday. The previous president’s attorneys already signaled that they’ll argue for an extended time line, citing the complexity of the case and Trump’s crowded authorized and political schedule as he seeks a return to the White Home. Trump’s response in court docket is due Aug. 17. US District Decide Tanya Chutkan in Washington is anticipated to set a trial date at an Aug. 28 listening to. Trump has pleaded not responsible. A January trial would make the Washington case the primary of Trump’s three pending prison instances to go earlier than a jury. It additionally would of the Jan. 6, 2021, assault on the US Capitol by Trump’s supporters — a key occasion within the prosecution time line — and the Jan. 15 Republican caucuses in Iowa.” • Liberal Democrat hysteria might be at its top. I ponder what that completely uncontaminated jury pool will hear once they go house at night time (or suppose, if they’re sequestered. All depends upon what their media food regimen was, I suppose).
* * * “DeSantis greeted by ‘pudding fingers’ chant in Iowa” [Politico]. “It was an inauspicious begin for Ron DeSantis in Iowa on Friday. Chanting ‘Ron DeFascist’ and ‘pudding fingers’ on a megaphone whereas ringing cowbells, two protesters successfully minimize quick the Florida governor’s first marketing campaign cease of the day at a big roadside rock painted for battle veterans. It was the second notable disruption of a Republican presidential candidate by the left in Iowa this week, after a Democrat on Thursday requested Mike Pence on the Iowa State Truthful, ‘Why did you commit treason on Jan. 6?’” On the DeSantis occasion, Kara Ryan of Des Moines stated she and her aunt, Heather Ryan, had been there on behalf of a political motion committee known as ‘Bitches Get Stuff Accomplished,’ that helps abortion rights. A person there to help DeSantis, carrying a hat given out by his aligned tremendous PAC, By no means Again Down, at one level tried to cease the noise by making an attempt unsuccessfully to knock the megaphone out of Heather Ryan’s fingers. DeSantis, joined by his spouse Casey, nonetheless tried to provide remarks. ‘Folks like that,’ he stated, referring to the 2 protesters drowning him out, ‘are what’s holding this nation again.’ The handful of veterans gathered erupted in applause. However the occasion was hurried, DeSantis’ assembly with the veterans temporary.” • Unbiased: “In March, Mr DeSantis selected to not outright deny that he ate chocolate pudding with three fingers on a non-public flight in 2019. … ‘I don’t keep in mind ever doing that,’ the governor informed Piers Morgan in an interview on Fox Nation.”
* * * “Republicans say an impeachment inquiry is simply an investigation: That’s not what they stated about Trump” [USA Today]. “In relation to the politically treacherous push to question President Joe Biden, Home Republicans have been cautious with their phrases. Republican lawmakers say they’re solely excited about an impeachment inquiry to analyze the White Home – not essentially formal impeachment proceedings towards Biden to take away him from workplace. If the declare sounds acquainted, that’s as a result of it’s. That’s what Home Democrats stated in 2019 when former Home Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., introduced an impeachment inquiry into former President Donald Trump. Pelosi had lengthy confronted calls from Democratic lawmakers to open an impeachment inquiry, however the former speaker publicly downplayed the prospect…. ‘They’re attempting to deflect’: Democrats hyperlink GOP push to question Biden to Trump indictments.”
“A Timeline Of Joe Biden’s Intervention In opposition to The Prosecutor Common Of Ukraine” [Moon of Alabama (Lyman Alpha Blob)]. • I requested for a timeline; ask and ye shall obtain!
* * * IA: “CNN’s John King: Iowa Voters’ Opinions On Ukraine Sound Like ‘The Opening Of An Outdated Tucker Carlson Present’” [RealClearPolitics]. “CNN’s Jon King and Dana Bash touch upon this piece investigating how Iowa voters are approaching the 2024 presidential election. Jon King stated listening to Iowa voters’ opinions on Ukraine was ‘like watching the open of an previous Tucker Carlson present.’ ‘They’re good folks,’ he additionally stated. ‘They increase cash for the Woman Scouts, they go to church, however they imagine issues that will break our fact-check machine.’ ‘” [pause for hysterical laughter]. Extra: “JON KING, CNN: When you suppose the USA must be supporting Ukraine within the struggle towards Putin, increase your hand. IOWA VOTERS: [silence].” • Asking me to vote with them. Not for (exact) causes I agree with, however ah effectively, however….
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, plainly individuals are truly studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are lots of updates. So I should do this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Social gathering (“the Democrat Social gathering is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Social gathering is, in actual fact, a tough downside. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Social gathering is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Social gathering didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Social gathering reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Social gathering (ka-ching, however not solely) these components comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.
Word, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is restricted by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
* * * The Democrats the occasion of the wealthy:
DEMOCRATS THE PARTY OF THE RICH? Marcy Kaptur requested, “”How is it doable that Republicans are representing the bulk of people that battle?”” See chart beneath from Kaptur, with richest districts to the left, poorest to the correct. https://t.co/EcepvmEclp pic.twitter.com/jdsR5XROqC
— Matt Taibbi (@mtaibbi) August 9, 2023
Not fairly proper. As I say above: “The Democrat Social gathering is the political expression of the category energy of PMC,” who’ve greater incomes than the median American, no query. To me, “the wealthy” don’t need to work for a dwelling, therefore are capital.
Realignment and Legitimacy
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the tackle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Maskstravaganza
Darth Vader’s brother:
TREND AIRSHIELD PRO: That is an industrial helmet with “”excessive effectivity strong particulate filtration”” (HEPA-like) used primarily by woodworkers 🪵 and carpenters 🪚 to guard their face 😊 and lungs🫁 . (2/5) https://t.co/kQNhTkRJL5
— Devabhaktuni “Sri” Srikrishna (@sri_srikrishna) August 7, 2023
Darryl Vader?
Covid is Airborne
A terrific thread on every thing that may go improper electrically with air filtration models over time:
#1 PLUGS CAN BREAK OFF AND POSE A SHOCK ⚡️ RISK: An answer is to examine 👀 plugs 🔌 recurrently and decrease plugs on the ground the place folks step if doable wherever doable. (3/10) https://t.co/dw9MZY6Mzt
— Devabhaktuni “Sri” Srikrishna (@sri_srikrishna) August 11, 2023
Celeb Watch
“Metallica Can’t Pressure Insurer To Pay for Tour Canceled by COVID-19 Pandemic, Decide Guidelines” [Billboard]. From 2022, nonetheless germane. “A California choose says Metallica’s insurance coverage firm doesn’t have to pay for six South American concert events that had been canceled when COVID-19 struck, because of an exclusion within the coverage for ‘communicable illnesses.’” …. In a choice on Nov. 30 obtained by Billboard, Los Angeles Superior Court docket Decide Holly J. Fujie stated she didn’t purchase it. ‘The journey restrictions which triggered the live performance cancellations had been a direct response to the burgeoning COVID-19 pandemic,’ the choose wrote. ‘The proof … demonstrates that the COVID-19 pandemic spurred the journey restrictions to South America and restrictions on public gatherings. The COVID-19 pandemic was subsequently the environment friendly proximate reason for the concert events’ cancellations.’ Metallica’s attorneys had additionally argued that the ‘illnesses’ exclusion didn’t apply in any respect, for the reason that precise wording of the coverage stated Lloyd’s wouldn’t pay protection stemming from a illness ‘or concern or risk thereof.’ Citing that language, the band stated ‘none of its bandmembers felt threatened or fearful.’ However Decide Fujie was equally unswayed, ruling that the Metallica coverage’s language ‘doesn’t require that the policyholders [themselves] really feel fearful or threatened.’” • If the origin of the “dwelling in concern” trope was Metallica… that will be a turn-up for the books.
“EXCLUSIVE: Sandra Bullock and Bryan Randall seen ‘exchanging vows’ and dancing in intimate Bahamas ceremony three years earlier than his ALS prognosis” [Daily Mail]. “Throughout this time DailyMail.com understands that which was nonetheless in place at her Beverly Hills residence on the tine of Randall’s dying. In line with one insider: ‘She simply stopped letting folks in the home. All of the testing was finished outdoors, on the pool home, two, even thrice every week. ‘It was an enormous enterprise, and the overall understanding was that it was as a result of Bryan was in there, at the back of the home, receiving care. ‘It was a horrible state of affairs. It acquired so the youngsters and even Sandra needed him out of the home at some instances. He was seeing a psychologist too at one level – I don’t know if that was due to the development of the sickness or the psychological toll of dealing with it.” • Too dangerous Bullock didnt mannequin the conduct, although I’m unhappy for each of them.
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” is likely to be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. A number of exceptionally nasty sequelae, more than likely deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we’d add mind injury, together with persona modifications therefrom.
* * * “NTSB releases uninformative preliminary report on United Maui dive” [The Air Current (PI)]. :
The Nationwide Transportation Security Board on April 25 quietly launched a bare-bones and uninformative preliminary report as a part of its investigation into the United Airways Boeing 777-200 that went into a pointy dive and restoration shortly after takeoff from Maui in December. The investigation into the nonetheless publicly unexplained December 18 dive is uncommon for the NTSB, which launched the investigation on February 14 solely after the incidence was revealed publicly by The Air Present on February 12. On the time, the NTSB stated that it anticipated a preliminary report inside two to 3 weeks. The NTSB has had a spate of latest high-profile investigations in latest months as investigators, airways and federal regulators attempt to perceive the causes of quite a few close-calls involving main U.S. carriers. The NTSB has caught to its normal reporting schedule for different incidents.” • ‘Tis a thriller!
Elite Maleficence
I don’t know what occurred to the Los Angeles County Public Well being division, however no matter, it’s not good. First, the handwashing poster. Now this:
BREAKING:
Los Angeles County abruptly rescinds masks mandate for affected person dealing with healthcare employees efficient August 11. https://t.co/Sbfh55UstW— CyFi (@CyFi10) August 11, 2023
This can be a lengthy thread demolishing handwashing propaganda alongside a lot the identical strains as droplet dogma. The research are dangerous:
Hand washing EDUCATION reduces infections in the neighborhood.
Proper off the bat, we are able to see doable confounding conduct.
If somebody teaches me to be extra cautious…I might grow to be extra cautious, basically. And so forth.
However let’s simply settle for their premise, and have a look at their first research
— Lazarus Lengthy (@LazarusLong13) August 9, 2023
Worse, the important thing research is dangerous:
And what’s he now recognized for?
Growing the product used on this research.
Which is now utilized by the @CDCgov as one of many 8 research used to help hand washing in its predominant meta. pic.twitter.com/pCtiPeafAD
— Lazarus Lengthy (@LazarusLong13) August 9, 2023
Sadly, Twitter is what we’ve got. The blogosphere was so a lot better, for each writers and readers.
* * * I don’t know what the world has come to when Trump’s Surgeon Common makes extra sense on Covid coverage than any liberal Democrat:
Our covid response has gone from a scarcity of assets (exams, masks, therapies, vaccines) to what now looks like a scarcity of will to make use of or replace them.
We actually might lose our window to intervene on this present wave, and find yourself with a brand new pressure that nothing works towards.
— Jerome Adams (@JeromeAdamsMD) August 9, 2023
Not that Armstrong is a power within the Republican occasion. However nonetheless.
* * * Discover the sensible folks spherical this desk:
Grateful to @HHSGov Chief of Employees Sean McCluskie and Counselor Dr. Steve Cha for coming all the way down to Atlanta this week. In relation to defending our nation’s well being, it’s a one crew strategy! pic.twitter.com/s2BjrkwYLX
— Mandy Ok. Cohen, MD, MPH (@CDCDirector) August 10, 2023
Case Knowledge
NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information, August 7:
Lambert right here: I’m not joyful that Biobot can’t replace this information extra steadily. We have now now surpassed the second peak (#2), of the earlier Covid pandemic an infection peaks. I want to congratulate the Biden administration and the general public well being institution, the CDC particularly, for this monumental and unprecedented achievement. And a tip of the ol’ Water Cooler hat to the Nice Barrington goons, whose insurance policies have been adopted so assiduously! I ponder which of the earlier peaks (#1, #3, or #4) we’ll surpass subsequent. A curious reality: All of Biden’s peaks are all greater than Trump’s peaks. Reveals you what public well being can do when it’s firing on all eight cylinders! Musical interlude.
Regional information:
Curiously, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.
Regional variant information:
EG.5 (the orange pie slice) nonetheless appears evenly distributed.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, August 5:
From CDC, July 22:
Lambert right here: Unsure what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the beforehand dominant variant. Right here it seems like we’ve got a “tag crew,” all working collectively to chop XBB.1.5 all the way down to measurement. I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to amenities minimize by directors of ailing intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information might be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of constructive take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Appears to be like like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, August 5:
Lambert right here: Enhance is much more distinct. (The black line is “mixed”, however it’s straightforward to see that Covid, the pink line, is driving every thing.)
NOTE “Charts and information supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, not less than for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, regardless that CDC is attempting to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections.
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, August 7:
3.4%. Curiously, individuals are citing to this, too, in addition to Biobot. Vertical-ish, although absolutely the numbers are nonetheless very small relative to June 2022, say. Curiously, these don’t correlate with the regional figures for wastewater. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants typically; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and large peer stress, went and acquired examined anyhow.)
From CDC, July 24:
Lambert right here: That is the CDC’s “Traveler-Primarily based Genomic Surveillance” information. They are saying “maps,” however I don’t see one….
Deaths
NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, August 9:
Lambert right here: The WHO information is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Knowledge Tracker. Their methodology: “These information have been sourced, by way of the API from the CDC: https://information.cdc.gov/NCHS/Circumstances-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Knowledge are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that exhibits a complete of the three causes (high proper). Readers?
Whole: 1,171,692 1,170,864 = 828 (828 * 365 = 302,220 deaths per yr, right this moment’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit greater than the minimizers would love, although they’ll speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I could need to determine that is what the powers-that-be think about “mission achieved” for this explicit tranche of dying and illness).
Extra Deaths
NOT UPDATED The Economist, August 6:
Lambert right here: Not up to date each day. Odd when it was, odd when it stopped. Primarily based on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran eternally with an enormous typo within the Legend, I figured no one was actually taking a look at it, so I acquired rid it. )
Stats Watch
Inflation: “United States Producer Costs Change” [Trading Economics]. “Annual producer inflation within the US accelerated to 0.8% in July of 2023 from 0.2% in June, above forecasts of 0.7%, amid base results.”
Tech: “The Reddit Protest Is Lastly Over. Reddit Received.” [Gizmodo]. “Regardless of the infinite blackout threats, most moderators relented because the weeks rolled by. Three main holdouts had been r/aww, r/pics, and r/movies, a few of Reddit’s largest communities that account for greater than 91 million subscribers. The three subreddits reopened weeks in the past however adopted guidelines by widespread vote that prohibited content material that didn’t characteristic HBO’s John Oliver, rendering the boards ineffective for his or her earlier functions. For some time, the subreddits stood sturdy, however r/movies was the primary to backpedal, dropping the John Oliver rule however requiring all posts to characteristic profanity. Quickly that rule was deserted as effectively. Final week, the moderators of r/aww introduced the John Oliver rule was over, and over the weekend r/pics quietly gave up the protest as effectively, as reported by the Verge. ‘Greater than a month has handed, and as issues on the web go, the eagerness for the protest has waned and other people’s consideration has shifted to different issues,’ an r/aww moderator wrote in a publish in regards to the rule change. In line with Reddark, a web site that tracks the subreddit protest, 1,843 of the unique 8,829 protesting communities are nonetheless darkish. However most of those are small communities, and right this moment solely protesting subreddit with over 10 million subscribers is r/health. Even when these subreddits by no means reopen, relinquishing the John Oliver rule formally brings the Reddit protests to a detailed. Although the Reddit crew doubtless triggered everlasting injury to the platform and its relationship with customers, Spez acquired his method. However that victory may not imply a lot. Reddit, together with Twitter (or X, as Musk would love you to name it), nonetheless have thriving communities. However the tides are shifting. Even Instagram and Fb are struggling to safe long-term relevance as opponents like TikTok proceed to dominate, and TikTok’s future within the US isn’t sure both because it faces down a possible federal ban. We’re on the daybreak of a platform shift. As Google tunes its algorithms and incorporates extra AI content material into its search outcomes, the enterprise mannequin of the complete web is present process an unpredictable change. Over the long run, Reddit’s scrambling efforts at monetary safety might show simply as futile because the moderators’ makes an attempt to struggle again.” • Returning to the blogosphere would resolve all this. No?
Right now’s Concern & Greed Index: 66 Greed (earlier shut: 69 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 78 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Aug 11 at 1:54 PM ET.
The Gallery
“Bureaucratic Collage: Ghosts within the System” [Art Institute of Chicago]. The deck: “Forms is a system of processes that organizes authority throughout establishments.” Hmm. Extra: “What typically involves thoughts after I consider forms is the circulation of paperwork, normally within the type of paperwork or media within the type of movie and pictures. A defining attribute of this materials is its performance; its meant type fulfills an energetic function throughout the system it serves. The artwork of collage is commonly characterised by frayed seams, revealed edges, and uneven surfaces, and might typically seem as a Frankensteinian concoction of drugs. By way of the mixture of disparate components and materials mutations, the assembled work turns into one thing else. And when it’s mixed with forms, it turns into one thing else altogether.” For instance:
(A collage of the lunar floor). And:
(A collage of metropolis data on artists.) Neat stuff! Makes me surprise what may very well be finished with the data in Trump’s court docket instances….
The Jackpot
“There is no such thing as a ‘getting again to regular’ with local weather breakdown” [Mark Blyth, Guardian]. From 2021, nonetheless germane. “[Climate breakdown] is . In plain English, there isn’t a imply, there isn’t a common, there isn’t a return to regular. It’s a technique visitors into the unknown. As research after research exhibits, the one factor people hate coping with is uncertainty. Danger – odds you possibly can rely on – is okay. However techniques with actually random outcomes freak us out. We’re additionally horrible at coping with scale. As evolutionary psychologists put it, ‘Our fashionable skulls home a stone age thoughts.’ It advanced to resolve issues in a reasonably steady mean-reverting world with face-to-face interactions. Once we encountered issues that freaked us out in such a world, we crammed within the gaps with a mutually agreed story (faith or political ideology, for instance) that helped us ignore what we couldn’t clarify. However now we dwell in a world we are able to clarify, and but reasonably than settle for what we all know and act upon that data, we more and more think about our world to be completely different from the way it truly is.” • I’m unsure Blyth has the causality proper right here, with all this speak about “stone age minds.” He leaves propaganda out of the query. Therefore he leaves class out of the equation. I grant that is the stupidest timeline, nevertheless it was made silly.
Class Warfare
“The Case for Extra Strikes” [The Nation]. “Right now the technique card deck has been reshuffled, and strikes are on the desk once more. Reform leaders within the UAW have already began negotiations with the Huge Three automakers—Ford, Stellantis, and Common Motors, overlaying 150,000 employees—forward of contracts expiring on September 14. With the marketing campaign ramp-up on a brief timeline, the union isn’t losing a second, whipping up combating enthusiasm among the many rank and file with contract actions nationwide. We’re witnessing an uptick in labor militancy the likes of which we haven’t seen in a long time. 1000’s of employees have began picket strains across the nation, from placing screenwriters and actors to lodge employees, locomotive manufacturing employees, and Amazon employees. It gained’t final eternally. The time to construct credible strike threats and hit the bricks is now.” • Or one huge one. I ponder if the union management realizes how tightly coupled the economic system actually is?
Information of the Wired
“Wish to pwn a satellite tv for pc? Seems it’s surprisingly straightforward” [The Register]. “In a presentation on the Black Hat safety convention in Las Vegas, Johannes Willbold, a PhD pupil at Germany’s Ruhr College Bochum, defined he had been investigating the safety of satellites. He studied three sorts of orbital equipment and located that many had been totally defenseless towards distant takeover as a result of they lack probably the most primary safety techniques. ‘Folks suppose that satellites are safe,’ he stated. ‘These are costly property and they need to have encryption and authentication. I assume that criminals suppose the identical and they’re too exhausting to focus on and it’s essential to be some sort of cryptography genius. Possibly it wasn’t a good suggestion to provide this speak.’” • Oh.
Contact info for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of crops. Greens are wonderful! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! In order for you your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TF:
TF writes: “Hypericum prolificum in Isham Park, higher Manhattan. Positive is widespread with these giant bees. They bounce round rapidly on the blooms.” You possibly can truly see the blooms shake when a heavy bee is available in for a touchdown.
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Right here is the display screen that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
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