Jalen Hurts and Trey Lance getting critical Vegas love for MVP

The hype practice for the 2022 NFL season hasn’t simply left the station, it leapt off the tracks, burst into the stratosphere, and began singing a group of Tupac’s biggest hits.

Persons are going loopy with a few of these predictions! I imply who of their proper minds is choosing the Lions and Jets to make the playoffs? Delusional, I let you know!

However nothing shows the delusion befallen many NFL followers although fairly just like the MVP betting traits.

After watching Aaron Rodgers win back-to-back MVP awards, and seeing Patrick Mahomes dazzle on our flatscreens each Sunday (or Thursday or Monday), and peeping Josh Allen and Justin Herbert taking monumental leaps towards superstardom, you’d assume NFL followers would pounce on the alternative to guess on one in every of them to win the MVP award subsequent season. Nope! Not even shut.

In response to OddsChecker US, the particular person receiving essentially the most bets for NFL MVP in 2022 isn’t even within the top-10 when it comes to odds. Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts has obtained 25.9 p.c of all bets for NFL MVP over the past 30 days. He has +4000 — or 40-to-1 — odds of taking dwelling the {hardware}. That’s nearly twice as many bets as the subsequent closest competitor, Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow.

Who do you assume is third on this record? I assure you’ll be able to’t guess it. Did you guess Matt Ryan? Bullshit. No likelihood you known as that. He’s obtained 11.1 p.c of votes at +8000 odds. Nevertheless, each Hurts’ and Ryan’s appearances on this record pale compared to who’s receiving the fourth-most votes for MVP… San Francisco’s Trey Lance! HUH?! He’s receiving 7.4 p.c of all bets. That’s greater than Rodgers and Mahomes mixed, and equal to Allen and Herbert mixed (each are receiving 3.7 p.c of bets proper now)!

I do know the child is gifted and Kyle Shanahan traded three first-round picks to get him, so that they should have a number of religion in him, however NFL MVP? Certain, Patrick Mahomes took dwelling the award a 12 months after sitting behind Alex Smith, however that was an anomaly. We will’t count on Lance to expertise the identical kind of success, can we? That’s a tall order for anybody irrespective of how gifted, and whereas second-year QBs tend to exceed expectations, solely two received the MVP after beginning lower than 5 video games their rookie season — Mahomes and Kurt Warner. Are we actually able to put Lance on that stage after finishing simply 57.7 p.c of his passes final 12 months, all whereas Jimmy Garoppolo continues to be on the 49ers’ roster? I’m not prepared for that. Props to everybody with the center to make a name like that, however not me.

Lance has obtained so many bets within the month of Could, that after opening at 200-to-1 odds to win the MVP, Caesars’ Sportsbook has since dropped his odds to 60-to-1, but folks nonetheless preserve betting on this man! Cease! Vegas is actually simply taking cash from you at this level. They aren’t swapping the chances as a result of they took a glance again at Lance’s movie tape and thought “You understand what? He’s obtained that dawg in him!” They’re solely doing this as a result of so many individuals are placing cash on him that, by decreasing his odds to 60-to-1, folks shall be extra inclined to place more cash on him as a result of 60-to-1 doesn’t have practically the identical payout as 200-to-1 does.

I’m all for lengthy photographs in the case of betting. I’ve been recognized to place cash on loopy eight-game parlays only for the hell of it, so if you happen to put a piece of change on Lance at 200-to-1 odds, I respect it. Go for broke or don’t go in any respect, am I proper? Nevertheless, even at these decreased odds, Lance continues to be seeing cash poured in from all over the place, whereas revered veterans like former MVP Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, and Matthew Stafford are seeing little if any love from bettors. Every of them has a payout of higher than 10-to-1 and we all know for a undeniable fact that they are going to be their workforce’s starters Week 1. I do know the presumption is that Garoppolo shall be passed by the beginning of the season, however till that day comes, and till the entire Deebo Samuel scenario is found out, claiming Lance as subsequent 12 months’s MVP looks as if a little bit of a attain.