Truth-Checking Nikki Haley on the Marketing campaign Path

Nikki Haley, the previous governor of South Carolina, was the primary outstanding candidate to announce a problem to former President Donald J. Trump’s bid for the Republican presidential nomination.

Since getting into the race in February, Ms. Haley has weighed in on social points and tapped into her expertise as a former United Nations ambassador below Mr. Trump to criticize present U.S. international coverage.

Right here’s a truth test of her latest remarks on the marketing campaign trial.

Intercourse and gender points

What Ms. Haley SAID

“Roe v. Wade got here in and threw out 46 state legal guidelines and out of the blue mentioned abortion any time, wherever, for any purpose.”
— in a CNN city corridor in June

That is exaggerated. Ms. Haley is overstating the scope of the landmark ruling Roe v. Wade, which established a constitutional proper to abortion. The 1973 choice additionally ensured that states couldn’t bar abortions earlier than fetal viability, or when a fetus can not survive exterior the womb. That’s not the identical as “any time,” as Ms. Haley mentioned. That second was round 28 weeks after conception on the time of the choice and now, due to advances in medication, stands at round 23 or 24 weeks.

Earlier than the Supreme Court docket overturned Roe in June 2022, most states had legal guidelines banning the process sooner or later, with 22 banning abortions between 13 and 24 weeks and 20 states barring abortion at viability. A spokesman for Ms. Haley famous that six states and Washington, D.C., had no restrictions when Roe was overturned.

What Ms. Haley SAID

“How are we presupposed to get our women used to the truth that organic boys are of their locker rooms? After which we marvel why a 3rd of our teenage women severely contemplated suicide final yr.”
— within the CNN city corridor

This lacks proof. In February, the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention reported report ranges of unhappiness and suicidal ideation amongst teen women. And melancholy amongst youngsters, significantly women, has been growing for over a decade. The causes are debated, however specialists mentioned no analysis factors to the presence of trans youth athletes in locker rooms, or elevated consciousness of L.G.B.T.Q. points normally, as a causal and even contributing issue.

“I can say unequivocally that there’s completely no analysis proof to help that assertion,” mentioned Dr. Kimberly Hoagwood, a baby psychologist and professor at New York College. “The explanations for the elevated prevalence of melancholy and suicide amongst teenage women are advanced, however have been researched extensively.”

Dr. David Brent, a professor of psychiatry on the College of Pittsburgh, famous that teen melancholy charges have been growing for the reason that 2000s whereas widespread dialogue and consciousness of gender points are a more moderen improvement.

“It may very well be tense for some individuals, for the trans children as nicely,” he mentioned. “However to attempt to say that that is the trigger, nicely, it simply can’t be as a result of this can be a public well being disaster has been happening for 15 years.”

Doable components in rising charges of adlescent melancholy embrace financial stress, the rise of social media, decrease age of puberty, elevated charges of opioid use and melancholy amongst grownup caretakers, Dr. Brent mentioned. There may be additionally the final lower in play and peer-related time, decreases in social expertise, and different social issues, Dr. Elizabeth Englander, a baby psychologist and professor at Bridgewater State College, wrote in an electronic mail. L.G.B.T.Q. youth even have a better danger for psychological well being points, in line with the C.D.C.

“Even when somebody has discovered an affiliation between being round trans or L.G.B.T.Q. youth and elevated melancholy in heterosexual youth (which, to my information, nobody has), it appears extremely unlikely that such contact is a vital trigger of the present disaster in psychological well being that we see in youth,” Dr. Englander added, calling Ms. Haley’s principle “outrageous.”

International coverage

What Ms. Haley SAID

“If we wish to actually repair the surroundings, then let’s begin having critical conversations with India and China. They’re our polluters. They’re those which might be inflicting the issue.”
— within the CNN city corridor

This wants context. Ms. Haley has a degree that China is the highest emitter of greenhouse gasses and India is the third-largest emitter, in line with the newest information from the European Fee. However america is the second-largest emitting nation.

Furthermore, India and China are essentially the most populous international locations on the earth and launch much less emissions per capita than many wealthier nations. In 2021, China emitted 8.7 metric tons of carbon dioxide per capita and India 1.9 metric tons, in comparison with the 14.24 metric tons of america.

Ms. Haley’s spokesman famous that emissions from China and India have elevated lately, in contrast with america’ downward development, and are the highest two producers of coal.

Nonetheless, the 2 growing international locations bear much less historic accountability than wealthier nations. America is liable for about 24.6 p.c of historic emissions, China 13.9 p.c and India 3.2 p.c.

What Ms. Haley SAID

“Final yr, we gave over $50 billion in international support. Are you aware who we gave it to? We gave it to Pakistan that harbored terrorists that attempt to kill our troopers. We gave it to Iraq that has Iranian affect, that claims ‘dying to America.’ We gave it to Zimbabwe that’s essentially the most anti-American African nation on the market. We gave it to Belarus who’s holding arms with Russia as they invade Ukraine. We gave cash to communist Cuba, who we named a state sponsor of terrorism. And sure, essentially the most unthinkable, we give cash to China.”
— in a June fund-raiser in Iowa

That is deceptive. Within the 2022 fiscal yr, which resulted in September, america gave out $50 billion in international support. However the six international locations Ms. Haley singled out obtained about $835 million whole in support or 1.7 p.c of the overall. Furthermore, most international support — about 77 p.c, in line with the nonpartisan Congressional Analysis Service — is channeled by means of an American firm or nonprofit, worldwide charity or federal company to hold out tasks, and never handed on to international governments.

Zimbabwe obtained $399 million, Iraq $248 million, Pakistan $147 million, Belarus $32.8 million, Cuba $6.8 million and China $1.7 million.

The largest single contracts to help Zimbabwe and Pakistan have been $30 million and $16.5 million to the World Meals Program to offer meals and alleviate starvation. In Iraq, the biggest contract of $29 million was awarded to a United Nations company. And in Cuba, the third-largest contract was carried out by the Worldwide Republican Institute — a pro-democracy nonprofit whose board contains Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, the host of the fund-raiser Ms. Haley was talking at.

Compared, the nation that obtained essentially the most international support, at about $10.5 billion or a fifth of the overall quantity, was Ukraine, adopted by Ethiopia ($2.1 billion), Yemen ($1.4 billion), Afghanistan ($1.3 billion) and Nigeria ($1.1 billion).

One other $12 billion was spent on world support efforts normally, together with about $4 billion in grants to the International Fund, a global group that funds campaigns in opposition to H.I.V., tuberculosis and malaria.

Home coverage

What Ms. Haley SAID

“We are going to cease giving the a whole lot of billions of {dollars} of handouts to unlawful immigrants.”
— within the CNN city corridor

That is disputed. Unauthorized immigrants are barred from benefiting from most federal social security internet applications like Medicaid and meals stamps. However the spokesman for Ms. Haley gave examples of latest funds made by native governments that allowed unauthorized immigrants to take part in profit applications: $2.1 billion price of one-time funds of as much as $15,600 to immigrants in New York who misplaced work throughout Covid-19 pandemic, totaling $2.1 billion; $1 million for funds to households in Boston through the pandemic; allowing unauthorized immigrants to take part in California’s well being care program for low-income residents, which may value $2.2 billion yearly.

These, nevertheless, don’t add as much as “a whole lot of billions.” That determine is in keeping with an estimate from an anti-immigration group that different researchers have closely criticized for its methodological flaws.

The group, the Federation for American Immigration Reform, estimated in March that unlawful immigration prices america and native governments $135.2 billion annually in spending on training, well being care and welfare, in addition to one other $46.9 billion in regulation enforcement.

However the Cato Institute, a libertarian suppose tank, has discovered that an earlier however related model of the estimate overcounted welfare advantages that undocumented immigrants obtain, and undercounted the taxes that they pay. The online value, in line with Cato, is definitely $3.3 billion to $15.6 billion.

The American Immigration Council equally concluded that training and well being care account for greater than half of the prices, and that the advantages have been afforded to many American-citizen youngsters of undocumented immigrants.

The estimated 11 million unauthorized immigrants dwelling in america are barred from the overwhelming majority of the federal authorities’s security internet applications. In 2017, the Nationwide Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Drugs discovered that immigration, unlawful and authorized, benefited the financial system.

What Ms. Haley SAID

“Let’s begin by clawing again the $500 billion of unspent Covid {dollars} which might be on the market.”
— within the CNN city corridor

That is exaggerated. Ms. Haley overstated the quantity of unspent coronavirus emergency funding. In actuality, the quantity is estimated to be a lot smaller, roughly $60 billion. What’s extra, a finances deal between President Biden and Speaker Kevin McCarthy that was signed into regulation a day earlier than Ms. Haley spoke rescinded about $30 billion of that leftover cash.

Lawmakers handed trillions of {dollars} in financial stimulus and public well being funding, most of which has already been spent. The federal authorities’s official spending web site estimates that Congress has handed about $4.65 trillion in response to Covid-19 (known as “budgetary assets”) and, as of April 30, paid out $4.23 trillion (or “outlays”), suggesting that about $423 billion has not gone out the door. However that calculation fails to contemplate the guarantees of cost (or “obligations”) which were made, about $4.52 trillion. That could be a distinction of about $130 billion, however a few of initially permitted funding that was unspent and never but promised has already expired.

In April, the Congressional Finances Workplace estimated that rescinding unobligated funding from six legal guidelines between 2020 and 2023 — the 4 coronavirus packages, President Donald J. Trump’s final spending measure, and President Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus package deal — would quantity to about $56 billion. The Committee for a Accountable Federal Finances, a nonpartisan group that helps diminished authorities spending, estimated about $55.5 billion in unspent funds.