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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Fowl Tune of the Day
Home Wren, Kingston Canyon Rd., Lander, Nevada, United States.
Search for the Helpers
Not merely due to their masks:
Nurses in a Taiwan Hospital defending infants throughout Earthquake pic.twitter.com/I66wVRdMME
— Bonjour (@imromec) April 3, 2024
My electronic mail handle is down by the plant; please ship examples of “Helpers” there. In our more and more determined and fragile neoliberal society, on a regular basis regular incidents and tales of “the communism of on a regular basis life” are what I’m on the lookout for (and never, say, the Crimson Cross in Hawaii, and even the UNWRA in Gaza).
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
2024
Lower than a yr to go!
RCP Ballot Averages, March 29
I believe I’ll go away this up till this coming Friday, so I can no less than mumble one thing about tendencies. Nationally, Trump is up 2.4% within the 5-Approach, similar as final week, give or take. Trump continues to be up in all of the Swing States (extra right here). I’ve highlighted PA, (1) as a result of Trump is definitely down there, and (2) it’s an outlier, has been for weeks. Why isn’t Trump doing properly there?
* * * Trump (R): “As general election heats up, Trump camp prepares to be frozen in court” [Semafor]. “One of the complications the campaign will have to sort through is scheduling. Up until now, Trump has only been seated in court for a few days at a time — and oftentimes, it’s been of his own volition, with the campaign seeing his presence as a way to merge the legal and campaign battles while heightening Trump’s claims of political persecution for Republican primary voters. Now, though, team Trump is readying for their candidate to be required in court multiple days a week, for weeks at a time, which will make organizing consistent campaign events that much harder. ‘This is just the progression of where the campaign season is headed into,’ one aide said. ‘Certainly, he’ll have to be in court quite a few days out of the week, and that’s never an ideal thing. We would never wish to be in that position, of course.’ But his team still believes there’s ‘ample opportunity’ to work around these limitations: Based on the judge’s public schedule, they believe Trump, who is likely to camp out at Trump Tower during trial days, will have Wednesdays off, meaning the former president could participate in campaign-related events that day or on Tuesday evenings. The campaign also noted that they’ll have weekends to work with — and left open the possibility of doing mini-trips to neighboring states on court days, too.” • Trump could conduct a “front porch campaign” from the steps for Trump Tower!
* * * Biden (D): “Joe Biden can’t get out of the hole he’s already dug for himself” [New York Post]. “But you’d much rather be where Trump is in the polls right now than where Biden is. Trump was never in this strong a position at any point in the 2016 or 2020 elections. At this stage in 2020, Biden was up 4 points in Michigan, 3 in Wisconsin and North Carolina and 2 in Pennsylvania. At this point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was up 10 in Michigan and Wisconsin, 9 in Pennsylvania and 2 in North Carolina — and she lost all four states.” And: “Yet Biden refuses to change course or change his message: The economy is good, Trump is a threat to democracy, and abortion, abortion, abortion. Those campaign tactics helped Democrats avoid what should have been a much worse loss in 2022, but they still lost the national popular vote in House races [they did] — and a repeat of that showing would mean President Trump: The Sequel. But don’t expect an old dog to learn new tricks.” • Just so long as he doesn’t bite anybody!
* * * Kennedy (I): “Column: Trump’s vice presidential show and Kennedy’s kamikaze mission” [Los Angeles Times]. On Kennedy’s chances of winning: “I would say slim to none — but slim was last seen paddling as far and fast as possible away from the Kennedy compound in Hyannis Port, Mass. (Much of Kennedy’s family fervently oppose his bid and support Biden’s reelection.) So I would venture to say there is absolutely no chance.” Who gains and who loses with Kennedy running: “That’s unclear. His platform — a farrago of liberal and conservative views mashed up with a mess of conspiracy-laden pottage, isn’t easily categorized. He could appeal to both disaffected Democrats and Republicans.” • In the “change vs. more of the same” framework, however, Kennedy is definitely in “change,” as is Trump. And Biden is in “more of the same” (“fundamentally nothing would change“).
* * * Kennedy (I): “The ‘Traditional Organizing’ Election?” [Campaigns & Elections]. “Sdd another voice to the “field will be crucial in 2024″ discussion: Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. The independent presidential candidate told CNN this week that his campaign has deployed some 200,000 volunteers to help him gain ballot access in all 50 states. ‘We have a very, very good volunteer army out there,’ he said. ‘We already have the biggest field operation of any campaign. We are going to have no problem getting on the ballot in every state.’” Maybe. More: “Currently, the candidate is only confirmed to be on the ballot in Utah, and while his campaign claims to have the needed signatures for ballot access in North Carolina (and a handful of other states) ballot access for Kennedy remains a very uphill battle. While Kennedy was talking up the strength of his own operation, consultants have also been calling for investment in field organizing, and talking up how necessary it will be for campaigns to boost spending on organizing programs this cycle…. ‘It’s 67,000 votes,’ [Jeff Roe, founder of Axiom Strategies, recently told C&E] said, referencing the difference between Hillary Clinton and President Trump’s vote totals in deciding states in 2016. ‘The investment in those six, maybe seven states on the ground motivating people to vote for their party preference is going to be the whole game.’ Part of the reason why that investment is so crucial is because of how hard it is to thread the needle to reach the right people with an effective TV ad. ‘,’ he said. ‘And then you have streaming, which just passed linear TV last year — and half of that is not ad supported.’” • That statistic on video and TV watching is the most encouraging number I’ve seen in some time.
Kennedy (I): “Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is not just a ‘spoiler candidate’” [The Berkshire Edge]. Letter to the Editor from Kennedy’s Berkshire County campaign coordinator. “Team Kennedy has over 12,000 volunteers and supporters already registered in Massachusetts. And the effort to get the 10,000-plus signatures to get RFK Jr. on the ballot—so that Americans have their democratically protected choices—will be beginning shortly. Anyone interested in volunteering or just learning more about the policies and platform of the Kennedy-Shanahan Ticket can visit kennedy24.com.” • Good staffwork. Here is the ballot access page for Kennedy’s site; I clicked on “Massachusetts” to double-check the 10,000 figure:
Looks informative and professional. Also, July 30 is very far away if Kennedy has the money and catches fire with volunteers; very close if he does not.
NC: Kennedy (I): “RFK Jr. is officially joining the NC ballot” [CarolinaCoastOnline]. “The newly formed We The People political party gathered more than 23,000 signatures, far above the requirement to gain ballot access, with over a month to spare and a 60% buffer to protect against invalid signatures. .” • And I’m sure there’s an army of lawyers protecting “our democracy” by disputing those signatures even as we speak. (Also, the 60% margin seems fair, meaning that the 10,000 figure for MA is really 16,000.)
NC: Kennedy (I): “How North Carolina’s presidential election changes if RFK Jr. is on the ballot” [Charlotte Observer]. “Still, Kennedy’s presence on the ballot could have a meaningful impact on the outcome of the election, especially in a swing state like North Carolina. While Trump carried North Carolina in the 2020 election, it was his lowest margin of victory in any state. He won it by only a 1.34% margin, and it was the only state in which he won with less than 50% of the vote.Anticipating yet another close race in 2024, both the Biden and Trump campaigns are making North Carolina a priority. It wouldn’t take much to seal the outcome in either candidate’s favor — and .” And: “Most polls currently show Trump with a lead over Biden in North Carolina, and that lead grows when third-party candidates like Kennedy are included on the ballot, poll averages show. A new Wall Street Journal poll published this week showed Trump with a six-point lead in North Carolina on a test ballot that includes third-party and independent candidates.”
* * * Kennedy (I): “Terrified Parents, New Age Health Nuts, MAGA Exiles. Meet the R.F.K. Jr. Faithful.” [Michelle Goldberg, New York Times]. “[O]n the ground, I haven’t met many Kennedy-curious voters for whom Biden is a second choice. Instead, Kennedy attracts many of the same sort of alienated political eccentrics who in the past have gravitated to Trump. ‘They keep saying that he’s pulling from Biden, but most of our people are actually coming from the right,’ said Leigh Merinoff, volunteer chair of the finance committee of American Values. Anecdotes aren’t the same thing as data, and people who go to rallies and volunteer for campaigns aren’t necessarily representative of the electorate, which is full of people who are much more disengaged. Nevertheless, there’s a gap between both Democratic and Republican assumptions about Kennedy’s appeal and the character of his real-life movement. He’s much more of a wild card than left-wing third-party candidates like Stein and Cornel West. There’s something distinctly Trumpy in his campaign’s mix of New Age individualism, social media-fueled paranoia and intense, aching nostalgia for the optimistic America of the early 1960s, when Kennedy’s uncle John F. Kennedy was president and his father, Robert F. Kennedy, served as attorney general. It’s not surprising that some otherwise Trump-leaning voters are picking up on it.” • So, Kennedy voters are deplorables too?! (As for as
* * * Kennedy (I): “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s running mate and the vaccine wars” [Glenn Kessler, WaPo]. Four Pinocchios: “Shanahan does not quite say that vaccines cause autism, but she implies it, demanding a study that is not feasible because it would be unethical. She cites numbers that claim that autism has spiked, without acknowledging the main reason is because the definition of autism has been greatly expanded. This is textbook anti-vaccine rhetoric. The overall effect is to cast doubt on the safety of vaccines. She earns Four Pinocchios.” • I so, so don’t want to get involved in that discourse; there seems to be a distinct lack of good faith participants, and don’t @ me.
Kennedy (I): That’s the stuff to give the troops:
Moms are the unsung heroes of our society. They juggle it all without fanfare or accolades. They do it for the love of their children — a love greater than any other.
Waking up to the realities of the chronic health epidemic is painful because it is hard to fathom that our… pic.twitter.com/4EWTSqVqnm
— Nicole Shanahan (@NicoleShanahan) April 3, 2024
If Mothers are for us, who may be in opposition to us?
Kennedy (I): Shanahan on coverage:
My operating mate Nicole Shanahan explains how the Kennedy/Shanahan ticket will finish the continual illness epidemic:
“Whereas Bobby is targeted on ending the company seize of our regulatory companies, I’m going to assemble the most effective technologists and scientists on this planet and we… pic.twitter.com/v9kqLJKEFb
— Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr) March 30, 2024
Sounds good “at a excessive degree,” as we are saying, however there are two issues past the Silicon Valley triumphalism: (1) We don’t actually have well being information databases; we have now databases categorizing putative well being remedies in medical amenities for fee functions, contaminated by upcoding, and (2) AI = BS (although I grant some sample recognition purposes aren’t as pernicious because the ChatGPT department of the sphere).
Kennedy (I): “How Nicole Shanahan, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s VP Choose, Received So Wealthy” [Forbes]. “Shanahan’s wealth comes from her earlier marriage to Sergey Brin, the Google cofounder whose web value Forbes estimates at greater than $120 billion—sufficient to rank him because the tenth richest particular person on this planet.” And: “Divorce information aren’t clear on how a lot Shanahan walked away with, and neither she nor Brin responded to requests for remark, however Brin’s filings with the Securities and Alternate Fee provide revealing info. The paperwork present a lower in his Class B shares of Alphabet (Google’s dad or mum firm) totaling some 2.6 million shares someday between Might and December 2023. Throughout that interval, he didn’t report any share gross sales or presents, which might usually be required for Brin, an Alphabet director who owns greater than 5% of the corporate’s shares. In all probability, these shares, value about $390 million at present costs, went to Shanahan: Transfers resulting from divorce don’t should be disclosed instantly in insider transaction filings, in response to 4 consultants contacted by Forbes.” And however: “Assuming that Brin’s SEC filings present a switch to Shanahan, she didn’t get near $1 billion in Class B shares. Nevertheless, Brin has traditionally executed parallel transactions for his Alphabet Class C shares—which don’t seem in annual possession filings as a result of they don’t have voting rights—promoting or gifting related numbers of Class B and Class C shares at related occasions. If he adopted his regular sample and in addition transferred roughly 2.6 million Class C shares to Shanahan, then taken collectively, these 5.2 million shares can be value slightly below $800 million right this moment. Add in some other property she could have gotten within the break up, like houses they lived in collectively or some money from Brin’s $900 million in Alphabet shares he bought throughout their marriage, and that would put her nearer to the $1 billion she needed. However even when Shanahan solely bought the Class B shares, a fortune of round $400 million would nonetheless make her the wealthiest vice presidential decide in a long time—possible since Nelson Rockefeller, Gerald Ford’s VP. .” • The important level.
Kennedy (I): “Tulsi Gabbard turned down RFK Jr.’s provide to be his operating mate, she says” [ABC]. “Former Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, who left the Democratic Social gathering in 2022, declined a suggestion to be Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s operating mate in his impartial presidential bid, she tells ABC Information. ‘I met with Kennedy a number of occasions, and we have now turn into good pals,’ she mentioned in an announcement. ‘He requested if I’d be his operating mate. After cautious consideration, I respectfully declined.’”
* * * PA: “F&M Ballot: Pennsylvania Shifting in Extra Optimistic Path” [Politics PA]. “The excellent news for President Joe Biden comes within the type of a two-horse race in opposition to former President Donald Trump. After touchdown inside the margin of error in opposition to the forty fifth president in February, the forty sixth president has greater than doubled the 4.0% margin of error (MOE) on this survey with a 48-38% p.c benefit.” Nevertheless: “When two different choices have been introduced to the respondents within the type of Jill Stein (Inexperienced) and Robert Kennedy Jr. (Impartial), the race moved inside the MOE with Biden at 42% and Trump at 40%. Kennedy (9%) and Stein (3%) appeared to take extra help from Biden, who was at 42-37% with the identical query in February.”
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new right this moment; all others aren’t up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (Biobot) Our curve has now flattened out on the degree of earlier Trump peaks. Not a fantastic victory. Observe additionally the realm “beneath the curve,” in addition to taking a look at peaks. That space is bigger beneath Biden than beneath Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if erratically.
[2] (Biobot) Backward revisions, I hate them.
[3] (CDC Variants) As of Might 11, genomic surveillance information might be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
[4] (ER) CDC appears to have killed this off, for the reason that hyperlink is damaged, I believe in favor of this factor. I’ll attempt to verify. UPDATE Sure, go away it to CDC to kill a web page, after which announce it was archived a day later. And heaven forfend CDC ought to clarify the place to go to get equal information, if any. I appreciated the ER information, as a result of it appeared actually onerous to recreation…
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Seems like a really gradual leveling off to a non-zero baseline, to me.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and information offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.
[8] (Cleveland) Flattening.
[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Now up, albeit within the rear view mirror.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates totally.
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of folks claiming unemployment advantages within the US surged by 11,000 from the earlier week’s upwardly revised worth to 221,000 on the interval ending March thirtieth, essentially the most in two months, and properly above market expectations of 214,000. The consequence recommended a departure from an prolonged interval of low preliminary declare counts and contrasted in opposition to different sturdy labor stories launched this week, suggesting that tightness within the US labor market could also be absorbing the delayed affect of elevated rates of interest.”
Manufacturing: “Sen. Tammy Duckworth requires FAA evaluation of Boeing’s failure to reveal 737 Max flight deck options to pilots” [CBS]. “Senator Tammy Duckworth is urging the Federal Aviation Administration to take a better take a look at the way it responds to what she says is a sample by Boeing of failing to reveal flight deck options of the 737 Max to pilots, in response to a letter to be despatched Thursday and obtained completely by CBS Information. Duckworth, Democrat of Illinois and chair of the Senate’s Aviation Security, Operations and Innovation Subcommittee, is looking on FAA Administrator Michael Whitaker to research why Alaska Airways pilots have been unaware the aircraft’s cockpit door was designed to mechanically open throughout a fast depressurization — which is precisely what occurred on flight AS1282 when a door panel on a Boeing 737 Max 9 blew out mid-flight in early January. ‘Boeing’s failure to reveal this characteristic is chilling given its historical past of concealing 737 MAX info from pilots,’ Duckworth writes. Nationwide Transportation Security Board Chair Jennifer Homendy instructed reporters following a Senate Commerce Committee listening to on January 17 that the flight crew ought to have been instructed concerning the characteristic. ‘No one knew about it. So it was an entire shock. And the flight crew must know,’ she mentioned, including, ‘understanding this might happen is fairly key to security.’” • In the meantime, the common blackout of John Barnett’s assassination continues. How lengthy does it take to jot down up a police report? Or will we ever get one?
At present’s Concern & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 61 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 71 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Apr 4 at 1:57:59 PM ET.
Information of the Wired
“1,2,3,4,5” [The On-Line Encyclopedia of Integer Sequences“] “‘God made the integers; all else is the work of man.’ This well-known citation is a translation of ‘Die ganzen Zahlen hat der liebe Gott gemacht, alles andere ist Menschenwerk,’ spoken by Leopold Kronecker in a lecture on the Berliner Naturforscher-Versammlung in 1886. Probably the primary publication of the assertion is in Heinrich Weber’s ‘Leopold Kronecker,’ Jahresberichte D.M.V. 2 (1893) 5-31.” • I’m amazed that there’s such a factor. It definitely passes the random opening take a look at!
“Our instruments form our selves” [Aeon]. “In line with [French philosopher Bernard Stiegler], technics – the making and use of know-how, within the broadest sense – is what makes us human. Our distinctive means of present on this planet, as distinct from different species, is outlined by the experiences and information our instruments make potential, whether or not that may be a state-of-the-art brain-computer interface reminiscent of Neuralink, or a prehistoric flint axe used to clear a forest. However don’t be mistaken: ‘technics’ shouldn’t be merely one other phrase for ‘know-how’. As Martin Heidegger wrote in his essay ‘The Query Regarding Know-how’ (1954), which used the German time period Technik as a substitute of Technologie within the unique title: the ‘essence of know-how is in no way something technological.’ This aligns with the historical past of the phrase: the etymology of ‘technics’ leads us again to one thing like the traditional Greek time period for artwork – technē. The essence of know-how, then, shouldn’t be present in a tool, such because the one you’re utilizing to learn this essay. It’s an open-ended artistic course of, a relationship with our instruments and the world. That is Stiegler’s legacy. All through his life, he took this concept of technics, first explored whereas he was imprisoned for armed theft [whoa!], additional than anybody else.” And: “Within the late twentieth century, Stiegler started making use of this concept to new media applied sciences, reminiscent of tv, which led to the event of an idea he known as pharmacology – an concept that means we don’t merely ‘use’ our digital instruments. As an alternative, they enter and pharmacologically change us, like medicinal medicine.” • Hmm.
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