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MANCHESTER, N.H. — When then-President Donald J. Trump visited New Hampshire in 2018, a typical delegation awaited him: flag-waving superfans, sign-carrying protesters and the sitting Republican governor.
Mr. Trump, true to type, appeared most within the first group.
“They love me,” he stated, admiring the group in Manchester from his government limousine, in response to the governor, Chris Sununu, who rode with him. Mr. Trump singled out an particularly zealous-looking customer. “You see that man?” he stated. “He loves me.”
By no means thoughts that the person’s signal had two phrases, Mr. Sununu recalled: a four-letter profanity and “Trump.”
“You wish to assume in that second, ‘Effectively, possibly he simply didn’t see,’” the governor stated. However some folks, he instructed, see what they need to see.
Mr. Sununu sees issues altering.
After three consecutive disappointing election cycles for his social gathering, Mr. Sununu says the time for indulging Mr. Trump’s delusions has lengthy handed. The midterms, he argues, proved that the nation, together with many Republicans, had little curiosity within the far-right candidates the previous president backed. Even nominating a onetime Trump acolyte from the possible 2024 area, like Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida or the previous United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley, is a misinterpret of the second, he says.
And so, Mr. Sununu — a “Seinfeld”-quoting, Covid booster-boosting son of a governor who supported Mr. Trump’s first two campaigns — is providing himself up as a strolling referendum on the course of his social gathering.
“I don’t like losers,” Mr. Sununu has stated, edging towards a Trump echo. “I’m not anti-Trump, I’m not pro-Trump. We’re simply shifting on.”
As Mr. Sununu, 48, considers a White Home run, conferring with advisers and road-testing a message of de-MAGA-fied conservatism, the case towards him as a nationwide Republican pressure is simple: He calls himself “pro-choice” and is way lesser recognized than a number of would-be rivals. He represents about twice as many individuals as a Home backbencher. He appraises himself as a person of restricted vocabulary and occasional malapropism. (“I was very shy and inverted,” he stated in an interview.)
However the case for Mr. Sununu, and towards Trumpism given current electoral historical past, is even easier, in his telling: Examine the scoreboard.
Final November, Mr. Sununu received re-election by greater than 15 factors in a state that has awarded Democrats every of its federal places of work, the type of big-tent displaying he says his social gathering would require in 2024. (Another double-digit Republican standouts, together with Mr. DeSantis, scored their midterm landslides in states that tilted broadly crimson.)
Whereas Democrats are discarding New Hampshire because the first-in-the-nation presidential major, its perch with Republicans is safe, permitting Mr. Sununu an early alternative to show himself.
And in a race anticipated to teem with high Trump officers and former high-profile Trump endorsees, Mr. Sununu is an area dynastic inheritor who may nonetheless stake a better declare than such opponents to political independence and self-sufficiency.
For now, his pre-candidacy — his function as a nationwide participant in any respect — represents an early experiment for the social gathering, a real-time barometer for abortion politics, Republican media technique and the sturdiness of what he sees as a dead-end Trumpian marketing campaign mentality normally elections.
“I’m conservative, I’m simply not an extremist,” Mr. Sununu stated. “Generally folks confuse conservative with extremist.”
His better ambition, crisscrossing his state on a current weekday, appeared to be that nobody would confuse conservative with boring.
Which Republicans Are Eyeing the 2024 Presidential Election?
The G.O.P. major begins. For months, former President Donald J. Trump has been the lone Republican formally working for president in 2024, however that’s now not the case with Nikki Haley getting into the race. It’s the primary main Republican problem to Mr. Trump, however unlikely to be the final. Right here’s a take a look at the potential area:
Over some 12 hours on the highway, at his workplace, in diner cubicles, on an icy strolling path and in radio and tv studios for different media appearances, Mr. Sununu challenged younger voters to hitch him at “the cool desk,” interspersing digressions on Batman, “Boogie Nights” and bear habits (“Bears Behaving Badly” sits on his government bookshelf) with meditations on the “big-government authoritarian” impulses of sure culture-warring counterparts and the fading salience of abortion for a lot of Republicans after Dobbs.
He broke right into a falsetto-heavy “Jessie’s Woman” to greet a Fox producer named Jesse earlier than a distant interview. He workshopped a Mitch McConnell impression, all throat sounds and inscrutability.
A keen namer of names, Mr. Sununu tends to name most any political determine he has met “a pal” earlier than merrily undercutting the premise beneath mild questioning.
“So,” he stated when requested to quote, say, Mr. DeSantis’s very best quality as a pal, lingering over plates of lunchtime hen tenders in Manchester, “how are these tenders?”
A number of bites later, Mr. Sununu was demoting Mr. DeSantis, who has a status for personal prickliness, to “a peer.”
For all his performative candor — “I in all probability shouldn’t say this” is a standard preamble — Mr. Sununu has at instances made the identical calculations as many fellow Republicans. He stated he would nonetheless help Mr. Trump over any Democrat if he recaptured the nomination.
Requested if there was something the previous president may do to lose him for good, two years after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, Mr. Sununu summoned Mr. Trump’s famed instance of the violence he may inflict with out shedding anybody for good: “Shoot anyone within the streets of Manhattan,” Mr. Sununu stated, “and we’re going to have an issue.”
If the governor has his approach, 2024 will preclude any such ethical dilemmas, whether or not he turns into a contender himself or seeks to play New Hampshire kingmaker for an additional non-Trump candidate.
His attraction at house, buddies say, is approachability as a lot as any signature coverage. “He can let you know the betting line of the Patriot sport,” stated Thomas D. Rath, a former state lawyer normal and longtime Republican strategist. “He takes his rubbish to the dump on Saturdays.”
And his political mantra — “Be regular,” Mr. Sununu has typically stated, “preserve it regular” — raises two questions of consequence to the Republican future:
Is he? And, in these plainly irregular instances, is he proper?
The ‘all over the place’ governor
At minimal, Mr. Sununu comes from normal-affiliating Republican inventory.
His father, John — whose portrait the youthful Mr. Sununu repositioned barely upon taking workplace so he wouldn’t discover it staring again at him every time he walked out — served three phrases as governor within the Nineteen Eighties earlier than turning into George H.W. Bush’s first White Home chief of workers. The present governor’s older brother, additionally John, spent 12 years in Congress earlier than shedding his Senate seat in 2008.
For a lot of his life, the second Governor Sununu didn’t think about politics for himself. As an engineering scholar on the Massachusetts Institute of Expertise, Mr. Sununu dreamed of Hollywood. He wrote a romantic comedy screenplay a couple of European man falling in love in Boston (“Beacon and Mass Ave.”) and a script about Paul Revere’s trip from the British perspective.
After a quick stint at New York College’s movie faculty, the place the chess hustlers of Washington Sq. Park generally separated him from his cash, Mr. Sununu stated he skilled an epiphany on a five-month Appalachian Path hike from Maine to Georgia and located his approach again to an engineering profession cleansing hazardous waste websites. He later ran an area ski resort and joined New Hampshire’s government council, a key governing physique, in 2011. He lives together with his spouse and three youngsters in Newfields.
Fusing this curated political model as an outdoorsy New Hampshire evangelist with a formidable household identify, Mr. Sununu received a slim victory in 2016, when Hillary Clinton carried his state, and three snug re-elections. (New Hampshire elects its governor each two years.)
Final yr, his workplace put out a Sununu-authored anthem celebrating his personal ubiquity, set to “I’ve Been In all places” and carried out advert hoc for any unfamiliar viewers.
“I’ve been to Chester, Chichester, Dorchester, Chesterfield,” he started, twice, at numerous factors inside his S.U.V. on the current weekday, “Manchester, Rochester, Winchester, Newfields.”
“A teleprompter,” Neil Levesque, the manager director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm School, stated diplomatically, “is just not a Chris Sununu contraption.”
On coverage, Mr. Sununu has mixed a libertarian streak, preaching fiscal self-discipline and tax reduction, with an emphasis on bipartisan causes just like the opioid disaster.
However Mr. Sununu distinguished himself from some average East Coast Republican governors, like Larry Hogan of Maryland and Charlie Baker of Massachusetts, by by no means completely abandoning Mr. Trump, even when he hardly ever gave the impression of a cheerleader.
Finally yr’s Gridiron Membership dinner in Washington, Mr. Sununu joked that whereas Mr. Trump didn’t essentially belong in a psychological establishment, he would have bother speaking his approach out of 1. Cable information interviewers haven’t let him neglect it.
“I really feel like George Costanza,” Mr. Sununu stated not too long ago, complaining that journalists flub his supply within the retelling. “‘Flip the automotive round, we’re going again to the Gridiron, and I’m going to let you know how one can inform this joke.’”
He has individually likened Mr. Trump’s scandal survivalism to a scene from “The Princess Bride,” whose protagonist develops immunity to poison by constant publicity.
“That’s Trump,” he stated. “It doesn’t matter what lethality you assume the poison comes at, it’s not going to kill him.”
The ‘powerful determination’
If voters are persuaded that Mr. Trump’s time has handed, one other minefield looms for Mr. Sununu. He insists it’s not so treacherous anymore, even for a Republican who identifies as “pro-choice.”
“Historically, if it was a governor or somebody in any such place on the state, they could possibly be pro-life and say, ‘Look, nothing I can do,’” he stated. “What Dobbs stated is, ‘You need to be pro-life? Be pro-life. You need to ban it? Ban it.’ And a few states could select to do this. I disagree.”
In 2021, Mr. Sununu signed a ban on abortions after 24 weeks. Whereas many Republican governors have gone significantly additional, some conservative states have stopped in need of probably the most expansive restrictions.
“Both you’re pro-abortion, you’re pro-life, otherwise you’re — like most of us — someplace within the center,” Mr. Sununu stated. “What are these different governors going to do after they stand on a stage and say, ‘I’m pro-life’? However you didn’t ban it. You didn’t even strive. Are you actually?”
The governor additionally criticized ostensible conservatives for concentrating on non-public companies deemed hostile to right-wing values, citing Mr. DeSantis particularly. “Is authorities going to resolve a cultural problem?” he requested. “No. Good Republicans don’t imagine that.”
Some nationwide Republicans suspect Mr. Sununu is speaking to an voters that largely doesn’t exist.
Latest historical past finds little proof that almost all Republicans are occupied with a consensus-minded conservative. “Sununu is my type of candidate from the before-times,” stated Sarah Longwell, an anti-Trump Republican strategist. Now, she added, “What issues is: Do you make liberals cry?”
If nothing else, Mr. Sununu has conspicuously loved the platform afforded to any not-ruling-it-out presidential candidate, hanging Halloween decorations with CNN and snowboarding with The Boston Globe.
Right here, too, Mr. Sununu has discovered fault with Mr. DeSantis and different Republicans who shun conventional information organizations or unscripted public encounters.
“I’d like to see what occurs when he walks in right here,” Mr. Sununu stated over milkshakes at Purple Arrow Diner in Manchester, “to sit down down, to have a milkshake and simply chill. I don’t know! I’ve by no means seen it.”
As he weighs his personal bid, Mr. Sununu stated he had till “additional down the highway than folks assume” to determine. A bit of over a yr in the past, the governor handed on a Senate run after a prolonged deliberation, irritating Republicans in Washington who felt strung alongside.
His subsequent failure to get his most well-liked Republican, Chuck Morse, by a major towards Don Bolduc, who had known as the 2020 election stolen, may trace at Mr. Sununu’s limitations as a kingmaker if he skips 2024 himself. (The governor backed Mr. Bolduc’s failed normal election marketing campaign.)
However Mr. Sununu has his native admirers. Throughout the lunchtime interview, he obtained a procession of well-wishers, signing the forged of a tween (“Reside free or die”), forgiving a patron who nearly known as him “John” and looking for counsel from an worker who requested about his “powerful determination.”
“You’ll do the best factor,” the person stated.
“When you determine what that’s,” the governor instructed him, “you let me know.”
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