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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Hen Tune of the Day
Night Grosbeak (sort 3), Bourgo Residence, Bayfield, Wisconsin, United States.
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order (Rebellion)
“Gaetz, Stefanik provide decision declaring Trump ‘didn’t have interaction in riot’” [The Hill]. “Reps. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) and Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) unveiled a decision Tuesday that declares former President Trump ‘didn’t have interaction in riot or revolt towards the US.’ The decision — which spans one web page and has greater than 60 GOP co-sponsors — comes as teams throughout the nation attempt to disqualify Trump from showing on their 2024 presidential election ballots on claims that he engaged in an riot through the Jan. 6, 2021, assault on the Capitol…. ‘If we’re the purported sufferer, in Congress, and we’re saying this was not an riot, I believe that can maintain an excessive amount of weight,’ [Gaetz] added.”
“Sen. J.D. Vance: Congress “Ought to Have Fought” Over A number of Slates Of Electors In 2020″ [RealClearPolitics]. Vance: “Do I believe there have been issues in 2020? Sure, I do. Do I believe it was an issue that huge expertise corporations, working with the intelligence companies, censored the presidential marketing campaign of Donald Trump? Sure. Do I believe it’s an issue that Pennsylvania modified its balloting guidelines in the midst of the election season in a method that even some courts in Pennsylvania have stated was unlawful? Sure, I believe these have been issues, George, and I believe there’s a political answer to these issues. So, litigating which slate of electors have been reputable I believe is basically the political answer to the issues that existed in 2020. It’s an affordable debate to have. … [musical interlude] . That’s the reputable strategy to cope with an election that lots of of us, together with me, assume had lots of issues in 2020. I believe that’s what we must always have completed.” • I do have a imprecise feeling that PA might have been a little bit whiffy; IIRC, the foundations for poll field drop-offs have been modified underneath circumstances that gave rise to controversy.
“Meet the GOP insider main the push to disqualify Trump in Colorado” [Ivana Saric, Axios]. “The lead plaintiff within the lawsuit filed to maintain Donald Trump off of Colorado’s 2024 poll is a 91-year-old fixture of the Colorado GOP…. A staunch Republican, Anderson had a 19-year profession as a Colorado legislator and was the primary girl to function majority chief in each the state Home and state Senate…. Anderson informed the Colorado Solar that she’ll be watching the Supreme Courtroom arguments carefully and is hopeful a call will likely be reached shortly. ‘I’m very glad I’ve completed it,’ she stated. ‘It does take braveness.’” • I’m feeling a little bit queasy about this narrative, which takes the main target off the NGOs driving the instances collectively, as lawfare. And Saric appears a curious alternative for this beat. Additionally, though when “majority chief in each the state Home and state Senate” I’m positive she was an insider, not now, not if she’s a reasonable who voted for third-party candidates in 2016 and 2020.
Capitol Seizure
“FBI charged with Jan. 6 ‘cover-up’ in Ashli Babbitt taking pictures case” [Washington Examiner]. “In its new FOIA swimsuit, Judicial Watch stated that not solely has the FBI refused its two calls for for information however that the regulation enforcement company has additionally stiff-armed the Justice Division workplace that advocates FOIA compliance, the Workplace of Info Coverage…. Within the wrongful demise swimsuit [brought by Aaron Babbitt and Judicial Watch] a brand new digital camera angle of the taking pictures was supplied. The time-stamped video confirmed an unarmed Babbitt being pushed into the Home Speaker’s Foyer as Byrd raises his gun. After he shot, she fell again, bleeding from the shoulder and neck.”
Biden Administration
“Behind the border mess: Open GOP revolt towards McConnell” [Politico]. “Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson helped squash the border invoice’s prospects within the Home whereas Ron Johnson, Lee, Cruz, Scott and Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) pummeled it on TV and social media. The depth of that assault turned many GOP senators bitter on a border safety deal that will have amounted to probably the most conservative immigration invoice backed by a Democratic president in a technology — a invoice they as soon as stated was the important thing to unlocking Ukraine assist. Although McConnell touted the work of Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) and the invoice’s endorsement by the Border Patrol union, he conceded what was apparent by Monday evening: This laws is lifeless. ‘The explanation we ended up the place we’re is the members determined, because it was by no means going to develop into regulation, they didn’t wish to cope with it,’ McConnell stated within the interview. ‘I don’t know who’s at fault right here, when it comes to making an attempt to forged public blame.’ At Tuesday’s social gathering assembly, Cruz informed McConnell that the border deal was indefensible, whereas Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) questioned why the GOP would stroll away from it, based on two folks accustomed to the assembly. That adopted a Monday night non-public assembly the place Johnson bought right into a near-shouting match with Sen. Todd Younger (R-Ind.), one in every of a number of senators who has tried to rebut Trump’s affect on the social gathering.” • It wouldn’t have helped Biden anyhow; why wouldn’t voters vote for an actual Republican?
For these inquisitive about how conservatives see the failure of the deal… https://t.co/0yTE9PwclH
— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) February 7, 2024
2024
Lower than a yr to go!
* * * Trump (R): “Trump’s authorized battles are at a crucial second with main implications for the 2024 election” [CNN]. “The collision between November’s presidential election and Trump’s extraordinary tangle of authorized liabilities, trials, courtroom appeals and assessments of the rule of regulation is deepening as he tightens his grip on the Republican nomination. A number of civil instances are transferring towards their conclusions, with painful monetary penalties for the ex-president. However there are rising indicators that his delaying technique, designed to postpone full accountability till after the election, could possibly be engaged on a number of felony fronts. And the nation’s high judges and justices are actually wrestling with the implications of Trump’s makes an attempt to pressure the guardrails of the political system to their limits. The ensuing precedents will echo for so long as America stays a republic.” • A great round-up, in the event you filter for the aghastitude.
Trump (R): “Trump plans to steer clear of Supreme Courtroom arguments after turning previous courtroom appearances into marketing campaign stops” [CNN]. “On Tuesday and Wednesday, attorneys and advisers for Trump are holding their first mock arguments to organize to face the justices. The so-called “moot courtroom arguments,” a staple of Supreme Courtroom advocacy, are only one facet of Trump’s extra conventional strategy to Thursday’s case…. Former Texas Solicitor Normal Jonathan Mitchell will argue the case for Trump. This will likely be his sixth time arguing a case earlier than the justices. He’s additionally an completed authorized scholar who has printed quite a few works of scholarship in regulation journals and written on points on the coronary heart of the case, together with the 14th Modification. Not like many Trump attorneys, he has largely labored in authorities and academia earlier than opening his personal agency in 2018. Longtime Trump lawyer David Warrington additionally has performed a major behind-the-scenes function to organize for Thursday. Warrington doesn’t have Supreme Courtroom expertise however has labored with the previous president for years and “understands learn how to get issues completed in Trump world,” based on a supply accustomed to the matter. And John Sauer, the lawyer who argued Trump’s immunity case earlier than the DC Circuit, is predicted to attend and take part within the moot courts this week in Washington, together with a few of Trump’s felony protection attorneys and his shut authorized adviser Boris Epshteyn. The caliber of attorneys and their methodical strategy to this case are a stark distinction to that of Trump’s authorized staff within the current trial in New York to find out damages owed to former journal columnist E. Jean Carroll for defamation.”
Trump (R): “What Occurs, Precisely, If Trump Is Sentenced to Jail?” [Ankush Khardori, New York Magazine]. The lead: “Within the moments after the decision, Donald Trump wouldn’t be hauled off to jail immediately. White-collar defendants are usually allowed to stay out on bail pending sentencing, which suggests, within the case of our former and perhaps future commander-in-chief, that he might proceed to marketing campaign for president within the meantime. However let’s recreation it out: If Trump is discovered responsible, how lengthy until he has to placed on an orange (or, as we’ll be taught, olive-green) jumpsuit?” • The sheer thirst on this piece is overwhelming. It’s like very high-class jail pornography.
* * * Haley (R): “Nikki Haley loses to ‘none of those candidates’ choice in Nevada major” [Washington Examiner]. “With 86% of the ballots tallied, “none of those candidates” had 63% of the vote, whereas Haley had 31%, and former Vice President Mike Pence, who dropped out of the race final yr, netted 4% of the vote.”
* * * Biden (D): The silly! It b-u-u-r-r-r-r-n-n-n-n-n-s-s-s!
You bought it. https://t.co/GOea1AC2oy
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) February 6, 2024
Mutually reinforcing hysteria about brown working class folks on the Rio Grande, nothing about H1B’s in Seattle and Palo Alto (“They’re similar to us!”), and nothing, nothing in any respect, ever, about an asymptomatic, airborne Stage Three Biohazard free within the inhabitants, that’s already killed 1,000,000 folks and appears more likely to kill a number of hundred thousand extra. (Sure, I do know the inhabitants on the border is extra, er, numerous as of late. However the clichés are clichés as a result of they specific sure truths.)
Biden (D): “Counterpoint: Bidenomics’ rosy information vs. the worth of Snickers bars” [Bruce Yandle, Orlando Sentinel]. “By many indicators that matter to lots of sensible economists, industrialists, monetary analysts and Democratic Social gathering politicians, “Bidenomics” is delivering the products. However for rank-and-file voters, one thing is lacking. Public sentiment concerning the financial system has been rising recently, but it surely stays properly under the pre-COVID years in revered measures just like the College of Michigan Shopper Sentiment Index. The temper, it seems, fails to match the most recent 2023 actual GDP progress estimates, which got here in at 2.5%. Clearly, there’s a disconnect, and we shouldn’t brush off the understanding of shoppers who’re extra bothered by their job prospects or the costs of Snickers sweet bars, floor beef or a tank of gasoline than they’re impressed by Shopper Value Index tendencies. In truth, a more in-depth take a look at the information reveals an image extra murky than rosy…. Writing not too long ago on the disconnect in financial perceptions, economist Paul Donovan argued that we want a “Snickers bar index.” If politicians wish to understand how shoppers actually really feel, they should store commonly at a typical grocery retailer, keeping track of the altering costs of Snickers (sweet went up about 13% final yr), floor beef and a pound of espresso. Folks purchase and devour these items incessantly; few scan and even care about Division of Commerce studies.” • I overlooked the half about Carl Jung on information v. understanding. A Mercatus Middle dude quoting Carl Jung; that’s a turn-up for the books!
Biden (D): “Why Is Joe Biden So Unpopular?” [Sean Trende, RealCalerPolitics]. “Progress is over 3%, unemployment is underneath 4%, and inflation has fallen from its peak. So why the seeming paradox of an unpopular president in a time of robust financial progress, particularly when the power of the financial system is itself a standard predictor of presidential job approval? There are two causes. First, we ought not fall into the entice that many commentators – particularly political scientists – fall into of financial reductionism. Sure, it’s ‘the financial system silly,’ as the enduring signal hanging inside Invoice Clinton’s marketing campaign headquarters famously reminded his employees in 1992. Much less well-remembered, nonetheless, the signal additionally listed ‘Change vs. extra of the identical’ as the primary precept of the marketing campaign, with ‘Don’t neglect healthcare’ as an extra merchandise. So folks do care concerning the financial system, however in addition they care about issues starting from the battle raging within the Center East to their general notion of the president….. Extra importantly, commentators misunderstand the character of inflation…. First, inflation is rarely “transitory.” Even after it’s over, value ranges not often fall appreciably (certainly, deflation has its personal issues). Shoppers don’t mechanically reset their baseline. So even when costs are stage (and there’s nonetheless inflation within the U.S.; it’s simply the speed that has slowed), persons are nonetheless shocked once they pay $2 per pound for rooster, evaluating it to when rooster was $1.44 for a pound in 2021. Second, inflation is consistently in our face. Each time a shopper goes to the shop and makes a purchase order, they’re reminded of the affect. That is true for gasoline, meals, clothes – each commodity a person consumes. That’s to not say different indicators don’t damage; it’s simply to say they don’t seem to be felt as usually. It isn’t simply items and companies both. The principle device the Fed has to battle inflation – elevating rates of interest – has secondary and tertiary penalties…. [F]or a society accustomed to utilizing their homes as ATMs when rates of interest have been low, it’s an unsettling change. For individuals who wish to get into the housing marketplace for the primary time, it’s a good greater downside. Lastly, and most insidiously, inflation impacts everybody…. Inflation hits you it doesn’t matter what you’re buying. In case your thought of an evening out is dinner at McDonald’s, your additional worth meals value extra. In case your thought of an evening out is Outback Steakhouse, costs have been up by 5% in 2022 alone (although the beloved franchise has vowed to rein in value will increase transferring ahead.) As for positive eating, my spouse and I celebrated a special day at a elaborate steakhouse in Ohio not too long ago and shelled out round $80 per steak.” • $80 for a steak? Yikes! Does this match reader expertise?!
* * * Biden (D): “Biden and the Democrats have a major money benefit” [MSNBC]. “Biden’s fundamental marketing campaign committee began 2024 with about $46 million in money available, considerably greater than Trump’s $33 million, based on Federal Election Fee filings. To be clear, Biden’s lead over Trump isn’t large, and across the similar level within the 2020 election cycle then-President Trump had a whopping $102.7 million in money available. However there are a variety of causes that Biden’s monetary benefit could also be significantly sturdy. Whereas Biden isn’t dealing with a major challenger within the primaries, Trump should spend cash within the GOP primaries to defeat former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley — who has a good amount of money available herself and will theoretically keep on for some time even when she continues to lose nominating contests. The larger drain on Trump’s battle chest, although, is his huge array of authorized entanglements. The Trump marketing campaign and affiliated political motion committees reportedly spent round $50 million on authorized payments for Trump and his inside circle. These efforts will proceed to be a drain on Trump’s pockets, siphoning funds that will in any other case be spent on messaging, turnout and different marketing campaign operations.” Lawfare working as meant, then? Extra: “Some — together with my colleague Hayes Brown — would argue that Trump recoups a few of his authorized spending as a result of his courtroom appearances and his extensively mentioned authorized arguments operate as a type of promoting for his presidential marketing campaign and a strategy to enhance his coffers. There’s some reality to that. However Trump’s capability to capitalize on his authorized woes is waning: A brand new Reuters report reveals that whereas his fundamental fundraising group was as soon as capable of elevate as much as $4 million in a day round courtroom appearances, by the tip of final yr these fundraising hauls sank to shut to Trump’s general every day fundraising common of $300,000.” • That ought to change when the instances start; it’s fascinating to assume that Trump’s technique of delay on the courtroom instances would possibly lead to an enormous infusion of money later within the election.
* * * “Why A Second Trump-Biden Matchup Received’t Be A Rerun Of The 2020 Election” [HuffPo]. “It’s simple to miss the methods during which Biden-Trump 2.0 can be dramatically completely different from the primary time round…. Again in 2020, the marketing campaign happened proper as COVID-19 was first spreading, making a[n ongoing] once-in-a-lifetime [we hope] public well being disaster. This election is unfolding amid a pair of violent worldwide crises, the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza. The principle financial problem in 2020 was to prop up the financial system because the pandemic threatened to close it down. At the moment, the primary problem with the financial system is to maintain it operating with out letting it overheat. Violent crime is now happening as an alternative of up. Unlawful border crossings are going up as an alternative of down. And naturally, in 2020, abortion was nonetheless a proper all through the U.S., albeit with restrictions. Now it exists solely in some states, and is underneath menace in others. However there’s one other, much less apparent distinction between 2020 and 2024, and it’d matter much more. At the moment, we all know an important deal extra concerning the two males who’re more likely to seem on the poll.”
* * * “Democratic and Republican elites worry RFK Jr.’s rising path to victory” [The Hill]. “34. Which will very properly develop into the symbolic magic quantity within the November presidential election. In what’s shaping as much as be a three-person contest between President Joe Biden, former President Donald Trump, and impartial candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the query turns into: Which candidate can garner 34 % of the favored vote or larger?… [B]y turning into the standard-bearer for the Libertarian Social gathering, Kennedy can be considerably extra more likely to get on state ballots, together with key battleground states… All of that hints at a really fascinating political and electoral risk. What if Kennedy — who “has no probability” and is just going to function a “spoiler” — not solely runs on the Libertarian Social gathering ticket and will get on key swing state ballots however continues to peel off increasingly younger and impartial voters with a smattering of dissatisfied Democrats and Republicans? Some polls have already proven Kennedy at about 21 % of the favored vote. With simply over 9 months to go earlier than the election, what if he grows his help at simply over 1 % per 30 days? Unimaginable?” • Gotta brush up on what occurs if an election is thrown to the Home.
“Third-party candidates might win Trump the White Home once more” [Unherd]. “Biden is six factors forward of Trump in a two-way nationwide race, however the addition of RFK Jr., Stein and West reduces his result in simply two factors in a separate Quinnipiac ballot. Kennedy takes the lion’s share of third-party votes, 21%, in comparison with West and Stein’s 3% and a couple of%. December polling signifies {that a} three-way race involving RFK boosts Trump by 5 factors, and it could safely be assumed that Stein and West primarily win votes from would-be Biden supporters. … Any affect of third-party candidates in closely blue or pink states wouldn’t bridge the huge margins that Joe Biden or Trump are projected to win in these states — solely affect in swing states meaningfully impacts the election. ” • Useful chart:
That “three-way” locution is extraordinarily unlucky….
Spook Nation
Democrats en Déshabillé
Certainly one of my favourite accounts, from Black Twitter days:
Why ought to anybody reelect a political loser? If a daily particular person bought employed to drive a particular bus route, however they by no means did it due to their incapability to regulate to visitors they’d be fired and rightfully so. However in some way we gotta hold voting for ineffective politicians? 🥴
— AshleyStevens (@The_Acumen) February 5, 2024
“Did Philadelphia Sheriff Rochelle Bilal’s marketing campaign make up dozens of false information tales?” [Philadelphia Inquirer]. “Rochelle Bilal ran for Philadelphia sheriff as a reformer in 2019, pledging to wash up an workplace lengthy stricken by corruption, controversy, and monetary irregularities so intensive that they gave accountants precise nightmares. Her first time period in workplace has been bumpy, to place it mildly, as she has handled every thing from whistle-blower lawsuits to a damaged tax-sale system. However Bilal has been telling a special story on her marketing campaign web site. It options dozens of favorable headlines attributed to native information organizations resembling NBC10, CBS3, WHYY, and The Inquirer, all itemizing the dates of publication. ‘This web page,’ the location proclaims, ‘highlights Sheriff Bilal’s report of accomplishment throughout her time in workplace.’ One snag: Nobody can appear to search out any of the supposed information tales…. By Friday morning, the hyperlink to the 31 phantom information headlines had been faraway from Bilal’s fundamental marketing campaign web site…. Response from communications ethicists and media research specialists ranged from ‘nutty’ and ‘actually odd’ to ‘brazen’ and ‘outrageous.’ One concept: Possibly a marketing campaign staffer used an AI chatbot to generate headlines concerning the sheriff.” • Oops. Makes me surprise what else we’ve missed….
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Maskstravaganza
“Not sporting a masks throughout COVID-19 well being emergency isn’t a free speech proper, appeals courtroom says” [Associated Press]. “‘A query shadowing fits resembling these is whether or not there’s a First Modification proper to refuse to put on a protecting masks as required by legitimate well being and security orders put in place throughout a acknowledged public well being emergency. Like all courts to handle this situation, we conclude there’s not,’ the courtroom stated.” • What a disgrace. “The precise to contaminate others shall not be infringed.”
* * * “Phil Hellmuth Desires Ike Haxton to Take Off the Facemask: ‘This Isn’t On-line Poker’” [Poker News]. “‘Nobody ought to have the ability to cowl their face, except you employ your personal palms to do it. This isn’t on-line poker. ‘Tells’ matter in reside poker: it’s a ability to cover your tells and one other ability to learn your opponent’s tells,’ Hellmuth wrote…. ‘When there’s six folks left in a event, you don’t have any actual issues of COVID,’ Hellmuth continued.” Expensive Lord. No, #CovidIsAirborne, and strikes like smoke by means of the complete facility. Anyhow, the plain answer is to mandate common masking.
“Opinion: Hellmuth Ought to Stroll Again His Feedback About Ike Haxton’s Masks-Carrying” [Vegas Slots Online]. “Taking a weird shot towards gamers who select to put on a masks on the desk, Hellmuth proclaimed that ‘nobody ought to have the ability to cowl their face’ on the poker desk. He singled out Haxton as somebody who he claims features a bonus over his opponents by sporting a masks. It was a puerile take backed up by weak arguments concerning the significance of reside tells. Haxton doesn’t put on a balaclava. He wears N95 Respirators and related high quality medical masks that present respiratory safety to the wearer by very successfully filtering airborne particles. Hellmuth questioning his motivation is asinine and as Haxton rightly factors out, poker writers that ‘either side’ this story must be ashamed of themselves.” • Masks don’t “cowl the face,” since our eyes — the home windows of the soul — aren’t coated (a minimum of by a respirator; we’re not going all Darth Vader right here). Is Hellmuth actually saying that eyes give no tells? And the way come “no one ought to have the ability to infect anybody else with an asymptomatic, airborne Stage Three Biohazard” a part of the dialogue?
Vaccines
A great query:
They tweeted about it https://t.co/hUElxEIslU
— Nate Bear (@NateB_Panic) February 7, 2024
Remove the “sterilizing” half, and capitalism will swing into motion. A subscription-based nasal vaccine enterprise mannequin can be a surefire winner!
Sequelae
The labor market would love a phrase:
After the delta & 1st omicron surge within the US, my lab needed to abandon cognitive screenings (reminiscence) to evaluate research eligibility as a result of duties like subtracting 7 from 100 (93…86…79) was a barrier for COLLEGE college students to enter. Of those that handed, most couldn’t carry out the nBack. https://t.co/uBTZ0g0fqX
— Dr. Sean Mullen (@drseanmullen) February 7, 2024
“Dang. I do know I put these bolts somethe place!”
Elite Maleficence
I assume I’ve to observe US Proper to Know extra carefully, as a result of right here they’re doing the Lord’s Work on airborne transmission:
https://t.co/4e8wH3goWW
— Jim Haslam (@jhas5) February 7, 2024
Shorter: They knew. (Munster claims precedence on #CovidIsAirborne as of February 20, 2020 — how way back however Xi informed Trump the identical factor on February 7, based on Woodward.)
“Measles has exploded in Europe. Clinicians say it’s solely a matter of time earlier than outbreaks hit Canada” [CBC]. It’s nearly as if there’s a standard thread right here, all these contagious ailments so immediately. Anyhow: “However measles is exceptionally contagious. ‘Usually we predict that, so long as any person doesn’t cough in our face … or shake our hand with their, , snotty hand, we will likely be OK, proper? ‘ [Dr. Jeffrey Pernica, division head of infectious diseases at McMaster Children’s Hospital] stated. ‘That’s form of the rule for many respiratory viruses.’” • What is it with hospital infectioon management?
Another reason to keep away from air journey:
What is going to they do? Eject passengers who care them?
“Lengthy COVID analysis goes non-public” [National Public Radio]. “Proal doesn’t work for the federal government or a college. She runs a nonprofit referred to as PolyBio Analysis Basis. It’s funding a lot of this cutting-edge work due to $30 million donated by a Russian Canadian billionaire from the world of crypto.” • [bangs head on desk].
TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new in the present day; all others will not be up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] Sure, up, however we’ll wish to wait till subsequent week to see if there are backward revisions. I’d be extra snug if some positivity figures have been up, too, or the ER (UPDATE: It’s not). Verily information, FWIW, additionally suggests a rise:
[2] Biobot information suggests an increase within the Northeast. MRWA information doesn’t recommend that:
I additionally tried Verily’s regional information and CDC’s mapm however I wasn’t assured I used to be seeing a sign in both.
[3] “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information will likely be reported biweekly, based mostly on the provision of constructive check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems to be like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
[4] Doesn’t help Biobot information. “Charts and information supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, a minimum of for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, although CDC is making an attempt to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections. And naturally, we’re not even stepping into the standard of the wastewater websites that we now have as a proxy for Covid an infection general.
[5] Lower for the town now not aligns with wastewater information (if certainly Biobot’s spike is actual).
[6] Nonetheless down “Maps, charts, and information supplied by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] It might be fascinating to survey this inhabitants typically; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and large peer strain, went and bought examined anyhow.
[8] Lambert right here: Share and absolute numbers down.
[9] Up, albeit within the rear view mirror.
Stats Watch
Provide Chain: “United States LMI Logistics Managers Index Present” [Trading Economics]. “The Logistics Supervisor’s Index within the US elevated to 55.6 in January 2024, the very best in three months, from 50.6 in December. For the primary time since September 2019, each metric is in growth territory, led by a rise within the restocking of inventories (52.8 vs 44.3), particularly for retailers, after a busy vacation season.”
Tech: “”Wherever you get your podcasts” is a radical assertion” [Anil Dash]. Late to the social gathering, however a welcome visitor. “[B]eing capable of say, “wherever you get your podcasts” is a radical assertion. As a result of what it represents is the triumph of precisely the type of expertise that’s imagined to be inconceivable: open, empowering tech that’s not owned by anyone firm, that may’t be managed by anyone firm, and that permits folks to have possession over their work and their relationship with their viewers. See, podcasting as a expertise grew out of the early period of the social net, when the norms of expertise creators have been that they have been anticipated to create open techniques, which interoperated with instruments by different creators and even different corporations. This was based mostly on the successes of earlier generations of the web, like electronic mail and even the net itself. Podcasting was mainly the final such invention to develop into mainstream, with thousands and thousands of individuals listening every single day, and numerous folks capable of create within the medium. And naturally, it creates tons of oppportunities for companies too, whether or not it’s folks making wonderful podcasts like Roman Mars does, or giants like Apple or Spotify constructing companies across the medium. Distinction this to different media codecs on-line, like YouTube or Tiktok or Twitch, which don’t depend on open techniques, and are wholly owned by particular person tech corporations. On these platforms, creators are always chasing the most recent algorithmic shifts, and are topic to the whims of promoting algorithms which are utterly opaque. If a creator will get fed up sufficient to wish to go away a platform, they’re caught — these viewers or listeners are tied to the corporate that hosts the content material. However within the podcasting world, creators can (assuming they work out the enterprise offers mandatory to take action) truly take their ball and go dwelling, as a result of the underlying ‘feed’ — the particular file that podcasting apps take a look at to know when there’s a brand new episode — is one thing they’ll truly transfer over to a brand new system or a brand new host, with out dropping all their subscribers or followers. Certainly, this concept of getting a ‘transportable’ viewers is so interesting that it’s even been revived within the new wave of open format-based social networks which have arisen.” • What the blogosphere was once earlier than the Robber Barons of Silicon Valley took over. Ought to be “social [inter]media[tion].” That method the rental extraction half — the flip facet of which is the censorship half, that being the social media facet hustle — will get neatly erased.
At the moment’s Concern & Greed Index: 74 Greed (earlier shut: 73 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 65 (Excessive Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Feb 6 at 2:26:21 PM ET.
The Gallery
“13 Methods of Taking a look at Artwork” [William Deresiewicz, Salmagundi]. “Artwork is for growing life. That, I consider, in spite of everything the opposite functions obtain their due, is absolutely what it’s for—why we revere it, why we give our hearts to it. What do I imply by growing life? How can we reside extra, provided that we are able to’t reside longer? Via consideration and depth. Being totally current to the world, and feeling with out reservation: the 2 issues that making artwork requires and that experiencing it includes. “Being in love,” Tim Kreider writes, “is among the solely instances when life is something like artwork,” however the reverse can be true. Artwork is among the solely instances when life is something like being in love. Consideration, depth. Additionally it is one of many solely instances when waking life is something like dreaming. I awaken from a dream, from its saturation of that means and feeling, its world of colour and full success, its crowd of presences, of distant mates, outdated lovers, lifeless dad and mom, to the drabness of quotidian life, to the narrowness of my existence, to my standard dismal self. Oh yeah, it’s me once more. How can I regain that paradise, which was right here only a second in the past? Solely by means of artwork: by means of music, by means of story, by means of the alchemy of verse. I used to be listening to Abbey Highway the opposite day. Someplace between “You By no means Give Me Your Cash” and “Golden Slumbers,” I lastly understood Nabokov’s definition of aesthetic bliss: “a way of being in some way, someplace, linked with different states of being the place artwork (curiosity, tenderness, kindness, ecstasy) is the norm.” It’s on this respect, and this one solely, that artwork is utopian….” • “Artwork is for” used as anaphora…. (Supply of the “13 Methods” trope.)
Contact info for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photos of crops. Greens are positive! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at first of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From BB:
BB writes: “This dahlia plant was seeded indoors in mid-April then transplanted outside; the place it survived the munching rabbits. Then, after surviving a number of gentle frosts, the dahlia plant lastly bloomed late within the season.” Too all late bloomers in all places….
Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not coated by the annual NC fundraiser. So in the event you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible kind. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get nervous. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising targets:
Right here is the display screen that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
If you happen to hate PayPal, you may electronic mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will provide you with instructions on learn how to ship a test. Thanks!
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