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Russian Telegram milblogger Rybar introduced at this time that “The AFU proceed to endure heavy losses within the battle of Bakhmut,” which is darkish comedy. The Battle of Bakhmut started on Aug. 1, and Russian, Wagner mercenaries, and native Donbas militias have banged their heads in opposition to Ukrainian defenses ever since, for over 4 months now. If Ukraine is struggling “heavy losses” in Bakhmut (which they doubtless are), than what is occurring to Russia?
Properly, we all know. We’ve even posted a few of the movies of mass Russian casualties within the approaches to the city. Ukraine Common Employees claimed over the weekend that Russia is shedding tons of of males making an attempt to storm the town every day.
The town’s defenders are a few of Ukraine’s greatest heroes. They’ve been undermanned, under-equipped, and under-supported. Whereas HIMARS labored different corners of the map and the best-equipped Ukrainian forces liberated extensive swaths of Kharkiv and Kherson oblasts, hundreds of Ukrainians hunkered down of their trenches in jap Donbas mowing down wave after wave of Russian troopers whereas outgunned 5-1 and even 10-1 in artillery.
However now, with Kherson metropolis’s liberation, Ukraine freed up tens of hundreds of their finest troopers to redeploy to different components of the entrance. And Bakhmut is lastly getting some love.
Ukrainian artillery is flooding into the world, together with valuable longer-range self-propelled weapons just like the Polish Krab.
HIMARS, the crown jewel of Ukraine’s army would possibly, is lastly in motion across the city, doubtless utilizing anti-personnel rockets to eradicate Russian troop concentrations and Wagner mercenary command and management facilities. .
Armored autos are flooding in.
As is contemporary infantry.
In the meantime, Russian efforts in opposition to Ukrainian defensive positions have been whittled all the way down to squad-level advances.
I learn someplace (can’t discover hyperlink now) that Russians declare that is on function—that large-scale assaults are too simple to identify and destroy with artillery, so Russia is making an attempt to sneak up on Ukrainians in small teams. If there was ever a heaping pile of Copium, that’s undoubtedly it. Nobody costs defensive strains with six troopers and no armor or artillery/mortar assist as a result of they assume it’s the most effective thought. So ridiculous!
This video under offers us a incredible overview of the battle from inside Bakhmut. I can’t consider there are nonetheless civilians scrounging some form of survival within the city.
There’s a lot of discuss concerning the “proper financial institution” and “left financial institution” of the river. That is what folks don’t appear to get. Even when Russia breaks by means of Ukrainian defensive strains, there’s no manner they’re crossing the river that runs by means of the jap third of the town.
There’s a hill to the east of the river that is proven in that video, at present held by Ukraine, that might be worthwhile if Russia took it. They’d have visibility into city, so Ukrainian forces wouldn’t have the ability to simply cruise round like they do within the video. But when Russian forces can’t get previous the trash dump on the jap fringe of the city, what makes anybody assume they may cross an precise river? (Although admittedly, I don’t know if it freezes within the coldest components of winter, which may very well be an element.)
Russia launched one other wave of missiles at Ukraine, however this assault appears to have largely fizzled. Ukraine claims 60 of the 70 Russian cruise missiles had been shot down, and there’s even dramatic video of one among them taking place.
This missile was shot down by a German Gepard air protection system. Ukraine has declared them their most prized air protection system. Paradoxically, it’s been decommissioned, as NATO moved to almost all-missile air defenses. But this machine-gun-style system makes it lethal efficient not simply in opposition to ballistic missiles, however slower-flying drones. It doesn’t make sense to make use of million-dollar missiles in opposition to $20,000 drones. So possibly this struggle will resuscitate techniques just like the Gepard.
Attention-grabbing aspect be aware: Sourcing ammo for these is difficult. Germany can’t cross on their leftover ammo (which is actually ineffective, as they’ve handed over all of their Gepards) as a result of it was made in Switzerland, and the Swiss refuse to authorize it, claiming it might violate their neutrality. A protection contractor in Norway seems to have began making extra ammo, nonetheless. Yet one more reminder that it is a struggle of logistics, not weapons techniques.
Right here’s an amazing thread from a German who served with these:
Ukraine hit two Russian air bases, tons of of kilometers from the entrance strains.
Russia claims they had been hit with Soviet-made drones, and there may be one historical unmanned plane system round, so possibly Ukraine used these. It might be extra enjoyable if the drones had been homegrown, nonetheless. Ukraine introduced final week it was in remaining testing phases of a long-range suicide drone. What higher check for a brand new weapons system than two airbases internet hosting the strategic bombers launching cruise missiles at Ukrainian civilian infrastructure?
Russia claims air protection acquired all of them, however it was the particles that induced all of the harm, and all 17 of Russia’s targets in Ukraine had been hit despite the fact that 70 missiles had been launched.
This can be a bloody picture of the hit on Dyagilevo displaying a broken strategic bomber. Nevertheless it’s an in depth crop, so laborious to essentially inform the extent of the harm. Right here’s an unconfirmed report on the state of affairs on the two airfields. I’m together with the hyperlink, as a result of it’s chatter from the Russian aspect, however all caveats apply.
I’m not crying. YOU’RE crying.
(Umm, not delicate content material … at the least not that form of delicate.)
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