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After the Supreme Courtroom struck down Roe v. Wade final 12 months, it regarded just like the variety of abortions would quickly plummet throughout the nation. However new estimates recommend that has not occurred. The variety of authorized abortions has held regular, if not elevated, nationwide since 2020, our colleagues Amy Schoenfeld Walker and Allison McCann reported right now.
How is that doable? New information from the Guttmacher Institute, a nonprofit specializing in reproductive well being, implies that extra persons are touring throughout state traces or utilizing telemedicine to get abortions, together with by the usage of abortion capsules. The rise in use of these choices has offset the lower in abortions ensuing from new state bans, Amy and Allison discovered.
This map tells the story. As you possibly can see, states bordering these with bans largely noticed will increase within the variety of abortions within the first half of 2023 in contrast with the identical interval in 2020. In Illinois, for instance, estimated abortions rose 69 p.c.
If something, Guttmacher’s information underestimates the variety of abortions. It doesn’t rely abortions obtained exterior the formal well being care system, together with these completed with capsules acquired by neighborhood assist networks or web sites primarily based exterior the U.S. And it doesn’t embrace counts from states with bans, although there are few or no reported abortions there.
Altogether, the information means that there are the identical variety of abortions, or extra, occurring within the U.S. now than there have been earlier than the Supreme Courtroom’s ruling final 12 months within the case, Dobbs v. Jackson Ladies’s Well being Group.
For abortion rights advocates, this can be a combined final result. Not everybody can afford to journey throughout state traces or entry telemedicine, so it’s seemingly that some individuals who wish to get an abortion nonetheless can not accomplish that. And whereas the general rely is up, abortions have been rising earlier than the Supreme Courtroom’s resolution. “They could have continued to rise much more steeply than noticed if it weren’t for the bans,” Caitlin Myers, an economist at Middlebury School, advised Amy and Allison.
What do the information say concerning the affect of the Dobbs resolution? Guttmacher and Myers warning that it’s too quickly to attract definitive conclusions, noting the opportunity of future restrictions. However the instant affect on the general variety of abortions has been smaller than many abortion rights advocates feared. And for anti-abortion teams, the information might be an argument for additional limits to entry, together with a nationwide ban.
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Madison Keys: The American gained her U.S. Open match in straight units to achieve the semifinal.
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ARTS AND IDEAS
A basic rock return: The Rolling Stones introduced a brand new album yesterday, their first report of latest materials in 18 years. “Hackney Diamonds,” named after a neighborhood in London and slang for the shards of glass left after a break-in, can be launched Oct. 20. It’s additionally the band’s first album because the loss of life of its longtime drummer, Charlie Watts, in 2021.
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