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March is shaping as much as be a giant month for the Republican presidential subject.
It is when the GOP nominee shall be primarily locked down by way of delegate votes — in accordance with a Republican Nationwide Committee planning doc launched this week — simply as the primary felony case towards former President Donald Trump is getting underway.
Meaning the first marketing campaign may mainly be over earlier than Trump’s trials are in full swing.
After Tremendous Tuesday — March 5 — Republicans can have allotted nearly half of their delegates, as there shall be 16 contests that day.
Every week later, 54% of delegates shall be set and, by the tip of the month, 71%.
Trump’s federal trial for making an attempt to overturn the outcomes of the 2020 presidential election is ready to start March 4, the day earlier than Tremendous Tuesday, after a decide rejected the protection’s request this 12 months to delay the case to 2026.
The trial’s consequence and timeline are additionally notable as a result of nearly half of Republican voters have stated they would not assist the previous president if he’s convicted of a felony, in accordance with an August Reuters/Ipsos ballot.
However this major calendar means there will not be a verdict in any of the a number of instances towards Trump earlier than the nominee is actually determined.
In whole, Trump faces 4 scheduled felony trials, together with a felony trial in Georgia that prosecutors have proposed to start on Aug. 5 — simply weeks after the July 15-18 Republican Nationwide Conference.
As Trump maintains a commanding lead in polls over the Republican subject up to now, his opponents are going to wish to realize momentum rapidly in among the earliest contests — Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Iowa votes on Jan. 15, simply 44 days from now.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has gone all in on Iowa, and assist has been rising for former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley amongst voters in New Hampshire. The 2 states account for under about 3% of the full delegates, however candidates not named Trump want sturdy showings in them for the momentum they’ll present — or else the marketing campaign could also be over rapidly.
This is the complete RNC lineup for its contests in 2024:
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