Will NFL MVP additionally win Tremendous Bowl? Mahomes, Allen, others to strive

Patrick Mahomes. Joe Burrow. Jalen Hurts. Josh Allen. Certainly one of these 4 quarterbacks has an opportunity to do one thing that hasn’t been finished in 23 years — win the MVP and the Tremendous Bowl in the identical yr.

Lots of people within the sports activities world nonetheless consider the MVP ought to go to the very best participant on the very best group. How the award gathered such a distinction, I don’t know, however for some motive, many followers nonetheless maintain onto it as if it isn’t the dumbest saying in all of sports activities. That is likely to be the excellence for particular person soccer video games, and that’s why we’ve the Tremendous Bowl MVP Award. Nevertheless, that’s not the case for a season-long MVP title.

Not since Kurt Warner

Historical past backs up my argument as nicely. As I’ve identified earlier than, NFL award winners have a really tough time within the Tremendous Bowl, particularly MVP winners. Ever since Kurt Warner gained the Tremendous Bowl in addition to the MVP Award in 1999/2000, zero gamers have achieved that feat. None! Many have tried, and even come very shut. MVPs have reached the Tremendous Bowl 9 instances since Warner achieved the feat. They’re an abysmal 0-9 although. Humorous sufficient, a number of of those MVPs did win the Tremendous Bowl the next season. Mahomes gained the award in 2018 and gained the Tremendous Bowl in 2019. Tom Brady gained MVP in 2017, misplaced to Nick Foles within the Tremendous Bowl, after which gained the large sport the next yr in opposition to Jared Goff and the Los Angeles Rams. The closest any particular person has ever gotten to breaking the streak was Matt Ryan, the 2016 NFL MVP, who went up 28-3 within the Tremendous Bowl, however blew the lead and misplaced in time beyond regulation to Brady’s Patriots.

Who’s subsequent?

So, might the streak be damaged in 2023? There’s a fairly good probability. The MVP frontrunner is none aside from Patrick Mahomes. He’s the highest seed within the AFC and, though he isn’t assured home-field benefit by the playoffs, has confirmed able to main his group to a Tremendous Bowl victory earlier than. Even with out Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs’ offense is diabolical, and is ready to sustain with every other group within the league, even when the opposing protection is without doubt one of the finest within the NFL as nicely. That stated, there’s nonetheless an opportunity that Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow, Buffalo’s Josh Allen, or Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts might come away with the award. They do have the second, third, and fourth-best odds respectively.

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There can solely be one, after all

That’s half of each group remaining with an opportunity to win all of it and have their quarterback win the Tremendous Bowl. That looks like fairly good odds, don’t you assume? In actuality, although, the chances aren’t as nice as you would possibly assume. Since solely a type of names is a quarterback within the NFC (and he has the worst MVP odds of the bunch), there’s solely a 25 % probability that we see an MVP candidate come out of the NFC. Whereas the AFC is loaded with these MVP-caliber quarterbacks, just one can emerge to symbolize their convention. The very best-case situation for breaking this curse could be if Mahomes and the Chiefs went up in opposition to Hurts and the Eagles. Nevertheless, that’s below the idea that neither Allen nor Burrow takes residence the {hardware}. Even nonetheless, the best quarterback must win.

It could take a miracle for every part to line up so completely this yr, however this is likely to be our greatest probability to see the streak damaged. I can’t keep in mind the final time we had each reputable MVP candidate attain the Divisional Spherical. That, in and of itself, ought to be celebrated. Seeing the MVP win the Tremendous Bowl although, even now, looks like an astronomically unbelievable prevalence.