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We nonetheless don’t know the extent of a brand new Ukrainian offensive down in Kherson oblast in southern Ukraine. Whereas Russian Telegram sources and not less than one Ukrainian artilleryman on Twitter (rapidly deleted, as a result of OpSec) have reported mass artillery barrages, there was no conformation of on-the-ground actions.
NASA FIRMS information, which tracks forest fires and burning army gear, exhibits motion occurring south of the front-line metropolis of Mylove.
On this map you’ll be able to see that this could place combating properly under the beforehand acknowledged entrance traces.
That MyLove cluster of fires is in a mud highway intersection that loops across the fringe of that estuary-reservoir-river-whatever-it-is. There aren’t any buildings of any type there. No matter is burning there, it’s somebody’s gear. And it’s massive.
FIRMS fires round Sukhanove additionally recommend Ukraine is placing stress throughout a wider entrance than simply Mylove itself. Final time we intently tracked FIRMS, it was Russia pushing the traces into Ukrainian-held territory. It’s good seeing the state of affairs reverse.
We’ve been monitoring the catastrophe that’s Russia’s mobilization efforts. Properly, issues have taken a very darkish flip at one mobilization website:
The casualties (and perpetuators) are stated to be just lately mobilized.
As soon as upon a time, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin struck worry within the coronary heart of his neighbors, and he cherished to exert dominance by being all the time late to conferences. These days, he will get recurrently stood up and lectured by his neighbors. The newest was significantly direct and humiliating, from Tajikistan dictator Emomali Rahmon (who was late to a gathering with Putin at a special gathering final month).
Right here’s a loose translation of the remarks in textual content:
We’ve 2 million ethnic Russians. Russian language is a required examine from kindergarten to college. However we don’t have Russian language textual content books, we ask, and ask, and ask, and I don’t wish to offend you, however you don’t care.
Your businessmen come and rob us of our pure assets, they don’t seem to be fascinated with something however oil, gasoline that can enrich them. However how about our trade? Our nationwide strategic pursuits? You don’t care!
I used to be there when the Soviet Union collapsed, I’ve witnessed it. I do know why it has collapsed- it’s for a similar issues you might be doing now. It didn’t assist the small nations, didn’t assist them develop economically, protect tradition, traditions. Similar as you!
We’re not a giant nation, we’re not 100 million nation however we’ve our historical past, we’ve our tradition and traditions and we love them. We don’t want your cash, we wish to be revered as we deserve.
We host your army bases, we do every little thing you ask for, we actually attempt to be what you faux to be to us “strategic companions.” However we’re by no means being handled like strategic companions! No offense, however we wish to be revered! (Free translation abstract)
If solely Putin had a military left, he’d present this insolent Rahmon a factor or two! However he doesn’t have a military anymore, which is why the Tajik chief felt emboldened to unload as his fellow Central Asian heads of state watched approvingly. These screencaps actually do seize the vibe:
There was even finger wagging!
Aside from Belarus, which is enjoying its personal rope-a-dope video games with Russia, the remainder of Russia’s neighbors all agree. Russia is extra remoted than ever.
Additionally, there’s one thing improper with Putin’s face. These cheeks aren’t regular.
Talking of Belarus, there’s nonetheless no actual signal it plans on coming into the warfare, irrespective of how a lot it pretends in any other case. That’s why the nation is completely happy to ship off its decrepit outdated tanks to Russia. If these tanks are destined for destruction (and they’re), finest to have Russians inside them.
On the opposite hand, Belarus is nonetheless pretending to threaten northern Ukraine with a brand new joint “regional group.”
That is all for present. If Russia and Belarus had been critical about opening up a brand new entrance close to Kyiv once more, they wouldn’t be transport the armor off to Russia and who is aware of the place in Ukraine (someplace within the Donbas, presumably).
And bear in mind, Russia’s finest VDV airborne troops, with no fortifications north of Kyiv, by no means reached the Ukrainian capital. Right this moment, Ukraine has heavy fortified the border and approaches, has well-entrenched battle-hardened territorial protection forces manning these traces, and has HIMARS/MLRS. Simply think about what HIMARS would’ve finished to that “40-mile column” within the early days of the warfare. Russia hasn’t solved its logistical points, and poorly educated mobilized rabble, the identical ones complaining about lack of footwear and killing one another in Russia, are going to be even much less of a risk than the shit Russia beforehand despatched on that strategy.
Iran’s protest motion is now 30 days outdated, amazingly, and solely appears to be getting stronger.
Superb.
Let’s do some memes.
On this week’s episode of The Downballot we get medieval on the standard media for its appalling show of ableism within the wake of John Fetterman’s latest NBC interview; recap the completely wild goings-on in Los Angeles, the place Metropolis Council President Nury Martinez simply resigned after a racist tirade was caught on tape; dive into the unexpectedly shut race for governor in Oklahoma; and spotlight a brand-new database from Each day Kos Elections displaying how media markets and congressional districts overlap.
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