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Key highlights:
- Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Kaduna, Bauchi, Kano, Jigawa and Yobe to expertise below-average rainfall.
- Bayelsa, Akwa-Ibom, Delta and Cross River to expertise rainfall quantities of 2700mm and above.
- 41 LGAs fall inside the reasonable flood threat areas within the months of April to June; 199 LGAs within the months of July to September, and 72 LGAs within the months of October and November.
Nigeria’s Nationwide Emergency Administration Company (NEMA), warned that farming operations in Nigeria’s Center belt, and North West would expertise below-average rainfall for this yr.
This was disclosed by the Director-Common of, the Nationwide Emergency Administration Company (NEMA), Mr Mustapha Ahmed on the 2023 Local weather-Associated Catastrophe Preparedness and Mitigation Methods doc, on Thursday in Abuja.
The NEMA boss mentioned the states that might expertise below-average rainfall are the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Kaduna, Bauchi, Kano, Jigawa and Yobe.
Rainfall
Mr Mustapha Ahmed revealed that the states which can be anticipated to report rainfall quantities of 2700mm and above are Bayelsa, Akwa-Ibom, Delta and Cross River.
He added the Federal Capital Territory (FCT); Kaduna, Bauchi, Kano, Jigawa and Yobe are prone to observe below-average rainfall in the course of the yr, citing that based mostly on the 2023 Annual Flood Outlook launched by the Nigeria Hydrological Companies Company (NIHSA), 66 native authorities areas are at excessive threat of flooding within the months of April to June.
Flooding
148 LGAs could be at excessive threat of flooding within the months of July to September, whereas 100 others within the months of October and November would encounter the identical, he mentioned:
- “As well as, a complete of 41 LGAs fall inside the reasonable flood threat areas within the months of April to June; 199 LGAs within the months of July to September, and 72 LGAs within the months of October and November.
- “This yr’s forecast has indicated that there’s a excessive threat of coastal flooding as a result of anticipated rise in sea stage and tidal surge that will negatively influence agriculture, human settlements and transportation in Bayelsa, Delta, Lagos and Rivers States.
- “Flash and concrete floods are additionally forecasted over many cities and cities as a result of poor drainage system and the dearth of compliance to city planning and environmental rules.”
He warned that Nigeria might witness floods just like what occurred final yr, if no more, including that the Company had written letters to the 36 state governments and the FCT administration to inform them of the LGAs in danger and actions which can be anticipated to be taken by them.
What this implies
The areas anticipated to have below-average rainfall are farming areas in Nigeria, that are closely reliant on common rainfall to realize normal meals manufacturing, farmers may have to put heavier emphasis on water rationing if rainfall just isn’t sufficient for meals manufacturing this yr.
Backstory
Nairametrics reported final month that Nationwide Emergency Administration Company (NEMA), warned Nigerians to anticipate extreme flooding in 2023.
NEMA DG, Mr Mustapha Ahmed, added there had been seasonal local weather predictions and annual flood outlooks by the Nigerian Meteorological Company (NiMet) and the Nigeria Hydrological Companies Company (NIHSA), including that the flood catastrophe in 2022 was a studying expertise, and NEMA would additionally unfold early warning messages to states and Native Authorities Areas (LGAs) and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).
- “We now have began early this yr, as we’re prepared for early warning and early motion. We are going to bombard each citizen, state and native authorities with this data as we would like them to know that it’s critical. We is not going to preserve quiet. We wish them to know that there can be flooding this yr.”
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